133 4th St · Dawson, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming and affordable 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering comfort, practicality, and excellent value. Whether you're searching for your first home, looking to downsize, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers a wonderful opportunity to make it your own. The main level features a functional kitchen that flows into the adjoining living and dining area, creating a comfortable everyday living space. The main level features a bedroom and a nicely remodeled full bathroom. The lower level offers a second bedroom, a ¾ bathroom, and great mechanical updates, including an updated HVAC system, an updated sewer line from the home to the street, and an owned
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Updated sewer line
- Owned water softener
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Other annual assessment: $35; Tax year information available
Exterior
- Parking: Detached gravel areas; 2-car garage with electric, garage door opener, insulation and heating, plus built-in storage (garage ~22x24)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas fuel; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; One story; Entry/main level living area
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (foundation area ~560; foundation dimensions ~20x28); Built area split above/below grade
- Exterior features: Deck; Storage shed; City street frontage; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms total (one on main level, one in lower level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One three-quarter bathroom in the lower level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Water osmosis system; Water softener (owned); Living/Dining room layout; Main floor bedroom; Block basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookup; Laundry located in basement; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($823 rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#145 in MN, #3,213 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Dawson-Boyd Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #124 of 301 in MN (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Lac qui Parle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Lac qui Parle County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.50%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $26,206
- Equity at exit
- $33,871
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.77×
- Total profit
- $68,560
- Equity at exit
- $56,141
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56232
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $823 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $744/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $220
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-17status $65,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 692-char remark
-
2026-06-16$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $744 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$744
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$790
- − Management
- −$790
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,692
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$406
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dawson-Boyd Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2710090
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,615
- Composite
- 42.5/100
- National rank
- #3204
- State rank
- #124 of 301 in MN
Livability — Dawson
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #3213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dawson, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,365
Population outlook (Lac qui Parle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,291 people
- By 2030
- 6,021 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 5,517 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 5,094 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 4,640 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 4,173 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 41% English 3% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lac qui Parle
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 32.9% · R 65.2% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.2pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+26.8 2016: R+25.9 2012: D+0.9 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.24%
- Current HPI
- 210.1619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $65,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2026): $744 · +17.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…