300 Simeon St · Thomasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly remodeled 3 bed/2 bath located close to downtown. Features include LVP flooring, new cabinets, new appliances, and granite countertops. Convenient to downtown Thomasville, schools, shopping, and restaurants.
Key facts
- New cabinets
- Lvp flooring
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached/open parking available; 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Cable available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Cooling with ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan (implied by 1-level layout and listed appliances)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (20.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Thomasville City (town): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #87 of 174 in GA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jerger Elementary School (math 54% / reading 56%, grade C, #178 of 1,228 statewide, top 15%, 785 students, 25% FRL); Macintyre Park Middle School (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #221 of 470 statewide, top 48%, 558 students, 92% FRL); Thomasville High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 797 students, 92% FRL).
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.72%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,614
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516 Colton Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-10%) | 8mo | $25,000 | $22 | 68 |
| 617 Blackshear St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (+9%) | 7mo | $169,900 | $123 | 67 |
| 334 Woodridge Trl | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+0%) | 9mo | $154,000 | $121 | 66 |
| 116 Schley St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,247 (-2%) | 5mo | $137,750 | $110 | 64 |
| 111 Magnolia St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (-1%) | 6mo | $279,900 | $224 | 60 |
| 216 E Hill St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-10%) | 5mo | $129,000 | $114 | 58 |
| 205 Tuxedo Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (+11%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $224 | 55 |
| 1608 Redwood Trl | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-3%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $199 | 53 |
| 102 Cecil St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,192 (-6%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $46 | 46 |
| 426 South St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,107 (-13%) | 2mo | $237,900 | $215 | 40 |
| 107 Whispering Pines Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (+11%) | 20mo | $340,000 | $242 | 39 |
| 109 Stewart St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+10%) | 21mo | $250,000 | $179 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-30,008
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-19,398
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31792
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,734 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $504/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $212 | -5% $150 | +0% $88 | +5% $26 | +10% $-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-49 | -5% $19 | +0% $88 | +5% $156 | +10% $225 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $198 | -0.5pp $144 | base $88 | +0.5pp $31 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 Remington Ave Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,575 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 220 Covington Ave Thomasville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 45d | 10 | 0.75mi |
| 306 Brighton St Thomasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 209 E Monroe St Unit 1 Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 100 Pine St Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1216 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 105 Old Boston Rd Thomasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,374 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 124 Ginny Ln Thomasville, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 854 | $1,300 | $1.52 | 45d | 2 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $219,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $219,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $219,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 220-char remark
-
2026-06-16$219,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $504 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,015 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,511/yr (+$126/mo · 300.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,803
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$504
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$2,762
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$663
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,717/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomasville City
- NCES district ID
- 1304950
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,040
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #7106
- State rank
- #87 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #6678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomasville, GA
- County
- Thomas County · 22,962 people
- City population
- 22,962
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,962
- Household income
- $50,460
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,303 people
- By 2030
- 45,052 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 44,034 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,310 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 37,569 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 30,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Thomas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.17%
- Current HPI
- 228.0107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-2.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $219,000 TABRMLS
- 2024-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $196,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-07 Sold (MLS) $196,000 TABRMLS
- 2024-07-27 Pending — TABRMLS
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $200,000 TABRMLS
- 2024-05-28 Listed $225,000 TABRMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $504 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…