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5721 Parker Rd
A Composite 85.8
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$74,900

5721 Parker Rd · Houston, TX 77016
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1946 7,148 sqft lot $103/sqft · 35% below area Est $115k · 35% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Quiet through street
  • Ample yard space

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEAMPLE YARD SPACEQUIET THROUGH STREETSERENE NEIGHBORHOOD FEELLARGE LOTOUTDOOR LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
14.46%
Cash-on-cash
29.18%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,705
List price
$74,900
Delta
-34.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5617 Westbrook Rd 0.07mi 2/1.0 815 (+12%) 22mo $85,000 $104 59
10530 Onslow St 0.66mi 2/1.0 818 (+12%) 1mo $99,900 $122 48
10518 Barnham St 0.57mi 2/1.0 652 (-10%) 24mo $150,000 $230 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.7%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$63,214
Equity at exit
$60,240
10-year hold
IRR
36.7%
Equity multiple
8.32×
Total profit
$153,454
Equity at exit
$122,907

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77016

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,306 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,169/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$510

Break-even live

Break-even rent $660
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $552 -5% $531 +0% $510 +5% $489 +10% $468
Rent -10% $407 -5% $458 +0% $510 +5% $562 +10% $613
Rate -1.0pp $548 -0.5pp $529 base $510 +0.5pp $491 +1.0pp $471

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.

  2. 2026-05-01
    price $74,900 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.

  3. 2026-04-28
    status Active 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.

  4. 2026-03-30
    status Pending 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.

  5. 2026-03-20
    price $79,900 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.

  6. 2026-02-16
    listed $89,900 Active 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the desirable Scenic Woods / East Little York area of Houston. Built in 1946, this classic single-story residence offers a comfortable 728 sq ft of living space and a versatile layout ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. The home features a detached garage and ample yard space, perfect for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property sits on a quiet through street with easy access to major thoroughfares, while still offering a serene neighborhood feel. With its modest footprint and large lot, this property presents a fantastic opportunity to create your dream home, renovate for modern comforts, or hold as an investment in a growing Houston community. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of this established neighborhood with plenty of potential and outdoor space.

  7. 2008-07-17
    soldstatus
  8. 1990-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,169 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$202/yr (+$17/mo · 17.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,666
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,169
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,253
− Management
−$1,253
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$5,242
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,258
After-tax cash flow
$4,862/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,841
Household income
$47,677
Rent vs Own
38.8% rent · 61.2% own
Severe rent burden
1297.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 37%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.65%
Current HPI
315.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 0.44%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $74,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $79,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $89,900 HARMLS
  • 2008-07-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1990-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,169 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…