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4701 Flat Shoals Rd Unit 25F
A Composite 86.53
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$84,000

4701 Flat Shoals Rd Unit 25F · Union City, GA 30291
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 750 sqft · Condo public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1972 $112/sqft · 17% below area Est $102k · 17% under $290/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Shopping centres
  • Courtyard area

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYBASKETBALL COURTSCOURTYARD AREASHOPPING CENTRESRESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.4% in Union City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#443 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($581 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
10.23%
Cash-on-cash
14.07%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,796
List price
$84,000
Delta
-17.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.2%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$62,357
Equity at exit
$75,674
10-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
8.14×
Total profit
$167,963
Equity at exit
$163,194

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30291

Home prices YoY
11.1%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,421 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$290
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,072
Max offer price $84,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6305 Shannon Pkwy Apt 101 Union City, GA 2.0 1.0 676 $1,650 $2.44 44d 1 0.18mi
6305 Shannon Pkwy Union City, GA 2.0 1.0 676 $2,150 $3.18 24d 1 0.19mi
4483 Flat Shoals Rd Union City, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 957 $1,195 $1.25 44d 1 0.47mi
6425 Oakley Rd Union City, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1037 $1,147 $1.11 4d 18 0.76mi
6341 Raymond Ter Union City, GA 2.0 1.0 798 $1,250 $1.57 5d 1 1.00mi
6410 Raymond Ter Union City, GA 2.0 1.0 783 $1,000 $1.28 44d 1 1.04mi
5058 Jonesboro Rd Union City, GA 2.0 1.0–1.5 997 $1,395 $1.40 21d 1 1.13mi
5058 Jonesboro Rd Unit E37 Union City, GA 2.0 1.5 997 $1,395 $1.40 4d 1 1.13mi
6510 Lower Dixie Lake Rd Union City, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 44d 1 1.23mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$290 · $3,480/yr
Likely covers
security
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,000 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,000 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,000 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,000 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,000 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,000 Active 116 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,000 Active 115 DOM
  13. 2026-04-24
    price $84,000 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.

  14. 2026-04-20
    status Back On Market 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.

  15. 2026-04-13
    historical 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.

  16. 2026-01-13
    listed $87,000 New 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Great 1 Bedroom Condo in Shannon Villas; a Gated Community only 6 minutes away from Interstate 285 South/Interstate 85. The Shannon Villa community has both adult and children's basketball courts, large courtyard area and beautiful neighbourhood scenery. The local area surrounding the Shannon Villas community features shopping centres and several restaurants. Only 14 minutes away from Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport.

  17. 2025-12-31
    historical
  18. 2025-10-17
    price $90,000
  19. 2025-09-08
    price $95,000
  20. 2025-08-05
    price $100,000
  21. 2025-06-30
    listed $105,000 New
  22. 2025-02-04
    historical
  23. 2025-02-04
    historical
  24. 2024-10-21
    price $95,500
  25. 2024-10-21
    price $95,500
  26. 2024-10-21
    price $95,247
  27. 2024-10-13
    price $100,000
  28. 2024-10-13
    price $100,000
  29. 2024-10-06
    listed $110,000 Active
  30. 2024-10-04
    listed $110,000 New
  31. 2023-06-28
    soldstatus $81,000
  32. 2023-06-02
    soldstatus $81,000 Closed
  33. 2023-06-02
    soldstatus $81,000 Sold
  34. 2023-04-29
    status Pending
  35. 2023-04-29
    status Under Contract
  36. 2023-04-20
    listed $79,900 Active
  37. 2023-04-20
    listed $79,900 New
  38. 2019-06-17
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed
  39. 2019-04-22
    status Pending
  40. 2019-03-11
    listed $31,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$974 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$974 · $81/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,049
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,364
− Management
−$1,364
− HOA
−$3,480
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable income
$2,298
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$551
After-tax cash flow
$2,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — Union City

Score
58/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#21281

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Union City, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
25,130
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
25,130
Household income
$48,184
Rent vs Own
61.3% rent · 38.7% own
Severe rent burden
1778.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.98%
Current HPI
239.3471
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.3% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $84,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $87,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $90,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $95,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Price Changed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Listed $105,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-02-04 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2025-02-04 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-10-21 Price Changed $95,500 GAMLS
  • 2024-10-21 Price Changed $95,500 FMLS
  • 2024-10-21 Price Changed $95,247 FMLS
  • 2024-10-13 Price Changed $100,000 FMLS
  • 2024-10-13 Price Changed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-10-06 Listed $110,000 FMLS
  • 2024-10-04 Listed $110,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-02 Sold (MLS) $81,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-06-02 Sold (MLS) $81,000 FMLS
  • 2023-04-29 Pending FMLS
  • 2023-04-29 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-04-20 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-04-20 Listed $79,900 FMLS
  • 2019-06-17 Sold (MLS) $35,000 FMLS
  • 2019-04-22 Pending FMLS
  • 2019-03-11 Listed $31,900 FMLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $974 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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