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9000 US Hwy 192 #598 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 42.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0

$139,900

9000 US Hwy 192 #598 · Four Corners, FL 34714
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 388 sqft · Condo public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1991 $256/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Park model with addition, located in a resort type lake front, golf course community, on a large corner lot. This property is nicely furnished and just a short distance from the clubhouse.

Key facts

  • New siding
  • Boat access
  • Upgraded insulation

Tags

CORNER LOTNEW SIDINGDOUBLE-PANE WINDOWSUPGRADED INSULATIONGATED RESORT COMMUNITYBOAT ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Manufactured home; Living area approximately 708 square feet; Lot approximately 0.05 acre (about 207 m²); Water access to Lake Davenport (lake access; skiing allowed); Unit is furnished
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees shown as $256; Total annual fees shown as $3,072; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Association: Sabrina Stone; Monthly HOA: $256 (Quarterly fee $768); Association approval required; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, gated access, park, playground, tennis courts, golf, dog park, community mailbox, street lights, and security; Full-time management; Buyer approval required; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Special community restrictions and fence restrictions; Golf carts allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: No specific parking details provided
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home; Single-wide body type; Two stories; Faces northeast
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a completed home
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Rain gutters; Storage; No patio or porch listed; In county lot; Near golf course; Near public transit; Paved lot; Asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Water filtration system
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen/family room combo; Thermostat; Skylight(s); Blinds; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-743/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (1.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Loughman Oaks Elementary School (math 36% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,670 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 1,052 students, 37% FRL); Lake Alfred Polytech Academy (math 41% / reading 43%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 645 students, 59% FRL); Davenport High School (2,333 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 60% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 729 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $505 of equity ($967 loan paydown + $-462 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $140k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,309 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  10. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  11. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.90%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.33% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-14,106
Equity at exit
$38,329
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-16,500
Equity at exit
$44,282

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34714

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
729
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,381 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$256
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$-62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,459
Max offer price $128,956
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17 -5% $-22 +0% $-62 +5% $-102 +10% $-141
Rent -10% $-171 -5% $-117 +0% $-62 +5% $-7 +10% $47
Rate -1.0pp $9 -0.5pp $-26 base $-62 +0.5pp $-98 +1.0pp $-135

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9000 US Highway 192 #115 Clermont, FL 1.0 1.0 364 $950 $2.61 12d 1 0.15mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$256 · $3,072/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $139,900 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-03-19
    price $139,900
  17. 2026-03-19
    listed $139,000 Active
  18. 2009-06-02
    soldstatus $62,000
  19. 2009-05-29
    soldstatus $62,000 188-char remark
    Show marketing remark (188 chars)

    Park model with addition, located in a resort type lake front, golf course community, on a large corner lot. This property is nicely furnished and just a short distance from the clubhouse.

  20. 2009-02-26
    listed $68,500 188-char remark
    Show marketing remark (188 chars)

    Park model with addition, located in a resort type lake front, golf course community, on a large corner lot. This property is nicely furnished and just a short distance from the clubhouse.

  21. 2005-01-12
    soldstatus $53,000
  22. 1996-03-01
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,260 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,260 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,572
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,260
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,326
− Management
−$1,326
− HOA
−$3,072
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$3,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$724
After-tax cash flow
$-19/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Four Corners

Score
69/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#8218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Four Corners, FL
County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
27,422
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,200
Household income
$75,392
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
953.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 25% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.33%
Current HPI
256.1331
Rent YoY
▼ -3.46%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2009-05-29 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-02-26 Listed $68,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1996-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,260 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…