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5433 Conifer Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 43.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,100

5433 Conifer Ln · Cookeville, TN 38506
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,390 sqft · SingleFamily · 31 Days on market
Built 2026 $1/sqft · 99% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEVER OCCUPIED 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN COOKEVILLE!! This Home Features Laminate Floors, Stainless Steel Appliances, Quartz Counters. Located in the new community of Timberwalk located just off SR 111 and just South of I-40. Excellent location to all shopping, restaurants and Tennessee Tech University. Home has an open patio and a 2 car garage. Home has natural gas for the Stove and Heat. Washer and Dryer included. Public Utilities and a COMMUNITY POOL!!!! This home is ready for immediate occupancy.

Key facts

  • Quartz counters
  • Laminate floors
  • Open patio

Tags

LAMINATE FLOORSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESQUARTZ COUNTERSOPEN PATIOCOMMUNITY POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $2,100 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$359,616) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
  • Recommended offer: $2k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 780.9% vs local median 3.1% in Cookeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in TN, #3,551 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, commute F, employment F.
  • Putnam County (town): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #49 of 139 in TN (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 700 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $63 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $588 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($2k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $2,037 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
82.58%
Cap rate
780.85%
Cash-on-cash
2766.29%
DSCR
124.08
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$359,616
List price
$2,100
Delta
-99.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5447 Mason Way 0.14mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,267 (-5%) 7mo $339,990 $150 72
5446 Briley Ln 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,431 (+2%) 12mo $391,000 $161 71
5449 SW Briley Ln 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,431 (+2%) 13mo $415,000 $171 71
5421 E Mason Way 0.14mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,431 (+2%) 16mo $399,990 $165 70
5434 Briley Ln 0.11mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,250 (-6%) 12mo $425,890 $189 68
250 S Lovelady Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 2,069 (-13%) 6mo $380,000 $184 66
5430 SW Mason Way 0.14mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,267 (-5%) 14mo $389,990 $172 66
5448 Briley Ln 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,267 (-5%) 13mo $393,880 $174 65
5450 Briley Ln 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,250 (-6%) 13mo $409,000 $182 64
5440 Briley Ln 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,250 (-6%) 13mo $399,990 $178 64
5462 SW Briley Ln 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,250 (-6%) 14mo $418,990 $186 63
626 Blue Water Dr 0.50mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,460 (+3%) 5mo $535,000 $217 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
147.29×
Total profit
$86,017
Equity at exit
$313
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
317.62×
Total profit
$186,174
Equity at exit
$182

Cash invested: $588 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38506

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
323
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,734 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$11
Tax est. 1.5%
$3 /mo · $32/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$1,355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $18
Max offer price $2,100
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$525
Closing costs
$63
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,100 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $2,100 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,100 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,100 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,100 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $2,100 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,100 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,100 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,100 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $2,100 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-05-15
    historical $2,100
  12. 2026-05-12
    listed $2,100 Active 507-char remark
  13. 2026-05-05
    price $2,100
  14. 2026-04-17
    listed $2,075

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,810
− Mortgage interest
−$118
− Property taxes
−$32
− Insurance
−$10
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,665
− Management
−$1,665
− Depreciation
−$61
Taxable income
$17,260
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,142
After-tax cash flow
$12,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Putnam County
NCES district ID
4703480
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$35,738
Composite
26.09/100
National rank
#7291
State rank
#49 of 139 in TN

Livability — Cookeville

Score
76/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#3551

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cookeville, TN
County
Putnam County · 72,571 people
City population
72,571
Metro
Cookeville, TN
Population (ZIP)
30,100
Household income
$70,279
Rent vs Own
25.3% rent · 74.7% own
Severe rent burden
415.0

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,122 people
By 2030
82,798 · +3.3%
By 2040
87,913 · +9.7%
By 2050
92,659 · +15.6%
By 2075
104,965 · +31.0%
By 2100
113,256 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.7% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.51%
Current HPI
288.5877
Rent YoY
Metro
Cookeville, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Rental Removed $2,100 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $2,100 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-04-17 Listed for Rent $2,075 BUILDIUM

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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