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402 1st St
B- Composite 68.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

402 1st St · St. George, KS 66535
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 911 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1859 0.25 ac lot ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Wooded lot
  • Walk-out basement
  • 0.25 acre lot

Tags

WOODED LOTWALK-OUT BASEMENTCHARMING SMALL-TOWN SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Patio; Wooded lot; Gravel road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling; Heating with electric and natural gas
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Rock Creek (rural): math 41% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #13 of 169 in KS (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 114 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pottawatomie County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1859 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1859 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
12.13%
Cash-on-cash
20.84%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$9,645
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$34,527
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66535

Home prices YoY
-9.2%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,833/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$316

Break-even live

Break-even rent $658
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $352 -5% $334 +0% $316 +5% $297 +10% $279
Rent -10% $232 -5% $274 +0% $316 +5% $357 +10% $399
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $332 base $316 +0.5pp $299 +1.0pp $282

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $64,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $64,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,833 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,833 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,695
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$1,833
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,016
− Management
−$1,016
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$2,983
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$716
After-tax cash flow
$3,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rock Creek
NCES district ID
2000004
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,245
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3854
State rank
#13 of 169 in KS

Livability — St. George

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. George, KS
Population (ZIP)
3,729

Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,971 people
By 2030
27,362 · +5.4%
By 2040
30,086 · +15.8%
By 2050
32,560 · +25.4%
By 2075
38,284 · +47.4%
By 2100
40,235 · +54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Slovak 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.2% · R 72.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: -44.0pp · 2024: -47.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.6 2020: R+46.7 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+47.3 2008: R+44.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.65%
Current HPI
184.6535
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-23.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $64,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $64,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $69,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $74,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $79,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $84,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,833 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…