1417 Stone St · Columbia, MO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready in quiet neighborhood! 2016 - Designer color interior paint, refinished wood floors in LR & all bedrooms, light fixtures, stove, refrigerator, front door & interior doors, all new vinyl windows except 2, power wash deck. Newer dishwasher. High efficient furnace, Large private, wooded lot is 280 ft. deep. Easy access to I-70 & Hwy 63 for commuters! Minutes to everything in Columbia
Key facts
- Large family room
- Large double lot
- Backyard space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking (no garage)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Zoned for multi-family (R-MF Multiple-Family Dwelling*)
- Construction: Below-grade finished area present (finished basement area); Sump pump in basement
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Chain-link fence around part of the backyard; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 1 total room (see rooms count)
- Flooring: Wood; Concrete; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Smart thermostat; Eat-in kitchen; Sump pump in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (13.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jefferson Middle School (math 45% / reading 54%, grade C, #74 of 391 statewide, top 20%, 625 students, 32% FRL); David H. Hickman High (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #236 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 2,044 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.16%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,622
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -4.70%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1414 Fir Pl | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-3%) | 16mo | $133,000 | $148 | 73 |
| 1503 Paris Rd | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-0%) | 3mo | $158,000 | $172 | 67 |
| 1106 N Eighth St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-0%) | 14mo | $175,900 | $191 | 67 |
| 1110 N 8th St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 963 (+4%) | 17mo | $192,000 | $199 | 63 |
| 1201 Pannell St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 868 (-6%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $190 | 60 |
| 1104 N Eighth St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 887 (-4%) | 15mo | $179,000 | $202 | 60 |
| 803 N Seventh St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-6%) | 8mo | $154,900 | $179 | 53 |
| 411 N William St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 831 (-10%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $229 | 43 |
| 801 Moss St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-6%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $214 | 42 |
| 605 Paris Ct | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-14%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $208 | 40 |
| 912 N 7th St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 800 (-13%) | 19mo | $119,000 | $149 | 37 |
| 1515 Paris Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,046 (+13%) | 24mo | $180,000 | $172 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-12,187
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $36,176
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65201
- Rents YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,516 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $932/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $129
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 N Ann St Unit 10 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $2,000 | $2.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 801 N Ann St Unit 9 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,150 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1615 Kittyhawk Dr Unit 1615-3 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1504 June Ln Unit B Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2206 Whitegate Dr Columbia, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,031 | $1.26 | 13d | 20 | 1.00mi |
| 810 E Broadway Unit 4 Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1511 Sylvan Ln Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 110 Dorsey St Unit 201 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1502 Parkade Blvd Unit 2 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1503 Anthony St Unit 1 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 308 S 9th St Columbia, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 824 | $2,148 | $2.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1001 University Ave Columbia, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $2,375 | $2.55 | 21d | 14 | 1.35mi |
| 309 Alexander Ave Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,200 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 20 Blue Ridge Rd Unit 202 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1618 University Ave Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $2,025 | $2.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1626 University Ave Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 13d | 3 | 1.43mi |
| 607 Ridgeway Ave Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 113 Crestmere Ave Unit 201 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-08$175,000 Active 358-char remark
-
2016-11-21soldstatus
-
2016-11-18soldstatus 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
Move in ready in quiet neighborhood! 2016 - Designer color interior paint, refinished wood floors in LR & all bedrooms, light fixtures, stove, refrigerator, front door & interior doors, all new vinyl windows except 2, power wash deck. Newer dishwasher. High efficient furnace, Large private, wooded lot is 280 ft. deep. Easy access to I-70 & Hwy 63 for commuters! Minutes to everything in Columbia
-
2016-08-19$119,900 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
Move in ready in quiet neighborhood! 2016 - Designer color interior paint, refinished wood floors in LR & all bedrooms, light fixtures, stove, refrigerator, front door & interior doors, all new vinyl windows except 2, power wash deck. Newer dishwasher. High efficient furnace, Large private, wooded lot is 280 ft. deep. Easy access to I-70 & Hwy 63 for commuters! Minutes to everything in Columbia
-
2011-09-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,698 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$766/yr (+$64/mo · 82.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,189
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$932
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,455
- − Management
- −$1,455
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,422
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$341
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia 93
- NCES district ID
- 2901000
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,547
- Composite
- 31.21/100
- National rank
- #6036
- State rank
- #194 of 324 in MO
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbia, MO
- County
- Boone County · 158,877 people
- City population
- 158,877
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,011
- Household income
- $48,113
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4323.0
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,891 people
- By 2030
- 217,799 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 246,789 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 276,116 · +36.1%
- By 2075
- 348,426 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 400,856 · +97.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -170.32%
- Current HPI
- 195.2059
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.33%
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+46.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $175,000 CBORMLS
- 2016-11-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-11-18 Sold (MLS) — CBORMLS
- 2016-08-19 Listed $119,900 CBORMLS
- 2011-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $932 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…