11829 E 80th Pl · Owasso, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent investment opportunity featuring a huge backyard and a beautiful 40-ft in-ground diving pool, including a 28-ft shallow section at 3 ft. depth. Recent pool upgrades include new PVC piping installed approximately 2 years ago and a 2-year-old pool pump. The home offers full-housetraditional central heating and a wood-burning fireplace and ducted ceiling distribution with temperature control, plus an A/C system rebuilt about 2 years ago. The property is being sold As-Is. Seller will consider conventional or cash financing only; the property will not qualify for FHA or VA. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, restaurants, and major highway access. A strong value-add opportuni
Key facts
- 2-year-old pool pump
- Huge backyard
- New pvc piping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($165/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.8% in Owasso — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#5 in OK, #2,368 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Owasso (suburban): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #25 of 270 in OK (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 495 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $205k implies a 659% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.29%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $224,676
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11829 E 80th Pl | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (0%) | 1mo | $198,000 | $139 | 99 |
| 7804 N 117th East EastAvenue | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,359 (-4%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $110 | 77 |
| 12105 E 79th Ct | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-9%) | 2mo | $230,025 | $177 | 76 |
| 8214 N 122nd East Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-10%) | 3mo | $217,900 | $170 | 70 |
| 12306 E 77th St N | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,410 (-1%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $188 | 70 |
| 8102 N 121st EastAvenue | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (-13%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $149 | 67 |
| 12022 E 85th St N | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (+8%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $153 | 64 |
| 8418 N 117th EastAvenue | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+10%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $89 | 57 |
| 11607 E 84th Pl N | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,283 (-10%) | 6mo | $203,000 | $158 | 52 |
| 12612 E 82nd St N | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,573 (+11%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $156 | 52 |
| 8207 N 128th EastAvenue | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (-11%) | 1mo | $227,800 | $181 | 50 |
| 8709 N 124th EastAvenue W | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,259 (-12%) | 4mo | $202,000 | $160 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-34,188
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-36,047
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74055
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 495
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,677 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,811/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8220 N 116th East Ave Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 11697 E 83rd St N Owasso, OK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $1,450 | $1.56 | 1d | 12 | 0.36mi |
| 12003 E 85th St N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,595 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 802 N Birch St Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,623 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 103 N Atlanta St Unit B Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 108 N Atlanta St Unit C Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 13116 E 76th St N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1561 | $2,272 | $1.46 | 1d | 6 | 0.94mi |
| 603 N Carlsbad St Unit 505B Owasso, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 603 N Carlsbad St Unit 603A Owasso, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 13600 E 84th St N Owasso, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $2,210 | $2.80 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6616 N 128th East Ave Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $1,675 | $1.10 | 10d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6618 N 128th East Ct Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8751 N 97th East Ave Owasso, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 1d | 47 | 1.44mi |
| 9306 N 114th East Ave Owasso, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1813 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 11506 E 94th Pl N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,195 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 11502 E 94th Pl N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-20status Active
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-03-28status Active
-
2026-01-09status Pending
-
2026-01-05$205,000 Active
-
1994-02-23historical
-
1993-09-22$83,550
-
1982-10-01soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,811 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,845 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$34/yr (+$3/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$1,811
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,610
- − Management
- −$1,610
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$3,375
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$810
- After-tax cash flow
- $975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Owasso
- NCES district ID
- 4023280
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,759
- Composite
- 32.24/100
- National rank
- #5771
- State rank
- #25 of 270 in OK
Livability — Owasso
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2368
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Owasso, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 51,381
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,381
- Household income
- $87,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.44%
- Current HPI
- 207.781
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+659.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-17 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-28 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-09 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-05 Listed $205,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1994-02-23 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1993-09-22 Listed $83,550 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1982-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,811 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…