1728 Ascot Rd · Stratmoor, CO
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
An OASIS that sits on the edge of town in a quiet and secluded neighborhood. This home is a beautiful rancher with open concept living, stunning french doors that walk out to an amazing entertainment patio where you and your guest can take a dip in the hot-tub in complete privacy, while enjoying the unobstructed mountain views. The home has newer windows and flooring throughout, with a partially updated kitchen, and stainless steel appliances. This amazing get away is a must see. Located close to I-25 and Academy.
Key facts
- 6,298 sq ft lot
- Built 1969
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 4.2% in Stratmoor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#156 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- School District No. 3 In The County Of El Paso And State Of (suburban): math 17% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #49 of 86 in CO (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 300 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.01%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $323,400
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1663 Maxwell St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,225 (0%) | 5mo | $318,000 | $260 | 90 |
| 1708 Maxwell St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-5%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $280 | 76 |
| 1715 Ascot Rd | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,147 (-6%) | 20mo | $303,000 | $264 | 70 |
| 1691 Maxwell St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+10%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $251 | 62 |
| 1676 Maxwell St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,145 (-6%) | 15mo | $317,000 | $277 | 61 |
| 1567 Willshire Dr | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,387 (+13%) | 12mo | $370,000 | $267 | 57 |
| 1686 Kensington Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,105 (-10%) | 17mo | $369,500 | $334 | 57 |
| 1303 Willshire Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-6%) | 7mo | $272,000 | $236 | 53 |
| 1303 Coventry Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (-8%) | 13mo | $280,000 | $249 | 52 |
| 1326 Forest Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 23mo | $233,500 | $174 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $15,626
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $48,118
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80906
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 300
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,530/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $711
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3119 Cliveden Hts Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1184 | $1,985 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 84 Rose Dr Unit A Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,818 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4603 Ports Down Ln Unit 1545850P Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $4,193 | $2.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2023-08-26status Pending
-
2023-08-09historical
-
2022-06-17historical
-
2015-07-31soldstatus $143,500
-
2015-06-12price $145,000
-
2015-06-11price $149,000
-
2015-06-10$145,000
-
2015-06-09price $149,500
-
2001-08-22soldstatus $106,000
-
1999-03-31soldstatus $85,000
-
1996-07-24soldstatus $73,000
-
1993-11-15soldstatus $47,000
-
1982-06-01soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,530 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,530 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,530
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,016
- − Management
- −$2,016
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $6,576
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,578
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,953/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- School District No. 3 In The County Of El Paso And State Of
- NCES district ID
- 0806480
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,560
- Composite
- 26.19/100
- National rank
- #7265
- State rank
- #49 of 86 in CO
Livability — Stratmoor
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #156
- US rank
- #12505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stratmoor, CO
- County
- El Paso County · 689,348 people
- Metro
- Colorado Springs, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,502
- Household income
- $89,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1572.0
Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 768,926 people
- By 2030
- 815,739 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 903,489 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 981,204 · +27.6%
- By 2075
- 1,155,542 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 1,202,070 · +56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · El Paso
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.8) · D 43.8% · R 53.5% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.8 2020: R+10.8 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -272.61%
- Current HPI
- 248.2125
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.43%
- Metro
- Colorado Springs, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+233.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2023-08-26 Pending — PARMLS
- 2023-08-09 Delisted — PARMLS
- 2022-06-17 Delisted — PARMLS
- 2015-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $143,500 Public Records
- 2015-06-12 Price Changed $145,000 elevateMLS
- 2015-06-11 Price Changed $149,000 elevateMLS
- 2015-06-10 Listed $145,000 PARMLS
- 2015-06-09 Price Changed $149,500 elevateMLS
- 2001-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
- 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1996-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 1993-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1982-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,530 · +25.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…