69 Mt. Airy Rd · Shavertown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
An opportunity to have a home in Dallas School District with the need of major updates. There was significant damage done to the foor from Termites. Cash Only.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Gas fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Has basement (crawl space with dirt floor)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#688 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Dallas SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #97 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $74k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.62%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,770
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Pioneer Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+5%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $146 | 77 |
| 61 Lehigh St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-3%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $185 | 71 |
| 61 Mt Airy Rd | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-8%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $131 | 69 |
| 102 Pioneer Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+5%) | 14mo | $236,000 | $168 | 66 |
| 16 Center St | 0.27mi | 2/1.5 | 1,424 (+6%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $130 | 66 |
| 181 Lawn Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,328 (-1%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $237 | 65 |
| 95 Mt Airy Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,465 (+10%) | 9mo | $241,000 | $165 | 64 |
| 23 Elizabeth Street St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,233 (-8%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $178 | 57 |
| 120 Center St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+5%) | 0mo | $232,000 | $166 | 53 |
| 65 Davis St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+12%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $160 | 49 |
| 35 E Franklin St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,444 (+8%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $163 | 48 |
| 110 Center St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,430 (+7%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $143 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,206
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $25,647
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18708
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,378 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $360 | -5% $329 | +0% $298 | +5% $267 | +10% $236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $189 | -5% $243 | +0% $298 | +5% $352 | +10% $407 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $326 | base $298 | +0.5pp $269 | +1.0pp $240 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Spring St Shavertown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 113 E Center St Shavertown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-10status $109,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 159-char remark
-
2026-06-07$109,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,025 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,025 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,323
- − Management
- −$1,323
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$472
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207200
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,760
- Composite
- 48.4/100
- National rank
- #2138
- State rank
- #97 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shavertown
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #688
- US rank
- #6958
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shavertown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,063
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Scotch-Irish 3% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.60%
- Current HPI
- 239.7587
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+48.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $109,900 LCAR
- 2014-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,025 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…