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122 Wilson Ave
C+ Composite 61.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$103,900

122 Wilson Ave · Fairborn, OH 45324
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1952 6,921 sqft lot $137/sqft · 33% below area Est $156k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming home in the heart of Fairborn! Perfectly situated in a friendly, established neighborhood, this property offers comfort, convenience, and character. Featuring a spacious layout, bright living areas, and well-sized bedrooms, it’s ideal for families, first-time buyers, or anyone seeking a move-in-ready home. Enjoy a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and take advantage of the location’s easy access to schools, shopping, dining, and major roadways for effortless commuting. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a delightful home in Fairborn—schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • 6,921 sq ft lot
  • Built 1952

Tags

PRIVATE BACKYARDEASY ACCESS TO SCHOOLSEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO DININGEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR ROADWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.7% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities D-.
  • Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fairborn Primary School (1,253 students, 0% FRL); Baker Middle School (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #511 of 654 statewide, top 79%, 939 students, 0% FRL); Fairborn High School (math 33% / reading 65%, grade D, #422 of 781 statewide, top 54%, 1,048 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 15% FRL vs 51% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $718 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $104k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $94,549 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
6.00%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,004
List price
$103,900
Delta
-33.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
31 Wilson Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 672 (-12%) 23mo $165,000 $246 58
57 Truman Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 828 (+9%) 10mo $200,000 $242 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-4,600
Equity at exit
$15,492
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$20,814
Equity at exit
$8,983

Cash invested: $29,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45324

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
182
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,046 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$545
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $862
Max offer price $103,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $204 -5% $175 +0% $146 +5% $116 +10% $87
Rent -10% $63 -5% $104 +0% $146 +5% $187 +10% $228
Rate -1.0pp $198 -0.5pp $172 base $146 +0.5pp $119 +1.0pp $91

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,975
Closing costs
$3,117
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18 Old Yellow Springs Rd Fairborn, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 805 $1,025 $1.27 15d 9 0.18mi
18 Old Yellow Springs Rd Unit 50-04 Fairborn, OH 1.0 1.0 615 $850 $1.38 45d 1 0.19mi
18 Old Yellow Springs Rd Unit 52-07 Fairborn, OH 1.0 1.0 615 $900 $1.46 22d 1 0.19mi
18 Old Yellow Springs Rd Unit 30-02 Fairborn, OH 1.0 1.0 615 $950 $1.54 12d 1 0.19mi
18 Old Yellow Springs Rd Unit 34-12 Fairborn, OH 1.0 1.0 615 $900 $1.46 12d 1 0.19mi
18 Old Yellow Springs Rd Unit 62-07 Fairborn, OH 1.0 1.0 615 $850 $1.38 12d 1 0.19mi
165 W Funderburg Rd Fairborn, OH 2.0 1.0 827 $995 $1.20 4d 2 0.61mi
281 Orville St Fairborn, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $899 $1.06 15d 1 0.80mi
408 Patterson St Fairborn, OH 3.0 1.0 988 $1,400 $1.42 12d 1 0.89mi
1647 Stewart Blvd Unit 1645 Fairborn, OH 2.0 1.5 1024 $900 $0.88 25d 1 1.05mi
1802 Montgomery Ave #1804 Fairborn, OH 2.0 1.0 806 $975 $1.21 25d 1 1.06mi
2201 Roseanne Ct Fairborn, OH 1.0 1.0 432 $1,065 $2.47 4d 4 1.10mi
1529 Miami Ave Fairborn, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 4d 1 1.11mi
1527 Miami Ave Fairborn, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 4d 1 1.12mi
212 High St Fairborn, OH 2.0 1.0 908 $1,200 $1.32 15d 1 1.28mi
2394 New Germany Trebein Rd Unit 305 Beavercreek, OH 2.0 2.0 1098 $1,750 $1.59 4d 1 1.31mi
2250 Warbler Ln Fairborn, OH 2.0 2.0 1233 $1,906 $1.55 4d 12 1.49mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $103,900 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $103,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $103,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $103,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $103,900 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $103,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $103,900 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $103,900 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $103,900 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $103,900 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $103,900 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    price $119,900 637-char remark
    Show marketing remark (637 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home in the heart of Fairborn! Perfectly situated in a friendly, established neighborhood, this property offers comfort, convenience, and character. Featuring a spacious layout, bright living areas, and well-sized bedrooms, it’s ideal for families, first-time buyers, or anyone seeking a move-in-ready home. Enjoy a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and take advantage of the location’s easy access to schools, shopping, dining, and major roadways for effortless commuting. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a delightful home in Fairborn—schedule your showing today!

  17. 2026-03-20
    listed $124,900 Active 637-char remark
    Show marketing remark (637 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home in the heart of Fairborn! Perfectly situated in a friendly, established neighborhood, this property offers comfort, convenience, and character. Featuring a spacious layout, bright living areas, and well-sized bedrooms, it’s ideal for families, first-time buyers, or anyone seeking a move-in-ready home. Enjoy a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and take advantage of the location’s easy access to schools, shopping, dining, and major roadways for effortless commuting. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a delightful home in Fairborn—schedule your showing today!

  18. 2018-11-20
    soldstatus $40,000 Sold 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    No Property Disclosures, Being Sold in "As Is" Condition to Settle Estate.

  19. 2018-11-20
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    No Property Disclosures, Being Sold in "As Is" Condition to Settle Estate.

  20. 2018-11-10
    status Pending 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    No Property Disclosures, Being Sold in "As Is" Condition to Settle Estate.

  21. 2018-07-09
    status Active 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    No Property Disclosures, Being Sold in "As Is" Condition to Settle Estate.

  22. 2018-05-21
    historical Active/Pending 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    No Property Disclosures, Being Sold in "As Is" Condition to Settle Estate.

  23. 2018-05-10
    listed $45,000 Active 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (84 chars)

    No Property Disclosures, Being Sold in "As Is" Condition to Settle Estate.

  24. 1997-07-29
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,366 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$254/yr (+$21/mo · 22.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,552
− Mortgage interest
−$5,820
− Property taxes
−$1,112
− Insurance
−$520
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,004
− Management
−$1,004
− Depreciation
−$3,023
Taxable income
$70
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$17
After-tax cash flow
$1,730/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairborn City
NCES district ID
3904396
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,091
Composite
36.05/100
National rank
#4772
State rank
#520 of 656 in OH

Livability — Fairborn

Score
72/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#6101

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairborn, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
City population
41,194
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
41,194
Household income
$64,979
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
1472.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,301 people
By 2030
171,840 · +0.9%
By 2040
171,408 · +0.7%
By 2050
167,806 · -1.5%
By 2075
154,430 · -9.3%
By 2100
138,669 · -18.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -157.48%
Current HPI
228.0801
Rent YoY
▲ 5.75%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $119,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $124,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2018-11-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2018-11-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2018-11-10 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2018-07-09 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2018-05-21 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2018-05-10 Listed $45,000 Dayton MLS
  • 1997-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,112 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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