702 E Island Square Dr · St. Simons, GA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The big news here is that the listing price has just been reduced!! This condominium home is an upstairs two-bedroom, two-bathroom home. The current tenant is on a month-to-month rental basis. This property can be used as a vacation rental, long-term rental, a personal second home, or a personal primary residence. The property has the amenities of a nice swimming pool. A great exercise room, covered parking upon availability. The location is superb in that it is close to great restaurants, grocery stores, a post office, hardware stores, drug stores, etc. This unit even has a sunroom. There is an outside storage closet. The outside building updates are being compensated for out of the COA monthly fees.
Key facts
- Close to restaurants
- Exercise room
- Swimming pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 1.7% in St. Simons — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: St. Simons Elementary School (math 64% / reading 57%, grade B-, #123 of 1,228 statewide, top 10%, 523 students, 48% FRL); Glynn Middle (math 42% / reading 58%, grade C, #68 of 470 statewide, top 15%, 815 students, 51% FRL); Glynn Academy (math 45% / reading 42%, grade F, #50 of 424 statewide, top 12%, 1,823 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 579 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.20%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $297,310
- List price
- $329,000
- Delta
- 10.66%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-39,995
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-24,043
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31522
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 579
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,196 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$221
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$671
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $432 | -5% $338 | +0% $245 | +5% $152 | +10% $59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-7 | -5% $119 | +0% $245 | +5% $372 | +10% $498 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $411 | -0.5pp $329 | base $245 | +0.5pp $160 | +1.0pp $73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Shady Brook Cir #100 Saint Simons Island, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,950 | $3.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1704 Frederica Rd #426 Saint Simons Island, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 372 Moss Oak Cir St Simons Island, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $4,250 | $3.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $221 · $2,652/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $329,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $329,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $329,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $329,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $329,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $329,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $329,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-01-16$329,000 Active 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
The big news here is that the listing price has just been reduced!! This condominium home is an upstairs two-bedroom, two-bathroom home. The current tenant is on a month-to-month rental basis. This property can be used as a vacation rental, long-term rental, a personal second home, or a personal primary residence. The property has the amenities of a nice swimming pool. A great exercise room, covered parking upon availability. The location is superb in that it is close to great restaurants, grocery stores, a post office, hardware stores, drug stores, etc. This unit even has a sunroom. There is an outside storage closet. The outside building updates are being compensated for out of the COA monthly fees.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,350 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,027 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$677/yr (+$56/mo · 28.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,348
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$2,350
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,068
- − Management
- −$3,068
- − HOA
- −$2,652
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$2,435
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$584
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glynn County
- NCES district ID
- 1302400
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,554
- Composite
- 33.83/100
- National rank
- #5359
- State rank
- #47 of 174 in GA
Livability — St. Simons
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Simons, GA
- County
- Glynn County · 69,019 people
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,780
- Household income
- $108,632
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 339.0
Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,404 people
- By 2030
- 94,806 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 100,060 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 103,258 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 107,970 · +18.1%
- By 2100
- 103,363 · +13.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Glynn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -564.58%
- Current HPI
- 191.6942
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.26%
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Listed $329,000 GIAR
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,350 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…