615 Rhonda Ave · Greenville, KY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable three bedroom home in Greenville, KY. This affordable house is conveniently located with plenty of local shopping and great places to eat near by. It would be a great first family home or investment as a rental property. This well maintained home has a new roof, plenty of parking, a storage building, and so much more to offer.
Key facts
- Large covered porch
- Brick home
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes dishwasher and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Laminate flooring; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($791/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $76k (5.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $76k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#176 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Muhlenberg County (rural): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #104 of 165 in KY (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Muhlenberg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muhlenberg County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.53%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,000
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672 Joyce Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 2mo | $134,900 | $135 | 96 |
| 620 Joyce Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-15%) | 22mo | $110,000 | $129 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-8,766
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,230
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42345
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $758 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $961/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$159
- Net cashflow
- $66
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $80,000 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$80,000 Active
-
2023-05-18soldstatus $103,500
-
2023-05-15soldstatus $103,500 Closed 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Adorable three bedroom home in Greenville, KY. This affordable house is conveniently located with plenty of local shopping and great places to eat near by. It would be a great first family home or investment as a rental property. This well maintained home has a new roof, plenty of parking, a storage building, and so much more to offer.
-
2023-04-18historical Active Under Contract 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Adorable three bedroom home in Greenville, KY. This affordable house is conveniently located with plenty of local shopping and great places to eat near by. It would be a great first family home or investment as a rental property. This well maintained home has a new roof, plenty of parking, a storage building, and so much more to offer.
-
2023-04-11price $110,000 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Adorable three bedroom home in Greenville, KY. This affordable house is conveniently located with plenty of local shopping and great places to eat near by. It would be a great first family home or investment as a rental property. This well maintained home has a new roof, plenty of parking, a storage building, and so much more to offer.
-
2023-03-01$112,000 Active 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Adorable three bedroom home in Greenville, KY. This affordable house is conveniently located with plenty of local shopping and great places to eat near by. It would be a great first family home or investment as a rental property. This well maintained home has a new roof, plenty of parking, a storage building, and so much more to offer.
-
2011-01-01soldstatus $59,000
-
2010-04-16soldstatus $55,000
-
2002-09-13soldstatus $56,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $961 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $961 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$961
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$728
- − Management
- −$728
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable loss
- −$528
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$127
- After-tax cash flow
- $918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muhlenberg County
- NCES district ID
- 2100081
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -22.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,513
- Composite
- 25.47/100
- National rank
- #7444
- State rank
- #104 of 165 in KY
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #176
- US rank
- #8784
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,496
Population outlook (Muhlenberg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,114 people
- By 2030
- 29,347 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 27,828 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 26,359 · -12.5%
- By 2075
- 23,095 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 19,709 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muhlenberg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.4) · D 22.3% · R 76.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: -54.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.4 2020: R+48.8 2016: R+46.9 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.79%
- Current HPI
- 186.5803
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+41.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $80,000 MHCBOR
- 2023-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $103,500 Public Records
- 2023-05-15 Sold (MLS) $103,500 RASKMLS
- 2023-04-18 Contingent — RASKMLS
- 2023-04-11 Price Changed $110,000 RASKMLS
- 2023-03-01 Listed $112,000 RASKMLS
- 2011-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $961 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…