🌊 Lakefront
9000 US Hwy 192 #598 · Four Corners, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Park model with addition, located in a resort type lake front, golf course community, on a large corner lot. This property is nicely furnished and just a short distance from the clubhouse.
Key facts
- New siding
- Boat access
- Upgraded insulation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Manufactured home; Living area approximately 708 square feet; Lot approximately 0.05 acre (about 207 m²); Water access to Lake Davenport (lake access; skiing allowed); Unit is furnished
- Financial info: Total monthly fees shown as $256; Total annual fees shown as $3,072; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Association: Sabrina Stone; Monthly HOA: $256 (Quarterly fee $768); Association approval required; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, gated access, park, playground, tennis courts, golf, dog park, community mailbox, street lights, and security; Full-time management; Buyer approval required; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Special community restrictions and fence restrictions; Golf carts allowed
Exterior
- Parking: No specific parking details provided
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Residential manufactured home; Single-wide body type; Two stories; Faces northeast
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a completed home
- Exterior features: Lighting; Rain gutters; Storage; No patio or porch listed; In county lot; Near golf course; Near public transit; Paved lot; Asphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Water filtration system
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen/family room combo; Thermostat; Skylight(s); Blinds; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-743/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (7.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Loughman Oaks Elementary School (math 36% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,670 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 1,052 students, 37% FRL); Lake Alfred Polytech Academy (math 41% / reading 43%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 645 students, 59% FRL); Davenport High School (2,333 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 60% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 729 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $505 of equity ($967 loan paydown + $-462 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $140k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.90%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.33% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-14,106
- Equity at exit
- $38,329
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-16,500
- Equity at exit
- $44,282
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34714
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 729
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,381 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$256
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $-62
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $17 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-62 | +5% $-102 | +10% $-141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-171 | -5% $-117 | +0% $-62 | +5% $-7 | +10% $47 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9 | -0.5pp $-26 | base $-62 | +0.5pp $-98 | +1.0pp $-135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9000 US Highway 192 #115 Clermont, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 364 | $950 | $2.61 | 12d | 1 | 0.15mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $256 · $3,072/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $139,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-19price $139,900
-
2026-03-19$139,000 Active
-
2009-06-02soldstatus $62,000
-
2009-05-29soldstatus $62,000 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Park model with addition, located in a resort type lake front, golf course community, on a large corner lot. This property is nicely furnished and just a short distance from the clubhouse.
-
2009-02-26$68,500 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Park model with addition, located in a resort type lake front, golf course community, on a large corner lot. This property is nicely furnished and just a short distance from the clubhouse.
-
2005-01-12soldstatus $53,000
-
1996-03-01soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,572
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,326
- − Management
- −$1,326
- − HOA
- −$3,072
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$3,017
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$724
- After-tax cash flow
- $-19/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Four Corners
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #453
- US rank
- #8218
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Four Corners, FL
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 27,422
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,200
- Household income
- $75,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 953.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 25% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.33%
- Current HPI
- 256.1331
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.46%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+169.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2009-05-29 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-02-26 Listed $68,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1996-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,260 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…