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116 Shady Ln
B- Composite 69.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

116 Shady Ln · Marion, KY 42064
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market
0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the heart of Marion, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 116 Shady Lane offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own vision. Featuring approximately 1,056 square feet of living space, this home sits on a generous 0.34-acre lot, providing plenty of room to make it your own. The property includes a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, gardening, or added privacy, along with a detached garage located behind the home that offers additional storage or workshop space. With solid bones and room for improvement, this fixer-upper is ready for updates and customization to bring it back to life. Whether you're searching for your next investment project or a home you can renovate to suit your style, this Marion property presents an affordable opportunity with strong potential. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Fully fenced yard
  • Detached garage

Tags

FULLY FENCED YARDDETACHED GARAGEGENEROUS LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#140 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Crittenden County (rural): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #56 of 165 in KY (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $40k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $36,309 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
20.96%
Cash-on-cash
52.37%
DSCR
3.33
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.3%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$24,588
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
55.8%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$61,388
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42064

Home prices YoY
-17.0%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$931 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $264/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $314
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $510 -5% $499 +0% $488 +5% $476 +10% $465
Rent -10% $414 -5% $451 +0% $488 +5% $524 +10% $561
Rate -1.0pp $508 -0.5pp $498 base $488 +0.5pp $477 +1.0pp $467

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $39,900 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,900 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-04-28
    price $39,900 881-char remark
    Show marketing remark (881 chars)

    Located in the heart of Marion, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 116 Shady Lane offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own vision. Featuring approximately 1,056 square feet of living space, this home sits on a generous 0.34-acre lot, providing plenty of room to make it your own. The property includes a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, gardening, or added privacy, along with a detached garage located behind the home that offers additional storage or workshop space. With solid bones and room for improvement, this fixer-upper is ready for updates and customization to bring it back to life. Whether you're searching for your next investment project or a home you can renovate to suit your style, this Marion property presents an affordable opportunity with strong potential. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!

  14. 2026-04-18
    price $47,900 881-char remark
    Show marketing remark (881 chars)

    Located in the heart of Marion, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 116 Shady Lane offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own vision. Featuring approximately 1,056 square feet of living space, this home sits on a generous 0.34-acre lot, providing plenty of room to make it your own. The property includes a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, gardening, or added privacy, along with a detached garage located behind the home that offers additional storage or workshop space. With solid bones and room for improvement, this fixer-upper is ready for updates and customization to bring it back to life. Whether you're searching for your next investment project or a home you can renovate to suit your style, this Marion property presents an affordable opportunity with strong potential. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!

  15. 2026-04-05
    price $48,900 881-char remark
    Show marketing remark (881 chars)

    Located in the heart of Marion, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 116 Shady Lane offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own vision. Featuring approximately 1,056 square feet of living space, this home sits on a generous 0.34-acre lot, providing plenty of room to make it your own. The property includes a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, gardening, or added privacy, along with a detached garage located behind the home that offers additional storage or workshop space. With solid bones and room for improvement, this fixer-upper is ready for updates and customization to bring it back to life. Whether you're searching for your next investment project or a home you can renovate to suit your style, this Marion property presents an affordable opportunity with strong potential. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!

  16. 2026-03-27
    price $49,900 881-char remark
    Show marketing remark (881 chars)

    Located in the heart of Marion, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 116 Shady Lane offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own vision. Featuring approximately 1,056 square feet of living space, this home sits on a generous 0.34-acre lot, providing plenty of room to make it your own. The property includes a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, gardening, or added privacy, along with a detached garage located behind the home that offers additional storage or workshop space. With solid bones and room for improvement, this fixer-upper is ready for updates and customization to bring it back to life. Whether you're searching for your next investment project or a home you can renovate to suit your style, this Marion property presents an affordable opportunity with strong potential. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!

  17. 2026-03-21
    price $52,900 881-char remark
    Show marketing remark (881 chars)

    Located in the heart of Marion, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 116 Shady Lane offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own vision. Featuring approximately 1,056 square feet of living space, this home sits on a generous 0.34-acre lot, providing plenty of room to make it your own. The property includes a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, gardening, or added privacy, along with a detached garage located behind the home that offers additional storage or workshop space. With solid bones and room for improvement, this fixer-upper is ready for updates and customization to bring it back to life. Whether you're searching for your next investment project or a home you can renovate to suit your style, this Marion property presents an affordable opportunity with strong potential. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!

  18. 2026-03-13
    price $54,900 881-char remark
    Show marketing remark (881 chars)

    Located in the heart of Marion, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 116 Shady Lane offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own vision. Featuring approximately 1,056 square feet of living space, this home sits on a generous 0.34-acre lot, providing plenty of room to make it your own. The property includes a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, gardening, or added privacy, along with a detached garage located behind the home that offers additional storage or workshop space. With solid bones and room for improvement, this fixer-upper is ready for updates and customization to bring it back to life. Whether you're searching for your next investment project or a home you can renovate to suit your style, this Marion property presents an affordable opportunity with strong potential. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!

  19. 2026-02-16
    listed $59,900 Active 881-char remark
    Show marketing remark (881 chars)

    Located in the heart of Marion, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home at 116 Shady Lane offers great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own vision. Featuring approximately 1,056 square feet of living space, this home sits on a generous 0.34-acre lot, providing plenty of room to make it your own. The property includes a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, gardening, or added privacy, along with a detached garage located behind the home that offers additional storage or workshop space. With solid bones and room for improvement, this fixer-upper is ready for updates and customization to bring it back to life. Whether you're searching for your next investment project or a home you can renovate to suit your style, this Marion property presents an affordable opportunity with strong potential. Schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities!

  20. 2023-07-20
    soldstatus $26,500 Closed 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    Cute house with lots of potential - perfect for one in the market for a fixer-upper! Beyond the covered front porch you'll find a large, light filled living room. An arched doorway leads into the kitchen which includes a refrigerator and an electric stove, and the utility area or additional bedroom is just beyond. The primary bedroom includes an attached full bathroom and its own exterior access. The home includes some wood floors, fresh neutral paint, and newer vinyl windows. Exterior features include plentiful parking, a deck, and a large fenced yard with a storage building, all on a quiet street.

  21. 2023-07-14
    status Pending 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    Cute house with lots of potential - perfect for one in the market for a fixer-upper! Beyond the covered front porch you'll find a large, light filled living room. An arched doorway leads into the kitchen which includes a refrigerator and an electric stove, and the utility area or additional bedroom is just beyond. The primary bedroom includes an attached full bathroom and its own exterior access. The home includes some wood floors, fresh neutral paint, and newer vinyl windows. Exterior features include plentiful parking, a deck, and a large fenced yard with a storage building, all on a quiet street.

  22. 2023-05-24
    price $34,900 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    Cute house with lots of potential - perfect for one in the market for a fixer-upper! Beyond the covered front porch you'll find a large, light filled living room. An arched doorway leads into the kitchen which includes a refrigerator and an electric stove, and the utility area or additional bedroom is just beyond. The primary bedroom includes an attached full bathroom and its own exterior access. The home includes some wood floors, fresh neutral paint, and newer vinyl windows. Exterior features include plentiful parking, a deck, and a large fenced yard with a storage building, all on a quiet street.

  23. 2023-04-10
    price $39,900 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    Cute house with lots of potential - perfect for one in the market for a fixer-upper! Beyond the covered front porch you'll find a large, light filled living room. An arched doorway leads into the kitchen which includes a refrigerator and an electric stove, and the utility area or additional bedroom is just beyond. The primary bedroom includes an attached full bathroom and its own exterior access. The home includes some wood floors, fresh neutral paint, and newer vinyl windows. Exterior features include plentiful parking, a deck, and a large fenced yard with a storage building, all on a quiet street.

  24. 2023-03-17
    listed $49,900 Active 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    Cute house with lots of potential - perfect for one in the market for a fixer-upper! Beyond the covered front porch you'll find a large, light filled living room. An arched doorway leads into the kitchen which includes a refrigerator and an electric stove, and the utility area or additional bedroom is just beyond. The primary bedroom includes an attached full bathroom and its own exterior access. The home includes some wood floors, fresh neutral paint, and newer vinyl windows. Exterior features include plentiful parking, a deck, and a large fenced yard with a storage building, all on a quiet street.

  25. 2004-10-01
    soldstatus $25,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$264 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$343 · $29/mo
Expected delta
+$79/yr (+$7/mo · 29.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,172
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$264
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$894
− Management
−$894
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$5,525
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,326
After-tax cash flow
$4,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crittenden County
NCES district ID
2101380
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,316
Composite
30.67/100
National rank
#6181
State rank
#56 of 165 in KY

Livability — Marion

Score
71/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#6738

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, KY
Population (ZIP)
8,020

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,874 people
By 2030
8,634 · -2.7%
By 2040
8,244 · -7.1%
By 2050
7,884 · -11.2%
By 2075
7,033 · -20.7%
By 2100
5,847 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.4) · D 15.2% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-34.0pp toward R · 2008: -34.4pp · 2024: -68.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.4 2020: R+64.1 2016: R+66.2 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.91%
Current HPI
170.1117
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $39,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $47,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $48,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $49,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $52,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $54,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $59,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2023-07-20 Sold (MLS) $26,500 WKRMLS
  • 2023-07-14 Pending WKRMLS
  • 2023-05-24 Price Changed $34,900 WKRMLS
  • 2023-04-10 Price Changed $39,900 WKRMLS
  • 2023-03-17 Listed $49,900 WKRMLS
  • 2004-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $264 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…