49305 State Highway 74 #192 · Palm Desert, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$254,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into luxury 55+ living with this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, style, and ease. Located in a vibrant, amenity-rich community, this stunning residence offers an open concept layout filled with natural light, a gourmet kitchen with quartz countertops and stainless-steel appliances. Whether you're entertaining guests or enjoying quiet evenings at home, every detail is crafted to elevate your lifestyle. Enjoy modern finishes, energy-efficient features, and private outdoor space all within a peaceful, beautiful neighborhood featuring resort-style amenities like a clubhouse, pool, fitness center, and walking paths. Don’t miss the rare opportunity to own a brand-new home in an established 55+ community schedule your private tour today! 49305 State Highway 74 Space #192 Palm Desert, CA 92260
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Clubhouse
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $255k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $255k).
- Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.5% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools A-, employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,698/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 9→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.50%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,410
- List price
- $254,900
- Delta
- 16.71%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49305 Highway 74 #173 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,416 (+0%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $184 | 88 |
| 49305 Highway 74 #117 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 9mo | $147,500 | $102 | 84 |
| 49305 Hwy 74 #89 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 3mo | $131,000 | $91 | 84 |
| 23 Rustic Rock Ln | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $181 | 83 |
| 49305 Highway 74 Spc 33 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $163 | 82 |
| 49305 Highway 74 #11 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 6mo | $208,500 | $145 | 81 |
| 49305 Highway 74 #6 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 3mo | $248,500 | $173 | 80 |
| 49305 Highway 74 #158 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (+9%) | 3mo | $290,000 | $189 | 78 |
| 49305 Highway 74 #4 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+5%) | 1mo | $229,000 | $154 | 76 |
| 49305 Highway 74 #86 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-5%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $167 | 75 |
| 49305 Ca-74 #151 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (+9%) | 9mo | $144,000 | $94 | 73 |
| 25 Pampas Ln | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (+9%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $101 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $27,480
- Equity at exit
- $38,006
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $98,775
- Equity at exit
- $22,039
Cash invested: $71,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92260
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 549
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,698 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$319 /mo · $3,824/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$777
- Net cashflow
- $1,160
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,336 | -5% $1,248 | +0% $1,160 | +5% $1,072 | +10% $984 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $868 | -5% $1,014 | +0% $1,160 | +5% $1,306 | +10% $1,452 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,288 | -0.5pp $1,225 | base $1,160 | +0.5pp $1,094 | +1.0pp $1,027 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,725
- Closing costs
- $7,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73280 Avenida Descanso Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $4,250 | $3.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 72304 Blueridge Ct Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $4,000 | $2.24 | 11d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 48950 Desert Flower Dr Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1348 | $5,000 | $3.71 | 0d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 48828 Desert Flower Dr Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $2,450 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 48790 Desert Flower Dr Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1348 | $2,500 | $1.85 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 48790 Desert Flower Dr Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1348 | $2,500 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 48728 Desert Flower Dr Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $2,400 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 48980 Wildwood Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,795 | $2.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 72346 Sommerset Dr Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $3,950 | $2.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 72417 Rolling Knolls Dr Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $6,500 | $4.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 48624 Moon Terrace Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,600 | $2.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 72350 Rim Dr Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1744 | $3,800 | $2.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 72409 Glenview Cir Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,700 | $1.51 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 72499 Desert Flower Dr Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $3,400 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 73103 Ajo Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1689 | $8,250 | $4.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 48624 Torrito Ct Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $7,000 | $4.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 72818 Skyward Way Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $4,000 | $2.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 73153 Ajo Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $4,500 | $2.84 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 73407 Foxtail Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $2,600 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 73405 Foxtail Ln Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1525 | $4,000 | $2.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 73422 Irontree Dr Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1502 | $3,500 | $2.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 73416 Mariposa Dr Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1685 | $5,000 | $2.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 73429 Foxtail Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1525 | $3,250 | $2.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 72546 Edgehill Dr #4 Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $2,330 | $2.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 73441 Foxtail Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $3,495 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 73446 Dalea Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $6,500 | $5.41 | 18d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 73335 Oriole Ct Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $6,500 | $3.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 73476 Dalea Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $5,000 | $3.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 72629 Edgehill Dr #4 Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $2,500 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $254,900 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $254,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $254,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $254,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $254,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $254,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $254,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $254,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $254,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $254,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $254,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $254,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $254,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $254,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-02-25price $254,900 845-char remark
Show marketing remark (845 chars)
Step into luxury 55+ living with this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, style, and ease. Located in a vibrant, amenity-rich community, this stunning residence offers an open concept layout filled with natural light, a gourmet kitchen with quartz countertops and stainless-steel appliances. Whether you're entertaining guests or enjoying quiet evenings at home, every detail is crafted to elevate your lifestyle. Enjoy modern finishes, energy-efficient features, and private outdoor space all within a peaceful, beautiful neighborhood featuring resort-style amenities like a clubhouse, pool, fitness center, and walking paths. Don’t miss the rare opportunity to own a brand-new home in an established 55+ community schedule your private tour today! 49305 State Highway 74 Space #192 Palm Desert, CA 92260
-
2025-08-07$259,900 Active 845-char remark
Show marketing remark (845 chars)
Step into luxury 55+ living with this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, style, and ease. Located in a vibrant, amenity-rich community, this stunning residence offers an open concept layout filled with natural light, a gourmet kitchen with quartz countertops and stainless-steel appliances. Whether you're entertaining guests or enjoying quiet evenings at home, every detail is crafted to elevate your lifestyle. Enjoy modern finishes, energy-efficient features, and private outdoor space all within a peaceful, beautiful neighborhood featuring resort-style amenities like a clubhouse, pool, fitness center, and walking paths. Don’t miss the rare opportunity to own a brand-new home in an established 55+ community schedule your private tour today! 49305 State Highway 74 Space #192 Palm Desert, CA 92260
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 9 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,278
- − Property taxes
- −$3,824
- − Insurance
- −$1,274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,550
- − Management
- −$3,550
- − Depreciation
- −$7,415
- Taxable income
- $10,483
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,516
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,401/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in excellent condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It's ready for move-in and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Increases resale and rental value
- Both Replace blinds with modern shades — Enhances curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Increases resale and rental value ↑
- Both Replace blinds with modern shades — Enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Palm Desert
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1050
- US rank
- #25164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Desert, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 58,615
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,523
- Household income
- $70,091
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1734.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -364.94%
- Current HPI
- 294.9425
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-1.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $254,900 CRMLS
- 2025-08-07 Listed $259,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…