4317 Harrison St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 4317 Harrison St, a promising property in an up-and-coming area of Gary. This home needs renovation, but it offers strong potential for those looking to add value. Featuring a functional layout with a spacious living area, workable kitchen footprint, and well-sized bedrooms, the home provides a solid foundation for updates or a full redesign. Situated on a manageable lot with convenient access to schools, parks, and major roadways, this property is perfectly positioned for future growth in the neighborhood.
Key facts
- Manageable lot
- Solid foundation
- 5,140 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $703 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $5k; list at $50k implies a 826% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.25%
- DSCR
- 3.68
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,364
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -14.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4115 Fillmore St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 950 (-2%) | 6mo | $51,000 | $54 | 70 |
| 4525 Tyler St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (-9%) | 1mo | $136,000 | $155 | 69 |
| 4088 Monroe St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 956 (-1%) | 10mo | $139,000 | $145 | 68 |
| 1418 W 45th Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 950 (-2%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $37 | 67 |
| 3980 Tyler St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,042 (+8%) | 5mo | $128,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 4181 Fillmore St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+12%) | 3mo | $22,000 | $20 | 58 |
| 3992 Adams St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,042 (+8%) | 10mo | $66,880 | $64 | 52 |
| 4016 Connecticut St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-5%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $27 | 49 |
| 4524 Connecticut St | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 931 (-4%) | 9mo | $26,500 | $28 | 49 |
| 4467 Connecticut St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 925 (-4%) | 12mo | $64,000 | $69 | 45 |
| 4217 Massachusetts St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-13%) | 1mo | $28,000 | $33 | 44 |
| 3724 Tyler St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 870 (-10%) | 4mo | $48,000 | $55 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $36,679
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 63.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $89,639
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46408
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,313 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $618/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $703
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $731 | -5% $717 | +0% $703 | +5% $689 | +10% $675 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $599 | -5% $651 | +0% $703 | +5% $755 | +10% $807 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $728 | -0.5pp $716 | base $703 | +0.5pp $690 | +1.0pp $677 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,250 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4018 Tyler St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4748 Monroe St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3708 Harrison St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 904 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3777 Lincoln St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1005 W 35th Ave Apt 105 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 601 | $795 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1005 W 35th Ave Apt 202 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $795 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1015 W 35th Ave Apt 206 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 601 | $795 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2410 W 45th Ave #2 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2410 W 45th Ave Unit 1 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1240 W 52nd Dr Merrillville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,411 | $1.48 | 0d | 7 | 1.15mi |
| 5001 Carolina St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,350 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,525 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,050 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $50,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-01-16$50,000 Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Welcome to 4317 Harrison St, a promising property in an up-and-coming area of Gary. This home needs renovation, but it offers strong potential for those looking to add value. Featuring a functional layout with a spacious living area, workable kitchen footprint, and well-sized bedrooms, the home provides a solid foundation for updates or a full redesign. Situated on a manageable lot with convenient access to schools, parks, and major roadways, this property is perfectly positioned for future growth in the neighborhood.
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2026-01-15historical
-
2025-11-24price $50,000
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2025-11-18historical
-
2025-11-17$60,000 Active
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2025-11-17$30,000 Active
-
2019-08-07historical
-
2019-06-19$14,900
-
2016-12-31historical
-
2016-09-30$20,000
-
2012-03-16soldstatus $5,400
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2012-01-30$5,665
-
2004-04-15historical
-
2004-04-05$72,000
-
2004-01-08historical
-
2003-12-05$69,000
-
2003-10-23historical
-
2003-07-22$60,000
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2003-07-07$74,900
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2003-03-05$25,000
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2003-02-01historical
-
2002-07-31$25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $618 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $618 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,758
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$618
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,261
- − Management
- −$1,261
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $8,114
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,947
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,488/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,747
- Household income
- $47,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.08%
- Current HPI
- 155.6238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Listed $50,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $50,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Listed $30,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Listed $60,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-07 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-19 Listed $14,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-31 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-30 Listed $20,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-16 Sold (MLS) $5,400 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-30 Listed $5,665 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-15 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-05 Listed $72,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-08 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-12-05 Listed $69,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-23 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-22 Listed $60,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-07 Listed $74,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-03-05 Listed $25,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-02-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-31 Listed $25,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $618 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…