17100 County Road 329 · Terrell, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large Cats down the road.
Key facts
- Metal shop
- Fully fenced
- Electricity
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Will not subdivide; No known restrictions
- Financial info: Treat As Clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Covered carport with 2 covered/carport spaces; Circular driveway; Garage footprint approximately 14 x 14 (no interior garage spaces)
- Utilities: Co-op electric; Co-op water; Septic; Overhead utilities
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single story; Property is attached
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Built in 1981; Preowned
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Acreage with few trees and hilly terrain; All-weather road and asphalt access; Circular driveway; Small outdoor wooden shed excluded (to be removed prior to closing)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; No appliances included
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (11 x 14) on main level; Second bedroom (10 x 12) on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bonus room; One living area; One dining area; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry or utility appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $162k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.8% in Terrell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#520 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, commute F.
- Terrell ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #677 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: J W Long El (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 672 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.06%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,900
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- —
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17100 County Road 329 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 0mo | $164,900 | $178 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $7,736
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $51,082
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75161
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,046 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,705/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $541
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $634 | -5% $588 | +0% $541 | +5% $494 | +10% $448 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $379 | -5% $460 | +0% $541 | +5% $622 | +10% $703 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $624 | -0.5pp $583 | base $541 | +0.5pp $498 | +1.0pp $455 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-17historical Active Option Contract 694-char remark
-
2026-05-07$164,900 Active 694-char remark
-
2010-08-13soldstatus
-
2010-08-06soldstatus 25-char remark
Show marketing remark (25 chars)
Large Cats down the road.
-
2010-07-13historical 25-char remark
Show marketing remark (25 chars)
Large Cats down the road.
-
2010-05-17$27,500 25-char remark
Show marketing remark (25 chars)
Large Cats down the road.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,705 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,018 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,312/yr (+$109/mo · 77.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,558
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$1,705
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,965
- − Management
- −$1,965
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $4,065
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$976
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Terrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,265
- Composite
- 23.57/100
- National rank
- #7855
- State rank
- #677 of 826 in TX
Livability — Terrell
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #520
- US rank
- #10213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 28,206
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,910
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.90%
- Current HPI
- 255.8463
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+499.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-05-25 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-17 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $164,900 NTREIS
- 2010-08-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-08-06 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2010-07-13 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2010-05-17 Listed $27,500 NTREIS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,705 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…