5910 W Donahue Ln · Homosassa Springs, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! BACK TO THE MARKET MOTIOTIVATED SELLER, bring all reasonable offers! "AS-IS" - A Rare Opportunity for Builders and Investors! Welcome to your dream property with No HOA and No CDD! This Vacant land over 3-acre fenced-in parcel of high and dry land offers a rare blend of privacy and potential. Featuring an existing 1,680sqft 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile /manufactured home, this property is perfect for those looking to rebuild, build and live with flexibility. Imagine placing a new manufactured home or building a custom single-family residence in a desirable and private location. Enjoy peaceful views, plenty of room for your dream home and pool, and the perfect s
Key facts
- No cdd
- Vacant land
- High and dry land
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total living area about 1,680 square feet; Lot about 3.12 acres (approx. 400 x 322); Dirt road access; Furnished: Negotiable; No CDD; Homestead: No
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; North-facing
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Screened porch/patio; Private mailbox; Cleared and landscaped grounds; Oversized, private lot; Zoned for horses; Wooded areas/trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Heat pump; Cooling: Other
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.9% in Homosassa Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#391 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Citrus Springs Elementary School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade D+, #1,070 of 2,144 statewide, top 51%, 817 students, 71% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Citrus High School (math 34% / reading 51%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,503 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 311 active listings in the ZIP; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,007/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 113% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $200k implies a 733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.80%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $294,000
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2443 S Pine Ridge Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (+10%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $154 | 45 |
| 6228 W Heritage Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-10%) | 15mo | $264,000 | $175 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-15,183
- Equity at exit
- $29,819
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $8,927
- Equity at exit
- $17,291
Cash invested: $55,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34448
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,007 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,194/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $384 | -5% $327 | +0% $271 | +5% $214 | +10% $157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $112 | -5% $191 | +0% $271 | +5% $350 | +10% $429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $321 | base $271 | +0.5pp $219 | +1.0pp $166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,998
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,990 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $199,990 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,990 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,990 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,990 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricestatus $199,990 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $199,900 Pending 239 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,900 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $199,900
-
2026-04-03price $209,990
-
2026-03-09price $214,900
-
2025-10-08$219,900 Active
-
1996-08-01soldstatus $24,000
-
1981-12-01soldstatus $5,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,194 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,194 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,084
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,194
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,927
- − Management
- −$1,927
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $16
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homosassa Springs
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #6877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,817
- Household income
- $45,916
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 113.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.27%
- Current HPI
- 312.4302
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+3534.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $209,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $214,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Listed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 1981-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,194 · +19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…