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11238 Moore St
D Composite 41.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

11238 Moore St · Romulus, MI 48174
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 927 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 307 Days on market
Built 1931 3,920 sqft lot $162/sqft · 7% below area Est $162k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

SPACIOUS YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($115/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (12.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.2% in Romulus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#593 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Romulus Community Schools (suburban): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #498 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,945 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.27%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,722
List price
$150,000
Delta
-7.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11340 Delano St 0.12mi 3/1.0 936 (+1%) 11mo $145,000 $155 84
11244 Olive St 0.30mi 3/2.0 925 (-0%) 20mo $149,900 $162 65
11061 Elmview St 0.58mi 3/1.0 960 (+4%) 8mo $155,000 $161 60
12120 Elmview St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 909 (-2%) 5mo $167,000 $184 56
11069 Delano St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+10%) 23mo $191,000 $187 56
11036 Wahrman St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 838 (-10%) 15mo $160,000 $191 56
11114 Whitehorn St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 836 (-10%) 14mo $31,000 $37 54
10310 Sterling St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 923 (-0%) 21mo $152,000 $165 52
36885 Porter St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+9%) 22mo $157,000 $156 47
36860 Chase St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+12%) 22mo $159,000 $153 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-23,677
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-19,757
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48174

Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,204/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$10

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,307
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7080 Niagara St Unit CC168 Romulus, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 5d 1 0.24mi
9960 Wayne Rd Romulus, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $1,316 $1.65 2d 7 0.80mi
35301 Michelle Dr Unit 213 Romulus, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 44d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 48 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 307 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 304 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 303 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 302 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 301 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 300 DOM
  7. 2026-04-27
    price $150,000 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  8. 2026-04-26
    price $150,000 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  9. 2026-04-26
    price $150,000
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  10. 2026-01-14
    price $178,900 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  11. 2026-01-13
    price $178,900 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  12. 2026-01-13
    price $178,900
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  13. 2025-12-31
    price $179,900 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  14. 2025-12-30
    price $179,900 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  15. 2025-12-30
    price $179,900
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  16. 2025-08-04
    listed $180,000 Active 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  17. 2025-08-04
    listed $180,000 Active 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  18. 2025-08-04
    listed $180,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    This home has been approved for Short-Sale. Cute 3 Bedroom Ranch in the heart of Romulus, just waiting for the right person to show it the love it deserves. Spacious yard with 2 car garage. Great starter home.

  19. 2022-09-22
    soldstatus $135,000
  20. 2022-09-16
    soldstatus $135,000 Sold
  21. 2022-09-16
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed
  22. 2022-08-04
    status Pending
  23. 2022-08-04
    status Pending
  24. 2022-07-17
    price $134,900
  25. 2022-07-17
    price $134,900
  26. 2022-07-14
    listed $149,900 Active
  27. 2022-07-14
    listed $149,900 Active
  28. 2019-10-22
    historical
  29. 2019-10-22
    historical
  30. 2019-07-23
    status Active
  31. 2019-07-22
    status Active
  32. 2019-07-18
    status Pending
  33. 2019-07-18
    status Pending
  34. 2019-06-24
    listed $69,900 Active
  35. 2019-06-24
    listed $69,900 Active
  36. 2009-10-07
    soldstatus $66,000
  37. 2008-12-01
    soldstatus $11,100
  38. 2008-10-01
    listed $9,900
  39. 2007-07-11
    soldstatus $107,000
  40. 2007-02-02
    soldstatus $15,211
  41. 2006-06-05
    listed $31,500
  42. 2006-05-08
    historical
  43. 2005-10-28
    listed $37,800
  44. 1999-11-08
    soldstatus $57,000
  45. 1999-10-20
    historical
  46. 1999-10-15
    soldstatus $57,000
  47. 1999-08-04
    listed $59,900
  48. 1999-07-20
    listed $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,204 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,257 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$53/yr (+$4/mo · 2.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,833
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,204
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,267
− Management
−$1,267
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,420
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$581
After-tax cash flow
$696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Romulus Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630120
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,165
Composite
13.17/100
National rank
#9556
State rank
#498 of 540 in MI

Livability — Romulus

Score
60/100
State rank
#593
US rank
#19387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Romulus, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
32,211
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,211
Household income
$67,056
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
755.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 37% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.93%
Current HPI
207.8345
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+145.9% since first listed
42 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $178,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $178,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $178,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $179,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $179,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-08-04 Listed $180,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-04 Listed $180,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-08-04 Listed $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2022-09-16 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-09-16 Sold (MLS) $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-04 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-04 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-17 Price Changed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-17 Price Changed $134,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-14 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-14 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-10-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-10-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-23 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-22 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2019-07-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-24 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-24 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 2008-12-01 Sold (MLS) $11,100 REALCOMP
  • 2008-10-01 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-02 Sold (MLS) $15,211 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-05 Listed $31,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-10-28 Listed $37,800 REALCOMP
  • 1999-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 1999-10-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-10-15 Sold (MLS) $57,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-08-04 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-07-20 Listed $61,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,204 · -33.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…