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2649 Vulcan St
C- Composite 51.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

2649 Vulcan St · Harvey, LA 70058
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,554 sqft · SingleFamily · 46 Days on market
Built 1975 7,148 sqft lot $148/sqft · 14% below area Est $267k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this spacious well maintained 3-bedroom 2-bathroom home. The home includes plenty of storage with a 1 car garage, and plenty of off-street parking. The nice backyard and large covered patio make for a great entertainment area. This home comes with the benefit of a three-year-old HVAC system. Call today to book your showing.

Key facts

  • Backyard
  • Covered patio
  • Hvac system

Tags

BACKYARDCOVERED PATIOHVAC SYSTEM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; Off-street parking; Three or more parking spaces
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story property; Slab foundation; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built with a slab foundation; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Fence; Covered concrete patio/porch; Rectangular, city lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and other living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Very good condition; Security system

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (10.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.8% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#166 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.9%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $67k; list at $230k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,608 (10.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
4.01%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$266,816
List price
$230,000
Delta
-13.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2289 Colombo Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,715 (+10%) 14mo $293,000 $171 67
2241 Hampton Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+9%) 4mo $150,000 $88 67
2214 N Friendship Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,453 (-6%) 7mo $235,000 $162 61
2282 N Village Green St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+3%) 10mo $230,000 $144 58
2323 N Harper Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,678 (+8%) 10mo $350,000 $209 57
1857 Stall Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+3%) 12mo $160,500 $100 53
2239 S Village Green St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,641 (+6%) 10mo $255,000 $155 52
2128 Missile St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,673 (+8%) 18mo $255,000 $152 49
3405 W Parc Green St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,650 (+6%) 12mo $254,000 $154 45
2120 Colombo Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,726 (+11%) 14mo $245,000 $142 44
34 Terraza Del Oeste Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,409 (-9%) 12mo $220,000 $156 44
1909 Stall Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+13%) 10mo $182,000 $104 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-33,899
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-40,876
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70058

Rents YoY
-3.9%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,066 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,383/yr
Insurance
$96
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$434
Net cashflow
$149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,878
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2278 Telestar St Harvey, LA 4.0 2.0 2121 $2,450 $1.16 23d 1 0.09mi
2713 W Friendship Dr Harvey, LA 3.0 2.0 1750 $1,850 $1.06 23d 1 0.27mi
2323 N Harper Dr Harvey, LA 3.0 2.0 1678 $3,000 $1.79 43d 1 0.45mi
3014 Destrehan Ave Harvey, LA 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,600 $1.39 43d 1 0.91mi
1805 Redwood Dr Harvey, LA 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,850 $1.46 21d 1 1.03mi
1849 Redwood Dr Harvey, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,900 $1.19 23d 1 1.08mi
1849 Redwood Dr Harvey, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,900 $1.19 43d 1 1.08mi
1500 Lorene Dr Harvey, LA 3.0 1.0–2.0 766 $1,790 $2.34 3d 8 1.16mi
2236 Litchwood Ln Harvey, LA 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,200 $1.22 3d 1 1.22mi
2236 Litchwood Ln Harvey, LA 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,200 $1.22 2d 1 1.22mi
1645 Dogwood Dr Harvey, LA 4.0 1.0 1185 $1,800 $1.52 23d 1 1.23mi
2331 Justin Ln Unit Justin Harvey, LA 2.0 1.5 1384 $1,552 $1.12 43d 1 1.24mi
2700 Whitney Ave Harvey, LA 3.0 1.0–2.0 844 $1,538 $1.82 2d 11 1.26mi
1840 Mathis Ave Harvey, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 43d 1 1.31mi
829 Bellemeade Blvd Gretna, LA 4.0 2.0 1805 $2,400 $1.33 43d 1 1.36mi
1499 Central Park Blvd Harvey, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,195 $2.19 3d 18 1.45mi
4016 S Dells St Harvey, LA 4.0 2.0 1750 $2,000 $1.14 43d 1 1.49mi
4112 Lac Bienville Dr Unit A Harvey, LA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,400 $1.27 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $230,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-05-03
    listed $240,000 Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Check out this spacious well maintained 3-bedroom 2-bathroom home. The home includes plenty of storage with a 1 car garage, and plenty of off-street parking. The nice backyard and large covered patio make for a great entertainment area. This home comes with the benefit of a three-year-old HVAC system. Call today to book your showing.

  15. 2026-05-03
    listed $240,000 Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Check out this spacious well maintained 3-bedroom 2-bathroom home. The home includes plenty of storage with a 1 car garage, and plenty of off-street parking. The nice backyard and large covered patio make for a great entertainment area. This home comes with the benefit of a three-year-old HVAC system. Call today to book your showing.

  16. 1986-03-01
    soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,383 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,383 · $115/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,793
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$1,383
− Insurance
−$1,948
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,983
− Management
−$1,983
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$2,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$499
After-tax cash flow
$2,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson Parish
NCES district ID
2200840
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$48,421
Composite
25.19/100
National rank
#7511
State rank
#44 of 98 in LA

Livability — Harvey

Score
64/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#13980

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harvey, LA
County
Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
City population
39,578
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
39,578
Household income
$62,416
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1992.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
451,696 people
By 2030
455,451 · +0.8%
By 2040
458,308 · +1.5%
By 2050
461,031 · +2.1%
By 2075
476,351 · +5.5%
By 2100
499,377 · +10.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.82%
Current HPI
156.1052
Rent YoY
▼ -3.88%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+243.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $230,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $230,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $240,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,383 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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