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69 Mt. Airy Rd
C+ Composite 64.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

69 Mt. Airy Rd · Shavertown, PA 18708
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,338 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1935 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

An opportunity to have a home in Dallas School District with the need of major updates. There was significant damage done to the foor from Termites. Cash Only.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Gas fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Has basement (crawl space with dirt floor)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#688 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dallas SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #97 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $74k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.55%
Cash-on-cash
11.62%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$220,770
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
43 Pioneer Ave 0.15mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (+5%) 1mo $205,000 $146 77
61 Lehigh St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (-3%) 2mo $240,000 $185 71
61 Mt Airy Rd 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,224 (-8%) 12mo $160,000 $131 69
102 Pioneer Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+5%) 14mo $236,000 $168 66
16 Center St 0.27mi 2/1.5 1,424 (+6%) 11mo $185,000 $130 66
181 Lawn Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,328 (-1%) 2mo $315,000 $237 65
95 Mt Airy Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,465 (+10%) 9mo $241,000 $165 64
23 Elizabeth Street St 0.44mi 2/1.0 1,233 (-8%) 11mo $220,000 $178 57
120 Center St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (+5%) 0mo $232,000 $166 53
65 Davis St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+12%) 6mo $240,000 $160 49
35 E Franklin St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,444 (+8%) 4mo $235,000 $163 48
110 Center St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,430 (+7%) 10mo $205,000 $143 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,206
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$25,647
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18708

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,378 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,001
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $360 -5% $329 +0% $298 +5% $267 +10% $236
Rent -10% $189 -5% $243 +0% $298 +5% $352 +10% $407
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $326 base $298 +0.5pp $269 +1.0pp $240

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
39 Spring St Shavertown, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 14d 1 0.37mi
113 E Center St Shavertown, PA 2.0 1.0 1075 $1,500 $1.40 22d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $109,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 159-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $109,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,025 · $169/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,025 · $169/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,539
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,323
− Management
−$1,323
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$1,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$472
After-tax cash flow
$3,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas SD
NCES district ID
4207200
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$61,760
Composite
48.4/100
National rank
#2138
State rank
#97 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shavertown

Score
71/100
State rank
#688
US rank
#6958

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shavertown, PA
Population (ZIP)
9,063

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Scotch-Irish 3% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.60%
Current HPI
239.7587
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $109,900 LCAR
  • 2014-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,025 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…