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1455 S State #323
B- Composite 67.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

1455 S State #323 · Hemet, CA 92543
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 867 sqft · Manufactured public records · 215 Days on market
Built 1974 $103/sqft · 113% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Santa Rosa Mobile Park! This well-maintained all-age family community that is a convenient location close to shopping centers, schools, and local amenities. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home features a comfortable and functional floor plan, ideal for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize. The home includes a spacious living area, dining space, and a bright kitchen with plenty of cabinet storage. Enjoy a covered carport, storage shed, and a private patio area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Residents of Santa Rosa Mobile Park enjoy wonderful community amenities, including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, and a clubhouse—perfect for gatherings and leisure time. Don’t miss this great opportunity to own an affordable home in a desirable community. This one won’t last—schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Spacious living area
  • Covered carport

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONSPACIOUS LIVING AREABRIGHT KITCHENPLENTY OF CABINET STORAGECOVERED CARPORTSTORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $790 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $78,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
16.95%
Cash-on-cash
38.06%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$41,871
List price
$89,000
Delta
112.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1536 S State St #234 0.05mi 2/2.0 960 (+11%) 17mo $98,900 $103 66
1097 N State St #565 0.42mi 2/1.0 840 (-3%) 13mo $70,000 $83 61
1600 S San Jacinto S #172 0.64mi 2/2.0 900 (+4%) 19mo $49,000 $54 48
999 S Santa Fe Ave #86 0.72mi 2/2.0 960 (+11%) 3mo $55,000 $57 46
999 S Santa Fe Ave #15 0.72mi 2/1.0 800 (-8%) 10mo $20,000 $25 42
999 S Santa Fe St #1 0.72mi 2/1.5 800 (-8%) 13mo $49,500 $62 41
1097 N State St #544 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (+11%) 18mo $100,000 $104 40
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #87 0.64mi 2/2.0 760 (-12%) 14mo $55,000 $72 38
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #156 0.67mi 2/2.0 800 (-8%) 24mo $60,000 $75 36
1600-Spc 75 S San Jacinto Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 738 (-15%) 8mo $40,000 $54 35
999 S Santa Fe Ave #88 0.72mi 2/1.0 768 (-11%) 18mo $36,000 $47 29
999 S Santa Fe Ave #3 0.72mi 1/1.0 (-1) 756 (-13%) 12mo $13,000 $17 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$33,748
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
4.43×
Total profit
$85,537
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92543

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
264
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,779 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$790

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $852 -5% $821 +0% $790 +5% $760 +10% $729
Rent -10% $650 -5% $720 +0% $790 +5% $861 +10% $931
Rate -1.0pp $835 -0.5pp $813 base $790 +0.5pp $767 +1.0pp $744

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
N Santa Fe St GLMN HOT SPGS, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1053 $2,350 $2.23 0d 2 0.51mi
1569 Willowcreek Loop San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.5 921 $2,100 $2.28 25d 1 0.57mi
429 W 6th St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 864 $1,600 $1.85 3d 1 0.83mi
740 S Jordan Ave Unit 742 San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 44d 1 0.99mi
811 E Menlo Ave Apt 12 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 25d 1 1.07mi
811 E Menlo Ave Unit 02 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 44d 1 1.07mi
320 S Pico Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 650 $1,500 $2.31 44d 1 1.09mi
1354 Yorktown Cir San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1106 $2,100 $1.90 44d 1 1.11mi
526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 18d 1 1.11mi
526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 44d 1 1.11mi
526 Greystone Ln Apt 3 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,650 $2.36 44d 1 1.11mi
646 Greystone Ln Apt 2 Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 45d 1 1.13mi
795 Minor St Unit A San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 25d 1 1.16mi
800 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 0d 1 1.17mi
344 E 6th St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 25d 1 1.17mi
784 Minor St Unit B San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 25d 1 1.17mi
748 Minor St Apt F San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 44d 1 1.18mi
700 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,600 $1.82 44d 1 1.20mi
700 Minor St San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,700 $1.94 25d 1 1.20mi
419 Angela Way San Jacinto, CA 3.0 1.0 988 $2,150 $2.18 15d 1 1.20mi
560 E Oakland Ave Apt P Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,325 $2.41 17d 1 1.21mi
426 N Buena Vista St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 680 $1,550 $2.28 4d 1 1.29mi
426 N Buena Vista St Apt 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 680 $1,550 $2.28 8d 1 1.29mi
910 E Campus Way Unit 910 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 940 $1,550 $1.65 44d 1 1.35mi
157 W Washburn Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,795 $2.11 44d 1 1.35mi
1118 E Campus Way Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 25d 1 1.38mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 25d 1 1.43mi
249 Idyllwild Dr San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1025 $2,300 $2.24 44d 1 1.46mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 44d 1 1.48mi
1931 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,600 $1.95 44d 1 1.50mi
233 N Alessandro St Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 690 $1,400 $2.03 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 215 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $89,000 Active 214 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $91,500 Active 214 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $91,500 Active 213 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $91,500 Active 212 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $91,500 Active 210 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $91,500 Active 209 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $91,500 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $91,500 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $91,500 Active 204 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $91,500 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $92,000 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,000 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,000 Active 198 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 197 DOM
  16. 2026-05-09
    status Active 866-char remark
    Show marketing remark (866 chars)

    Welcome to Santa Rosa Mobile Park! This well-maintained all-age family community that is a convenient location close to shopping centers, schools, and local amenities. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home features a comfortable and functional floor plan, ideal for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize. The home includes a spacious living area, dining space, and a bright kitchen with plenty of cabinet storage. Enjoy a covered carport, storage shed, and a private patio area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Residents of Santa Rosa Mobile Park enjoy wonderful community amenities, including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, and a clubhouse—perfect for gatherings and leisure time. Don’t miss this great opportunity to own an affordable home in a desirable community. This one won’t last—schedule your private showing today!

  17. 2026-04-09
    historical Active Under Contract 866-char remark
    Show marketing remark (866 chars)

    Welcome to Santa Rosa Mobile Park! This well-maintained all-age family community that is a convenient location close to shopping centers, schools, and local amenities. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home features a comfortable and functional floor plan, ideal for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize. The home includes a spacious living area, dining space, and a bright kitchen with plenty of cabinet storage. Enjoy a covered carport, storage shed, and a private patio area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Residents of Santa Rosa Mobile Park enjoy wonderful community amenities, including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, and a clubhouse—perfect for gatherings and leisure time. Don’t miss this great opportunity to own an affordable home in a desirable community. This one won’t last—schedule your private showing today!

  18. 2026-03-22
    status Active 866-char remark
    Show marketing remark (866 chars)

    Welcome to Santa Rosa Mobile Park! This well-maintained all-age family community that is a convenient location close to shopping centers, schools, and local amenities. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home features a comfortable and functional floor plan, ideal for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize. The home includes a spacious living area, dining space, and a bright kitchen with plenty of cabinet storage. Enjoy a covered carport, storage shed, and a private patio area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Residents of Santa Rosa Mobile Park enjoy wonderful community amenities, including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, and a clubhouse—perfect for gatherings and leisure time. Don’t miss this great opportunity to own an affordable home in a desirable community. This one won’t last—schedule your private showing today!

  19. 2026-02-28
    status Pending Sale 866-char remark
    Show marketing remark (866 chars)

    Welcome to Santa Rosa Mobile Park! This well-maintained all-age family community that is a convenient location close to shopping centers, schools, and local amenities. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home features a comfortable and functional floor plan, ideal for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize. The home includes a spacious living area, dining space, and a bright kitchen with plenty of cabinet storage. Enjoy a covered carport, storage shed, and a private patio area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Residents of Santa Rosa Mobile Park enjoy wonderful community amenities, including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, and a clubhouse—perfect for gatherings and leisure time. Don’t miss this great opportunity to own an affordable home in a desirable community. This one won’t last—schedule your private showing today!

  20. 2025-10-23
    listed $92,000 Active 866-char remark
    Show marketing remark (866 chars)

    Welcome to Santa Rosa Mobile Park! This well-maintained all-age family community that is a convenient location close to shopping centers, schools, and local amenities. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home features a comfortable and functional floor plan, ideal for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize. The home includes a spacious living area, dining space, and a bright kitchen with plenty of cabinet storage. Enjoy a covered carport, storage shed, and a private patio area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Residents of Santa Rosa Mobile Park enjoy wonderful community amenities, including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, and a clubhouse—perfect for gatherings and leisure time. Don’t miss this great opportunity to own an affordable home in a desirable community. This one won’t last—schedule your private showing today!

  21. 2025-10-15
    historical
  22. 2025-06-27
    price $99,000
  23. 2025-05-10
    status Active
  24. 2025-05-10
    price $103,000
  25. 2025-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  26. 2025-04-10
    price $106,000
  27. 2025-03-02
    price $109,998
  28. 2025-02-17
    price $118,000
  29. 2024-12-04
    price $125,000
  30. 2024-10-18
    listed $135,999 Active
  31. 2023-10-17
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed Sale
  32. 2023-09-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  33. 2023-07-30
    price $79,999
  34. 2023-07-03
    listed $91,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,348
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,708
− Management
−$1,708
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$8,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,059
After-tax cash flow
$7,425/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Jacinto Unified
NCES district ID
0634440
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
20.94/100
National rank
#8478
State rank
#421 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,937
Household income
$49,396
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
2144.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.46%
Current HPI
405.1277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.76%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.1% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-02-28 Pending CRMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $92,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $99,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-10 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-05-10 Price Changed $103,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Price Changed $106,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-03-02 Price Changed $109,998 CRMLS
  • 2025-02-17 Price Changed $118,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $125,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-10-18 Listed $135,999 CRMLS
  • 2023-10-17 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-09-12 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-07-30 Price Changed $79,999 CRMLS
  • 2023-07-03 Listed $91,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $44 · -23.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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