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30 Esther Ave
C+ Composite 60.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$162,500

30 Esther Ave · Binghamton, NY 13903
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,754 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1930 9,400 sqft lot Est $172k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

DOUBLE LOT at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Updated and Spacious Two story Home 4–5 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this property features gorgeous hardwood floors throughout, with a newly carpeted second floor installed over hardwood. Recent updates include a Brand-New Roof and chimney and a refrigerator just 1 month old. The kitchen shines with new quartz countertops, new sink, and elegant porcelain tile backsplash. Upstairs bathroom has been fully refreshed with new tile to the ceiling, new vanity, faucet, and mirror. Spacious, updated, and move-in ready. Binghamton University within 5-7 min, Downtown even closer!!!

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Double lot
  • Brand-new roof

Tags

DOUBLE LOTQUIET CUL-DE-SACGORGEOUS HARDWOOD FLOORSNEWLY CARPETED SECOND FLOORBRAND-NEW ROOFNEW REFRIGERATOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Binghamton City School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #557 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,846 of 2,108 statewide, top 91%, 399 students, 75% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Binghamton City School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $162k implies a 282% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $157,625 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.56%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,892
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
85 Mill St 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,825 (+4%) 5mo $228,247 $125 72
18 Kress St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,620 (-8%) 2mo $105,000 $65 71
50 Tremont Ave 0.34mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,725 (-2%) 4mo $175,000 $101 69
25 Duane Ave 0.35mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,740 (-1%) 8mo $170,000 $98 67
18 Esther Ave 0.05mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (-12%) 5mo $130,000 $85 65
13 Clarence St 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,516 (-14%) 8mo $195,000 $129 65
18 Duane Ave 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,928 (+10%) 3mo $177,000 $92 58
66 Evans St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,800 (+3%) 7mo $115,000 $64 53
116 Mary St 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,981 (+13%) 0mo $372,000 $188 52
14 Jackson Ave 0.67mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,750 (-0%) 6mo $133,000 $76 52
4 Richard Ave 0.59mi 3/2.5 2,000 (+14%) 8mo $315,000 $158 42
96 Evans St 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,551 (-12%) 3mo $120,000 $77 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$94,927
Equity at exit
$146,393
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
7.05×
Total profit
$275,137
Equity at exit
$315,702

Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13903

Home prices YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,963 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$852
Tax from tax record
$534 /mo · $6,404/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$97

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,840
Max offer price $162,500
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,625
Closing costs
$4,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
86 Conklin Ave Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,600 $1.22 13d 1 0.33mi
113 Hawley St Binghamton, NY 4.0 1.5 1637 $2,000 $1.22 43d 1 0.67mi
51 2nd St Binghamton, NY 3.0 2.5 2333 $2,200 $0.94 13d 1 0.69mi
31 Indiana St Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,500 $1.22 43d 1 0.71mi
33 Fayette St Unit 22 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,100 $0.81 13d 1 0.74mi
136 Court St Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 4.0 1.0 1373 $3,000 $2.18 43d 1 0.76mi
13 Chapin St Binghamton, NY 4.0 3.0 2452 $4,000 $1.63 43d 1 1.13mi
22 Ayres St Binghamton, NY 4.0 2.0 2333 $2,560 $1.10 43d 1 1.18mi
53 Seminary Ave Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 1722 $925 $0.54 21d 1 1.31mi
171 Chapin St Unit 1st FL Binghamton, NY 4.0 1.5 1400 $3,000 $2.14 43d 1 1.32mi
198 Chapin St Binghamton, NY 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 21d 1 1.36mi
26 Johnson Ave Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1633 $1,600 $0.98 43d 1 1.39mi
29 Laurel Ave Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,250 $1.50 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-15
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-08
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-22
    listed $162,500 Active
  5. 2025-06-29
    listed $159,000 Active
  6. 2024-04-10
    status Active
  7. 2024-04-10
    price $159,000
  8. 2024-03-27
    status Pending
  9. 2024-01-27
    price $149,000
  10. 2024-01-06
    listed $159,000 Active
  11. 2002-10-22
    soldstatus $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,404 · $534/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,404 · $534/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,556
− Mortgage interest
−$9,103
− Property taxes
−$6,404
− Insurance
−$812
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,884
− Management
−$1,884
− Depreciation
−$4,727
Taxable loss
−$1,259
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$302
After-tax cash flow
$1,469/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Binghamton City School District
NCES district ID
3604870
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$30,475
Composite
30.09/100
National rank
#6342
State rank
#557 of 590 in NY

Livability — Binghamton

Score
78/100
State rank
#174
US rank
#2710

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Binghamton, NY
County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
65,170
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
17,569
Household income
$66,278
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
602.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.68%
Current HPI
286.1001
Rent YoY
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+282.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Pending GBAOR
  • 2026-02-15 Relisted GBAOR
  • 2026-02-08 Pending GBAOR
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $162,500 GBAOR
  • 2025-06-29 Listed $159,000 GBAOR
  • 2024-04-10 Relisted GBAOR
  • 2024-04-10 Price Changed $159,000 GBAOR
  • 2024-03-27 Pending GBAOR
  • 2024-01-27 Price Changed $149,000 GBAOR
  • 2024-01-06 Listed $159,000 GBAOR
  • 2002-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,404 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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