317 W Sierra Ave #114 · Fresno, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 48 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 50 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss your opportunity to live in this beautiful and well cared for 3 bed & 2 bath home located in the heart of Maroa Condos. It has vaulted ceilings, a wall of windows that look to the tastefully landscaped patio as well as a fireplace in the living room. There is an eating area in the bright kitchen. The Maroa Condos are conveniently located, near River Park, Fig Garden Village, and popular restaurants.
Key facts
- Refreshing pool
- Tall ceilings
- $452 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association amenities include pool; HOA fee $452 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (covered parking)
- Utilities: Electric service on; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Condominium; One level; Tile roof; Stucco exterior; Concrete foundation
- Construction: Stucco construction; Tile roof; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Private in-ground pool (fenced; community access); Urban setting
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven (full size); Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: No common walls below (unit-style condominium)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms with tub/shower and separate shower features
- Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling
- Interior features: Double pane windows; One-level floor plan; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-238 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (21.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $157k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.7% in Fresno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#469 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D+, crime F.
- Fresno Unified (urban): math 18% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #327 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kratt Elementary (562 students, 79% FRL); Tenaya Middle (816 students, 66% FRL); Bullard High (math 28% / reading 55%, grade F, #498 of 1,170 statewide, top 43%, 2,492 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.13%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,486
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -24.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-47,242
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-59,962
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93704
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,942 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$452
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $-238
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-126 | -5% $-182 | +0% $-238 | +5% $-295 | +10% $-351 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-392 | -5% $-315 | +0% $-238 | +5% $-161 | +10% $-85 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-138 | -0.5pp $-188 | base $-238 | +0.5pp $-290 | +1.0pp $-342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 W Sierra Ave Fresno, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1291 | $2,500 | $1.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6075 N Poplar Ave Apt E Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 6052 N College Ave Unit A Fresno, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 336 W Bullard Ave Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 445 W Bullard Ave Fresno, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,695 | $1.99 | 5d | 2 | 0.54mi |
| 135 E Stuart Ave Fresno, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,995 | $1.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6549 N Palm Ave Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,760 | $1.60 | 3d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 5544 N Poplar Ave Fresno, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1868 | $2,485 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5669 N Fresno St Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $1,537 | $1.68 | 3d | 10 | 0.94mi |
| 5270 N San Pablo Ave Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $1,545 | $1.71 | 5d | 2 | 1.00mi |
| 485 E Bullard Ave Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 907 | $1,452 | $1.60 | 5d | 8 | 1.08mi |
| 584 E Bullard Ave Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,425 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6515 N Orchard St Fresno, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5721 N Callisch Ave Fresno, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1393 | $1,950 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1249 W Spruce Ave Unit 1249 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,975 | $1.58 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1271 W Spruce Ave Unit 1271 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 12d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 526 E Barstow Ave Unit 421-107 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,495 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 526 E Barstow Ave Unit 460-206 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,445 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 526 E Barstow Ave Unit 5435-101 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,665 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 526 E Barstow Ave Unit 526-107 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,485 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 526 E Barstow Ave Unit 5466-204 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,375 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 526 E Barstow Ave Unit 550-204 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,445 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 526 E Barstow Ave Unit 5426-102 Fresno, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $452 · $5,424/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
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2026-06-19status $199,000 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $199,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-02status Pending 137-char remark
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2026-04-24$199,000 Active 137-char remark
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2018-07-13price $149,900 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to live in this beautiful and well cared for 3 bed & 2 bath home located in the heart of Maroa Condos. It has vaulted ceilings, a wall of windows that look to the tastefully landscaped patio as well as a fireplace in the living room. There is an eating area in the bright kitchen. The Maroa Condos are conveniently located, near River Park, Fig Garden Village, and popular restaurants.
-
2018-07-13soldstatus $160,000 Sold 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to live in this beautiful and well cared for 3 bed & 2 bath home located in the heart of Maroa Condos. It has vaulted ceilings, a wall of windows that look to the tastefully landscaped patio as well as a fireplace in the living room. There is an eating area in the bright kitchen. The Maroa Condos are conveniently located, near River Park, Fig Garden Village, and popular restaurants.
-
2018-07-13soldstatus $160,000
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to live in this beautiful and well cared for 3 bed & 2 bath home located in the heart of Maroa Condos. It has vaulted ceilings, a wall of windows that look to the tastefully landscaped patio as well as a fireplace in the living room. There is an eating area in the bright kitchen. The Maroa Condos are conveniently located, near River Park, Fig Garden Village, and popular restaurants.
-
2018-07-01status Pending 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to live in this beautiful and well cared for 3 bed & 2 bath home located in the heart of Maroa Condos. It has vaulted ceilings, a wall of windows that look to the tastefully landscaped patio as well as a fireplace in the living room. There is an eating area in the bright kitchen. The Maroa Condos are conveniently located, near River Park, Fig Garden Village, and popular restaurants.
-
2018-06-30price $160,000 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to live in this beautiful and well cared for 3 bed & 2 bath home located in the heart of Maroa Condos. It has vaulted ceilings, a wall of windows that look to the tastefully landscaped patio as well as a fireplace in the living room. There is an eating area in the bright kitchen. The Maroa Condos are conveniently located, near River Park, Fig Garden Village, and popular restaurants.
-
2018-06-29$149,900 Active 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to live in this beautiful and well cared for 3 bed & 2 bath home located in the heart of Maroa Condos. It has vaulted ceilings, a wall of windows that look to the tastefully landscaped patio as well as a fireplace in the living room. There is an eating area in the bright kitchen. The Maroa Condos are conveniently located, near River Park, Fig Garden Village, and popular restaurants.
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2011-07-25historical
-
2011-05-14$99,000
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2000-05-26soldstatus $72,500
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2000-05-26soldstatus $72,500
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2000-04-04historical
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2000-04-04price $74,200
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2000-02-22$72,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,325 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,325 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 48 unhealthy d/yr today · 50 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,302
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$2,325
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − HOA
- −$5,424
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$6,107
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,466
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fresno Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0614550
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,095
- Composite
- 26.83/100
- National rank
- #7111
- State rank
- #327 of 517 in CA
Livability — Fresno
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #469
- US rank
- #15907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fresno, CA
- County
- Fresno County · 834,801 people
- City population
- 593,114
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,932
- Household income
- $73,234
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1618.0
Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,042,971 people
- By 2030
- 1,072,198 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 1,122,408 · +7.6%
- By 2050
- 1,157,251 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 1,182,575 · +13.4%
- By 2100
- 1,105,899 · +6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 41% Two or more races 19% Black 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fresno
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -389.99%
- Current HPI
- 355.925
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Fresno, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+174.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-05-30 Relisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-05-02 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $199,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-07-13 Price Changed $149,900 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-13 Sold (MLS) $160,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-07-01 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2018-06-30 Price Changed $160,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2018-06-29 Listed $149,900 FRESNOMLS
- 2011-07-25 Delisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2011-05-14 Listed $99,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2000-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 2000-05-26 Sold (MLS) $72,500 FRESNOMLS
- 2000-04-04 Delisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2000-04-04 Price Changed $74,200 FRESNOMLS
- 2000-02-22 Listed $72,500 FRESNOMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,325 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…