307 W Pleasant Ave · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY or REMODEL FOR YOUR NEW HOME! 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath upstairs; 1 bedroom and 1/2 bath on the first floor. PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD IN "AS IN" CONDITION.
Key facts
- 1.08 acre lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story existing home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Three second-floor bedrooms; One first-floor bedroom listed as 'Bedroom 4'
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present (see remarks)
- Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Other (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater; Other equipment (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $810 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Syracuse Latin School (math 31% / reading 62%, grade D-, #1,262 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 642 students, 42% FRL); Expeditionary Learning Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 170 students, 76% FRL); Corcoran High School (math 61% / reading 62%, grade B-, #842 of 1,100 statewide, top 77%, 1,252 students, 87% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Syracuse City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $70k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.68%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,248
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358 W Newell St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,197 (+2%) | 4mo | $19,900 | $17 | 88 |
| 160 Berger Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,162 (-1%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $30 | 84 |
| 184 W Matson Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,142 (-3%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $92 | 75 |
| 160 Baldwin Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-6%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $68 | 66 |
| 133 Hobart Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+6%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $116 | 65 |
| 609 W Colvin St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,236 (+5%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $81 | 63 |
| 218 Girard Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-8%) | 3mo | $123,750 | $115 | 56 |
| 237 Evaleen Ave #39 | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,298 (+10%) | 5mo | $128,750 | $99 | 55 |
| 604 W Ostrander Ave | 0.27mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,320 (+12%) | 1mo | $201,000 | $152 | 55 |
| 721 Ballantyne Rd | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,047 (-11%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $124 | 52 |
| 403 Pacific Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,331 (+13%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $98 | 43 |
| 309 Marguerite Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+14%) | 6mo | $79,000 | $59 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.58×
- Total profit
- $89,689
- Equity at exit
- $62,971
- IRR
- 56.9%
- Equity multiple
- 12.42×
- Total profit
- $223,564
- Equity at exit
- $135,800
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13205
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $831/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $810
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $850 | -5% $830 | +0% $810 | +5% $790 | +10% $771 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $683 | -5% $747 | +0% $810 | +5% $874 | +10% $938 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $845 | -0.5pp $828 | base $810 | +0.5pp $792 | +1.0pp $774 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508-10 W Brighton Ave Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,350 | $1.84 | 15d | 13 | 0.37mi |
| 2859 S Salina St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 300 Mains Ave Unit Bradford-7 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 116 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,295 | $1.57 | 15d | 7 | 0.87mi |
| 213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 158 Parkway Dr Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1029 | $2,250 | $2.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 154 Seeley Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 260 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,097 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 259 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $699 | $0.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,575 | $1.86 | 15d | 5 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $69,900 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$69,900 Active
-
1996-10-21soldstatus $33,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,006 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$175/yr (+$15/mo · 21.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$831
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $9,142
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- City population
- 152,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,562
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.12%
- Current HPI
- 345.8854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+108.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $69,900 CNYIS
- 1996-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $831 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…