402 1st St · St. George, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Wooded lot
- Walk-out basement
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached parking
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Patio; Wooded lot; Gravel road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling; Heating with electric and natural gas
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Rock Creek (rural): math 41% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #13 of 169 in KS (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 114 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pottawatomie County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1859 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1859 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.84%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $9,645
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $34,527
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66535
- Home prices YoY
- -9.2%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,833/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $352 | -5% $334 | +0% $316 | +5% $297 | +10% $279 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $232 | -5% $274 | +0% $316 | +5% $357 | +10% $399 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $348 | -0.5pp $332 | base $316 | +0.5pp $299 | +1.0pp $282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $64,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07$64,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,833 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,833 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,695
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$1,833
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,016
- − Management
- −$1,016
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $2,983
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$716
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,072/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rock Creek
- NCES district ID
- 2000004
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,245
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3854
- State rank
- #13 of 169 in KS
Livability — St. George
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. George, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,729
Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,971 people
- By 2030
- 27,362 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 30,086 · +15.8%
- By 2050
- 32,560 · +25.4%
- By 2075
- 38,284 · +47.4%
- By 2100
- 40,235 · +54.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.2% · R 72.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: -44.0pp · 2024: -47.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+46.7 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+47.3 2008: R+44.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.65%
- Current HPI
- 184.6535
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-23.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $64,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $64,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $69,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $74,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $79,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $84,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,833 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…