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4406 Yorktown Pl #81
C- Composite 51.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

4406 Yorktown Pl #81 · McKee City, NJ 08232
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · Condo public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1985 $172/sqft · at area comps Est $168k · at est. $200/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Vacant and Ready to Close. 2nd Floor Unit with a spiral stair Loft Inviting Cathedral Ceilings, bright kitchen, sliders overlooking mature trees adding privacy and comfort. Open Concept Condo located close to Shopping, Casinos, AC Expressway, Golf Course, and so much Mays Landing has to offer. Schedule today.

Key facts

  • Spacious loft
  • $200 HOA
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

PRIVATE TREE-LINED BALCONYSPACIOUS LOFT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.0% in McKee City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hamilton Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #401 of 472 in NJ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $175k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $172,276 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.87%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$168,214
List price
$174,900
Delta
4.03%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-10,314
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$14,674
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08232

Home prices YoY
-17.3%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,146 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$225 /mo · $2,696/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$200
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,791
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2703 Mimosa Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1268 $2,200 $1.74 13d 1 0.57mi
2529 Cottonwood Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1376 $2,200 $1.60 13d 1 0.58mi
2529 Cottonwood Ct Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 1.5 1376 $2,200 $1.60 44d 1 0.58mi
2807 Hawthorn Ct Mays Landing, NJ 1.0 1.0 929 $1,800 $1.94 13d 1 0.64mi
3401 Montgomery Dr Mays Landing, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1192 $2,240 $1.88 13d 18 0.77mi
2605 Flagstaff Ct #2605 Mays Landing, NJ 2.0 2.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 21d 1 0.88mi
1932 Cologne Ave Mays Landing, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,695 $2.19 13d 1 1.03mi
2000 Timber Glen Dr Mays Landing, NJ 2.0–3.0 2.5 1577 $2,441 $1.55 13d 2 1.04mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$200 · $2,400/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $174,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $174,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $174,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    remarks 502-char remark
  16. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on marketlisting id $174,900 Active 1 DOM
  17. 2026-04-14
    status Active 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    Vacant and Ready to Close. 2nd Floor Unit with a spiral stair Loft Inviting Cathedral Ceilings, bright kitchen, sliders overlooking mature trees adding privacy and comfort. Open Concept Condo located close to Shopping, Casinos, AC Expressway, Golf Course, and so much Mays Landing has to offer. Schedule today.

  18. 2026-03-06
    historical Under Contract 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    Vacant and Ready to Close. 2nd Floor Unit with a spiral stair Loft Inviting Cathedral Ceilings, bright kitchen, sliders overlooking mature trees adding privacy and comfort. Open Concept Condo located close to Shopping, Casinos, AC Expressway, Golf Course, and so much Mays Landing has to offer. Schedule today.

  19. 2025-12-22
    listed $175,000 Active 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    Vacant and Ready to Close. 2nd Floor Unit with a spiral stair Loft Inviting Cathedral Ceilings, bright kitchen, sliders overlooking mature trees adding privacy and comfort. Open Concept Condo located close to Shopping, Casinos, AC Expressway, Golf Course, and so much Mays Landing has to offer. Schedule today.

  20. 2019-03-13
    soldstatus $63,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,696 · $225/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,526 · $294/mo
Expected delta
+$829/yr (+$69/mo · 30.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,752
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$2,696
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,060
− Management
−$2,060
− HOA
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$186
After-tax cash flow
$3,181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton Township School District
NCES district ID
3406510
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$60,997
Composite
21.34/100
National rank
#8372
State rank
#401 of 472 in NJ

Livability — McKee City

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
McKee City, NJ
Population (ZIP)
20,200

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Black 33% Two or more races 22% White 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 14%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.51%
Current HPI
346.2085
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted SJSRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $175,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2019-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,696 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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