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407 W Lewis St
B- Composite 69.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

407 W Lewis St · Whiteville, NC 28472
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1950 10,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special in Whiteville! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 864 square feet of potential and is ready for your next project. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property presents an excellent opportunity for renovation and value-add improvements. The home is in need of new flooring throughout, making it a great candidate for customization and upgrades to suit your investment strategy. Conveniently located near Central Middle School, this property provides easy access to local amenities, schools, and town conveniences. Whether you're looking to add to your rental portfolio or complete a fix-and-hold project, this property has strong income potential once improvements are co

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 74 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R6; Lot approximately 0.23 acres (50 x 200); Road frontage on city street and state road; Directions: From US 74 travel south on US 701 to Lewis Street. Turn right, the house is on the left.
  • Financial info: Information not provided
  • HOA & community: Not in a subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Information not provided
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Block foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Front porch; No fencing; Metal roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Information not provided
  • Bedrooms: Information not provided
  • Flooring: Information not provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall/window unit cooling; No central heating
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Has a view
  • Laundry & utility: Information not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 4.2% in Whiteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#361 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Whiteville City Schools (town): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #81 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Whiteville Primary (501 students, 99% FRL); Central Middle (math 46% / reading 45%, grade D+, #154 of 475 statewide, top 33%, 462 students, 99% FRL); Whiteville High (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C, #248 of 535 statewide, top 48%, 662 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Columbus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbus County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $51,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
16.27%
Cash-on-cash
35.63%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,784
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
430 W W. Virgil St 0.29mi 3/1.0 937 (+8%) 6mo $45,000 $48 63
107 W Williamson St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 906 (+5%) 19mo $141,500 $156 49
229 E Calhoun St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+4%) 12mo $145,000 $161 43
205 N Thompson St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+4%) 16mo $65,000 $72 40
223 E Columbus St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 812 (-6%) 16mo $50,000 $62 37
115 E Wyche St 0.69mi 3/1.0 966 (+12%) 14mo $180,000 $186 33
222 E Calhoun St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (+7%) 22mo $157,000 $170 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$20,194
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
38.4%
Equity multiple
4.57×
Total profit
$55,025
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28472

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $257/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $421
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $488 -5% $473 +0% $457 +5% $442 +10% $426
Rent -10% $378 -5% $418 +0% $457 +5% $497 +10% $536
Rate -1.0pp $485 -0.5pp $471 base $457 +0.5pp $443 +1.0pp $428

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 W Calhoun St Unit 1st Whiteville, NC 2.0 1.0 640 $1,000 $1.56 14d 1 0.23mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-04-07
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$257 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$451 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$194/yr (+$16/mo · 75.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,000
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$257
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$4,867
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,168
After-tax cash flow
$4,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Whiteville City Schools
NCES district ID
3704920
Math proficiency
49% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,751
Composite
39.27/100
National rank
#3999
State rank
#81 of 178 in NC

Livability — Whiteville

Score
64/100
State rank
#361
US rank
#14254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Whiteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
17,833

Population outlook (Columbus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,250 people
By 2030
52,378 · -3.5%
By 2040
48,226 · -11.1%
By 2050
44,103 · -18.7%
By 2075
35,271 · -35.0%
By 2100
26,909 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbus

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.8% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: R+7.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.72%
Current HPI
252.022
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $55,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $257 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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