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13231 Hubbell St
B+ Composite 75.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

13231 Hubbell St · Detroit, MI 48227
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,130 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1924 3,920 sqft lot Est $59k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great value-add opportunity for this lovely home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, and approximately 1,300 square feet - perfect for investors seeking their next fix-and-flip or rental project. With a roof approximately 2 years old, some newer vinyl windows already installed, and a newer furnace and hot water tank, several key updates are already in place. Demo work has been started, making way for a full rehab to bring your vision to life, while the solid garage structure adds additional value and functionality. With strong upside potential, this property is a great opportunity to maximize returns. Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Newer furnace
  • Newer vinyl windows

Tags

ROOF APPROXIMATELY 2 YEARS OLDNEWER VINYL WINDOWSNEWER FURNACEHOT WATER TANKSOLID GARAGE STRUCTURE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story with ground-level entry
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Above-grade living area approximately 1,130 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 40 x 100 (approximately 0.09 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $792 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,426/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.85%
Cap rate
25.31%
Cash-on-cash
67.90%
DSCR
4.02
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$58,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13364 Coyle St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,083 (-4%) 2mo $95,000 $88 74
13209 Terry St 0.15mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,044 (-8%) 2mo $54,500 $52 72
13215 Prest St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (+3%) 1mo $100,000 $86 70
13991 Ardmore St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-4%) 2mo $10,000 $9 68
12667 Lauder St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (+6%) 7mo $65,000 $54 63
12832 Terry St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 981 (-13%) 4mo $40,000 $41 62
13599 Winthrop St 0.57mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,089 (-4%) 2mo $145,000 $133 59
14295 Strathmoor St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-4%) 6mo $50,000 $46 58
14421 Marlowe St 0.66mi 4/1.0 1,060 (-6%) 3mo $66,000 $62 56
13900 Sussex St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 971 (-14%) 6mo $40,000 $41 50
14232 Lauder St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,272 (+13%) 2mo $60,000 $47 49
11669 Strathmoor St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 974 (-14%) 2mo $30,000 $31 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.2%
Equity multiple
4.30×
Total profit
$46,178
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
75.0%
Equity multiple
9.69×
Total profit
$121,730
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
392
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,426 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $613/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$792

Break-even live

Break-even rent $423
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $820 -5% $806 +0% $792 +5% $778 +10% $764
Rent -10% $680 -5% $736 +0% $792 +5% $848 +10% $905
Rate -1.0pp $817 -0.5pp $805 base $792 +0.5pp $779 +1.0pp $766

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 18d 1 0.09mi
12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 18d 1 0.19mi
13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,373 $0.95 45d 1 0.25mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 6d 1 0.40mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 45d 1 0.59mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 18d 1 0.60mi
12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 26d 1 0.66mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 45d 1 0.77mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 4d 1 0.80mi
12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,373 $1.57 23d 1 0.83mi
11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,326 $1.22 26d 1 0.85mi
11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,400 $1.19 18d 1 0.88mi
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 45d 1 0.88mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 18d 1 0.98mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 18d 1 1.01mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 16d 1 1.01mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 18d 1 1.05mi
14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,473 $1.08 45d 1 1.07mi
12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 1.07mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 1.07mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 1.09mi
11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,300 $0.90 45d 1 1.11mi
12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 1.11mi
14847 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 849 $1,150 $1.35 19d 1 1.16mi
16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 45d 1 1.21mi
9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 45d 1 1.22mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 18d 1 1.22mi
15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 19d 1 1.22mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 14d 1 1.22mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 26d 1 1.22mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 26d 1 1.22mi
9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 18d 1 1.26mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 19d 1 1.27mi
9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 1.32mi
9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 45d 1 1.33mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 14d 1 1.33mi
9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 3d 1 1.43mi
15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 907 $1,300 $1.43 18d 1 1.44mi
15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 18d 1 1.47mi
9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 6d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $50,000 Active 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Great value-add opportunity for this lovely home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, and approximately 1,300 square feet - perfect for investors seeking their next fix-and-flip or rental project. With a roof approximately 2 years old, some newer vinyl windows already installed, and a newer furnace and hot water tank, several key updates are already in place. Demo work has been started, making way for a full rehab to bring your vision to life, while the solid garage structure adds additional value and functionality. With strong upside potential, this property is a great opportunity to maximize returns. Schedule a showing today!

  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $50,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Great value-add opportunity for this lovely home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, and approximately 1,300 square feet - perfect for investors seeking their next fix-and-flip or rental project. With a roof approximately 2 years old, some newer vinyl windows already installed, and a newer furnace and hot water tank, several key updates are already in place. Demo work has been started, making way for a full rehab to bring your vision to life, while the solid garage structure adds additional value and functionality. With strong upside potential, this property is a great opportunity to maximize returns. Schedule a showing today!

  17. 2024-08-01
    historical
  18. 2024-07-31
    historical
  19. 2024-04-05
    listed $39,900 Active
  20. 2024-04-05
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$613 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$691 · $58/mo
Expected delta
+$79/yr (+$7/mo · 12.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,108
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$613
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,369
− Management
−$1,369
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$9,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,221
After-tax cash flow
$7,285/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-07-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-05 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-05 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $613 · -5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…