4701 Flat Shoals Rd Unit 25F · Union City, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Shopping centres
- Courtyard area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.4% in Union City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#443 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($581 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.07%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,796
- List price
- $84,000
- Delta
- -17.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $62,357
- Equity at exit
- $75,674
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.14×
- Total profit
- $167,963
- Equity at exit
- $163,194
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30291
- Home prices YoY
- 11.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,421 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$290
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6305 Shannon Pkwy Apt 101 Union City, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,650 | $2.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 6305 Shannon Pkwy Union City, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $2,150 | $3.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4483 Flat Shoals Rd Union City, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 957 | $1,195 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6425 Oakley Rd Union City, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $1,147 | $1.11 | 4d | 18 | 0.76mi |
| 6341 Raymond Ter Union City, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,250 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6410 Raymond Ter Union City, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $1,000 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5058 Jonesboro Rd Union City, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 997 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5058 Jonesboro Rd Unit E37 Union City, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 997 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6510 Lower Dixie Lake Rd Union City, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $290 · $3,480/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $84,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $84,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $84,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $84,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $84,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $84,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $84,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $84,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $84,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-04-24price $84,000 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.
-
2026-04-20status Back On Market 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.
-
2026-04-13historical 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.
-
2026-01-13$87,000 New 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.
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2025-12-31historical
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2025-10-17price $90,000
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2025-09-08price $95,000
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2025-08-05price $100,000
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2025-06-30$105,000 New
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2025-02-04historical
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2025-02-04historical
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2024-10-21price $95,500
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2024-10-21price $95,500
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2024-10-21price $95,247
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2024-10-13price $100,000
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2024-10-13price $100,000
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2024-10-06$110,000 Active
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2024-10-04$110,000 New
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2023-06-28soldstatus $81,000
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2023-06-02soldstatus $81,000 Closed
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2023-06-02soldstatus $81,000 Sold
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2023-04-29status Pending
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2023-04-29status Under Contract
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2023-04-20$79,900 Active
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2023-04-20$79,900 New
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2019-06-17soldstatus $35,000 Closed
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2019-04-22status Pending
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2019-03-11$31,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $974 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $974 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,364
- − Management
- −$1,364
- − HOA
- −$3,480
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $2,298
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$551
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,757/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — Union City
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #443
- US rank
- #21281
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Union City, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 25,130
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,130
- Household income
- $48,184
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1778.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.98%
- Current HPI
- 239.3471
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+163.3% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $84,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $87,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $90,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $95,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $100,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-30 Listed $105,000 GAMLS
- 2025-02-04 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-02-04 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-10-21 Price Changed $95,500 GAMLS
- 2024-10-21 Price Changed $95,500 FMLS
- 2024-10-21 Price Changed $95,247 FMLS
- 2024-10-13 Price Changed $100,000 FMLS
- 2024-10-13 Price Changed $100,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-06 Listed $110,000 FMLS
- 2024-10-04 Listed $110,000 GAMLS
- 2023-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-02 Sold (MLS) $81,000 GAMLS
- 2023-06-02 Sold (MLS) $81,000 FMLS
- 2023-04-29 Pending — FMLS
- 2023-04-29 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-04-20 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2023-04-20 Listed $79,900 FMLS
- 2019-06-17 Sold (MLS) $35,000 FMLS
- 2019-04-22 Pending — FMLS
- 2019-03-11 Listed $31,900 FMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $974 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…