🏷️ Likely Rental
9111 66th Ave NW #101 · Rosedale, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This move-in ready home features brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout and new stainless steel appliances. Comp Roof. The spacious primary suite includes a full bath and dual closets. Enjoy a bright kitchen with a breakfast bar and pantry. Situated on a desirable corner lot, this home offers a private paved driveway, carport, and storage shed. Located in a well-maintained park with a play area, picnic space, and RV parking. Space rent is $1,100/month and includes water and sewer. Owner financing available—must be park approved.
Key facts
- Play area
- Carport
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#397 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Peninsula School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #21 of 291 in WA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.29%
- DSCR
- 3.68
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,000
- List price
- $89,950
- Delta
- -32.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9111 66th Ave NW #126 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (+3%) | 1mo | $134,000 | $140 | 94 |
| 9111 66th Ave NW #121 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (0%) | 4mo | $49,500 | $54 | 91 |
| 9111 66th Ave NW #112 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 910 (-2%) | 11mo | $42,500 | $47 | 80 |
| 9111 66th Ave NW #118 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,004 (+9%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $125 | 76 |
| 6616 87th St NW | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+4%) | 8mo | $425,000 | $443 | 74 |
| 9111 66th Ave NW #103 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 865 (-6%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $87 | 69 |
| 7025 87th St NW | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 19mo | $289,000 | $313 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $66,016
- Equity at exit
- $13,412
- IRR
- 63.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $161,270
- Equity at exit
- $7,777
Cash invested: $25,186 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98332
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,323 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $727/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $1,265
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,316 | -5% $1,291 | +0% $1,265 | +5% $1,240 | +10% $1,214 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,082 | -5% $1,174 | +0% $1,265 | +5% $1,357 | +10% $1,449 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,311 | -0.5pp $1,288 | base $1,265 | +0.5pp $1,242 | +1.0pp $1,218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,488
- Closing costs
- $2,698
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8306 94th St NW Unit A Gig Harbor, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,650 | $2.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,950 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,950 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,950 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,950 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,950 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,950 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,950 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,950 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,950 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,950 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,950 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,950 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,950 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-03-26price $89,950
-
2026-03-11price $95,000
-
2026-01-14$99,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $727 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $882 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$155/yr (+$13/mo · 21.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,874
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,039
- − Property taxes
- −$727
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,230
- − Management
- −$2,230
- − Depreciation
- −$2,617
- Taxable income
- $14,583
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,500
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peninsula School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306690
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,796
- Composite
- 60.35/100
- National rank
- #1718
- State rank
- #21 of 291 in WA
Livability — Rosedale
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #15781
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rosedale, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,072
- Household income
- $135,330
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 218.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -638.13%
- Current HPI
- 335.5178
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $89,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $95,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listed $99,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2026): $727 · +12581.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…