2917 Apple Ave · Lorain, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this recently updated home in Lorain offering a simple, functional layout and key improvements already taken care of. With 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, this property provides a solid option for buyers looking for an affordable move-in-ready space. The home has been renovated with updated finishes throughout, giving it a clean and refreshed feel. Major mechanical peace of mind comes with a new water tank, helping reduce immediate maintenance concerns for the next owner. Inside, you’ll find a practical floor plan with comfortable living areas and bedrooms that can easily adapt to your needs, whether that’s everyday living, a home office, or guest space. This property is a great fit for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a straightforward opportunity with updates already completed. Conveniently located near local amenities, this home offers a balance of value and functionality without overcomplication.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 59 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.82%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,280
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 8.26%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 E 30th St | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,137 (+2%) | 2mo | $136,800 | $120 | 91 |
| 2623 Elyria Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,109 (0%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $50 | 87 |
| 2349 Kelly Pl | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (+5%) | 1mo | $110,210 | $95 | 71 |
| 2731 Lexington Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-5%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $57 | 71 |
| 3519 Clifton Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,109 (0%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $50 | 63 |
| 3026 Caroline Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,264 (+14%) | 8mo | $173,000 | $137 | 61 |
| 3209 Tressa Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,089 (-2%) | 0mo | $206,000 | $189 | 57 |
| 3266 Livingston Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 971 (-12%) | 6mo | $97,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 623 W 24th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-5%) | 6mo | $140,700 | $133 | 55 |
| 504 W 21st St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (+6%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $98 | 54 |
| 3522 Oakdale Ave Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,231 (+11%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $122 | 45 |
| 2027 Lexington Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+14%) | 4mo | $63,000 | $50 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $7,278
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $36,511
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44055
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,269 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $822/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2715 Apple Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,311 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3132 Elyria Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1109 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 117 W 30th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $925 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2550 Elyria Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,200 | $1.57 | 8d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 336 W 29th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2349 Elyria Ave Unit 2 Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $925 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 612 E 33rd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $995 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 128 W 22nd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1402 | $1,470 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 509 W 24th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3502 Lowell Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,095 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 704 W 21st St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 938 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 942 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 944 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1724 Lexington Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,215 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2307 Washington Ave Lorain, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,499 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 939 W 22nd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1703 Oakdale Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1237 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1637 E 29th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $979 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1639 E 31st St Unit 1637 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1421 Long Ave Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,140 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 521 W 14th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $950 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 930 W 18th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 420 W 12th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1730 E 30th St Unit 1730 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1053 Washington Ave Unit 4 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $899 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1220 W 19th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1492 | $1,550 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1055 W 12th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1206 | $1,750 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1777 E 37th St Unit 1777 Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1813 E 30th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1312 W 37th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1818 E 29th St Unit 1816 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4850 Oneil Blvd Lorain, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 981 | $915 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1031 W 9th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $895 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $99,900 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Welcome to this recently updated home in Lorain offering a simple, functional layout and key improvements already taken care of. With 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, this property provides a solid option for buyers looking for an affordable move-in-ready space. The home has been renovated with updated finishes throughout, giving it a clean and refreshed feel. Major mechanical peace of mind comes with a new water tank, helping reduce immediate maintenance concerns for the next owner. Inside, you’ll find a practical floor plan with comfortable living areas and bedrooms that can easily adapt to your needs, whether that’s everyday living, a home office, or guest space. This property is a great fit for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a straightforward opportunity with updates already completed. Conveniently located near local amenities, this home offers a balance of value and functionality without overcomplication.
-
2026-04-20$109,900 Active 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Welcome to this recently updated home in Lorain offering a simple, functional layout and key improvements already taken care of. With 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, this property provides a solid option for buyers looking for an affordable move-in-ready space. The home has been renovated with updated finishes throughout, giving it a clean and refreshed feel. Major mechanical peace of mind comes with a new water tank, helping reduce immediate maintenance concerns for the next owner. Inside, you’ll find a practical floor plan with comfortable living areas and bedrooms that can easily adapt to your needs, whether that’s everyday living, a home office, or guest space. This property is a great fit for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a straightforward opportunity with updates already completed. Conveniently located near local amenities, this home offers a balance of value and functionality without overcomplication.
-
2025-11-16historical $950
-
2025-10-27price $950
-
2025-10-12price $1,050
-
2025-09-25price $1,199
-
2025-09-22$1,299
-
2024-08-13soldstatus $282,000
-
2024-04-22soldstatus $5,000,000
-
2017-03-31soldstatus $1,990,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $822 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,190 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$368/yr (+$31/mo · 44.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,231
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$822
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,218
- − Management
- −$1,218
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,970
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$713
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,711/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lorain City
- NCES district ID
- 3904426
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,823
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9266
- State rank
- #633 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lorain
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #10183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorain, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 69,409
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,043
- Household income
- $40,636
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1140.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 24% Black 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.26%
- Current HPI
- 180.9309
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-95.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-20 Listed $109,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-11-16 Rental Removed $950 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $950 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $1,050 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $1,199 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-09-22 Listed for Rent $1,299 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $282,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $5,000,000 Public Records
- 2017-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $1,990,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $822 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…