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133 4th St
B Composite 74.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

133 4th St · Dawson, MN 56232
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 708 sqft · SingleFamily · 2 Days on market
Built 1942 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming and affordable 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering comfort, practicality, and excellent value. Whether you're searching for your first home, looking to downsize, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers a wonderful opportunity to make it your own. The main level features a functional kitchen that flows into the adjoining living and dining area, creating a comfortable everyday living space. The main level features a bedroom and a nicely remodeled full bathroom. The lower level offers a second bedroom, a ¾ bathroom, and great mechanical updates, including an updated HVAC system, an updated sewer line from the home to the street, and an owned

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Updated sewer line
  • Owned water softener

Tags

FUNCTIONAL KITCHENREMODELED FULL BATHROOMUPDATED HVAC SYSTEMUPDATED SEWER LINEOWNED WATER SOFTENERSPACIOUS FRONT DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Other annual assessment: $35; Tax year information available

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached gravel areas; 2-car garage with electric, garage door opener, insulation and heating, plus built-in storage (garage ~22x24)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas fuel; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential property; One story; Entry/main level living area
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (foundation area ~560; foundation dimensions ~20x28); Built area split above/below grade
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storage shed; City street frontage; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms total (one on main level, one in lower level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor; One three-quarter bathroom in the lower level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Water osmosis system; Water softener (owned); Living/Dining room layout; Main floor bedroom; Block basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookup; Laundry located in basement; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($823 rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#145 in MN, #3,213 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Dawson-Boyd Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #124 of 301 in MN (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Lac qui Parle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Lac qui Parle County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.50%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$26,206
Equity at exit
$33,871
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
4.77×
Total profit
$68,560
Equity at exit
$56,141

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56232

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$823 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $744/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$220

Break-even live

Break-even rent $544
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $65,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 692-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$744 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$744 · $62/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,872
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$744
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$790
− Management
−$790
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,692
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$406
After-tax cash flow
$2,234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dawson-Boyd Public School District
NCES district ID
2710090
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,615
Composite
42.5/100
National rank
#3204
State rank
#124 of 301 in MN

Livability — Dawson

Score
77/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#3213

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dawson, MN
Population (ZIP)
2,365

Population outlook (Lac qui Parle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,291 people
By 2030
6,021 · -4.3%
By 2040
5,517 · -12.3%
By 2050
5,094 · -19.0%
By 2075
4,640 · -26.2%
By 2100
4,173 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 41% English 3% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lac qui Parle

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 32.9% · R 65.2% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-38.2pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+26.8 2016: R+25.9 2012: D+0.9 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.24%
Current HPI
210.1619
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $65,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $744 · +17.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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