🌊 Lakefront
8032 Meadowlark Ln · Port St. Lucie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lakefront Islander III model offering 2 bedrooms, 2 baths + den/office with french doors. Home has recent updates throughout including 2019 roof, wood laminate floors, new paint, new stainless appliances and move in ready! All measurements approximate, buyer to ver
Key facts
- Elegant french doors
- Versatile den
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in a senior community
- Financial info: Land lease required (monthly); Pets allowed with possible restrictions (breed/number limits)
- HOA & community: Community association (SCHOA) with monthly fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, fitness center, spa/hot tub, sauna, tennis and pickleball courts, bocce, shuffleboard, putting green, golf course access, jogging path, cafe/restaurant, library, billiard room, community room, internet included, and recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Attached carport (1 covered space); Driveway; Decorative parking; Open parking available
- Security: Gated community (no guard); Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Cable available; Underground utilities; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Resale condition; Faces north; East of US-1; Waterfront
- Construction: Pre-fab construction; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Mobile home remains
- Exterior features: Screened patio; Screened porch; Patio; Porch; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Walk-in closets; Stacked bedroom layout; French doors
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with laundry tub
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Savanna Ridge Elementary School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 452 students, 75% FRL); Port St. Lucie High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 1,748 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.52%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,712
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7928 Meadowlark Ln | 0.14mi | 2/3.0 | 1,475 (-5%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $44 | 80 |
| 3720 Pebble Bch | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+4%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $140 | 74 |
| 3700 Westchester Ct | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,480 (-5%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $88 | 72 |
| 8380 Gallberry Cir | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,527 (-2%) | 15mo | $278,000 | $182 | 66 |
| 7822 White Ibis Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+4%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $71 | 66 |
| 3817 Sleepy Hollow Ln | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,390 (-10%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $187 | 66 |
| 7728 Mcclintock Ct | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,692 (+9%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $109 | 60 |
| 8522 Leadtree Ct | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,550 (-0%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $158 | 58 |
| 3005 Approach Shot Way | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,333 (-14%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $112 | 58 |
| 8394 Delphinium Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (-10%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $158 | 57 |
| 3115 Palm Warbler Ct | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,429 (-8%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 8526 Lidflower Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,404 (-10%) | 6mo | $70,900 | $50 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-16,055
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,749
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,049 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$310
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,764 | $1.77 | 14d | 15 | 1.11mi |
| 2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $2,950 | $2.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1425 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $1,926 | $1.72 | 14d | 6 | 1.31mi |
| 1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $2,055 | $2.03 | 14d | 7 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $310 · $3,720/yr
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-04-12price $175,000
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2026-02-19$177,900 Active
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2021-08-27soldstatus $130,000 Closed 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lakefront Islander III model offering 2 bedrooms, 2 baths + den/office with french doors. Home has recent updates throughout including 2019 roof, wood laminate floors, new paint, new stainless appliances and move in ready! All measurements approximate, buyer to ver
-
2021-08-27soldstatus $169,571
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lakefront Islander III model offering 2 bedrooms, 2 baths + den/office with french doors. Home has recent updates throughout including 2019 roof, wood laminate floors, new paint, new stainless appliances and move in ready! All measurements approximate, buyer to ver
-
2021-08-13historical Active Under Contract 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lakefront Islander III model offering 2 bedrooms, 2 baths + den/office with french doors. Home has recent updates throughout including 2019 roof, wood laminate floors, new paint, new stainless appliances and move in ready! All measurements approximate, buyer to ver
-
2021-07-14status Active 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lakefront Islander III model offering 2 bedrooms, 2 baths + den/office with french doors. Home has recent updates throughout including 2019 roof, wood laminate floors, new paint, new stainless appliances and move in ready! All measurements approximate, buyer to ver
-
2021-07-07historical Active Under Contract 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lakefront Islander III model offering 2 bedrooms, 2 baths + den/office with french doors. Home has recent updates throughout including 2019 roof, wood laminate floors, new paint, new stainless appliances and move in ready! All measurements approximate, buyer to ver
-
2021-07-01$135,000 Active 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lakefront Islander III model offering 2 bedrooms, 2 baths + den/office with french doors. Home has recent updates throughout including 2019 roof, wood laminate floors, new paint, new stainless appliances and move in ready! All measurements approximate, buyer to ver
-
2021-06-24historical $135,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Lakefront Islander III model offering 2 bedrooms, 2 baths + den/office with french doors. Home has recent updates throughout including 2019 roof, wood laminate floors, new paint, new stainless appliances and move in ready! All measurements approximate, buyer to ver
-
2020-07-07historical
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2020-01-27status Active
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2020-01-24historical Active Under Contract
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2020-01-06$110,000 Active
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2019-11-26soldstatus $101,600
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2019-05-14historical
-
2018-12-29price $89,000
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2018-11-14$109,000 Active
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2018-11-13historical
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2018-07-20$115,000 Active
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2015-02-05historical
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2014-10-18historical
-
2013-09-21historical
-
2011-04-01$62,000
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2010-12-30soldstatus $47,000
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2010-12-16historical
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2010-08-01$53,000
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2006-12-12$123,500
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2006-01-18$129,900
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2003-12-08soldstatus $8,500,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,114 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,452 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$339/yr (+$28/mo · 30.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,114
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,967
- − Management
- −$1,967
- − HOA
- −$3,720
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $54
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$13
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port St. Lucie
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 221,051
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-97.9% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $175,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $177,900 Beaches MLS
- 2021-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $169,571 Public Records
- 2021-08-27 Sold (MLS) $130,000 Beaches MLS
- 2021-08-13 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2021-07-14 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2021-07-07 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2021-07-01 Listed $135,000 Beaches MLS
- 2021-06-24 Coming Soon $135,000 Beaches MLS
- 2020-07-07 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2020-01-27 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2020-01-24 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2020-01-06 Listed $110,000 Beaches MLS
- 2019-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $101,600 Public Records
- 2019-05-14 Listing Removed — MCRTC
- 2018-12-29 Price Changed $89,000 MCRTC
- 2018-11-14 Listed $109,000 MCRTC
- 2018-11-13 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2018-07-20 Listed $115,000 Beaches MLS
- 2015-02-05 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2014-10-18 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2013-09-21 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2011-04-01 Listed $62,000 Beaches MLS
- 2010-12-30 Sold (MLS) $47,000 Beaches MLS
- 2010-12-16 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2010-08-01 Listed $53,000 Beaches MLS
- 2006-12-12 Listed $123,500 Beaches MLS
- 2006-01-18 Listed $129,900 Beaches MLS
- 2003-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $8,500,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,114 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…