5721 Parker Rd · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Quiet through street
- Ample yard space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.18%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,705
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -34.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5617 Westbrook Rd | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 815 (+12%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $104 | 59 |
| 10530 Onslow St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 818 (+12%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $122 | 48 |
| 10518 Barnham St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 652 (-10%) | 24mo | $150,000 | $230 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.01×
- Total profit
- $63,214
- Equity at exit
- $60,240
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.32×
- Total profit
- $153,454
- Equity at exit
- $122,907
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77016
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,169/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $510
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $552 | -5% $531 | +0% $510 | +5% $489 | +10% $468 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $407 | -5% $458 | +0% $510 | +5% $562 | +10% $613 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $548 | -0.5pp $529 | base $510 | +0.5pp $491 | +1.0pp $471 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.
-
2026-05-01price $74,900 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.
-
2026-04-28status Active 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.
-
2026-03-30status Pending 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.
-
2026-03-20price $79,900 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.
-
2026-02-16$89,900 Active 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.
-
2008-07-17soldstatus
-
1990-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,169 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,371 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$202/yr (+$17/mo · 17.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,169
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,253
- − Management
- −$1,253
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $5,242
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,258
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,841
- Household income
- $47,677
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1297.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 37%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.65%
- Current HPI
- 315.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $74,900 HARMLS
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-03-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $79,900 HARMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $89,900 HARMLS
- 2008-07-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,169 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…