🔨 Auction
9956 136th St · Seminole, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Cash flow +3.1/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Foreclosure Auction Ends June 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Seminole community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa Home App.
Key facts
- 9,148 sq ft lot
- Built 1968
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
- Utilities: Water: other; Sewer: other
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property; Zoned R-2
- Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
- Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof
Interior
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring; Total of 1 room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-26k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 2.5% vs local median 3.8% in Seminole — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#5 in FL, #174 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 206.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.47% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.69%
- DSCR
- 0.39
- GRM
- 17.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $689,535
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10003 133rd St | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 | 2,213 (+1%) | 1mo | $520,000 | $235 | 80 |
| 13442 105th Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 2,169 (-1%) | 3mo | $655,000 | $302 | 79 |
| 9760 136th St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,055 (-6%) | 0mo | $600,000 | $292 | 79 |
| 9840 W Bay St | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 2,093 (-4%) | 4mo | $750,000 | $358 | 75 |
| 14261 Passage Way | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,127 (-3%) | 1mo | $775,000 | $364 | 71 |
| 9622 Oakhurst Rd | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,969 (-10%) | 0mo | $660,000 | $335 | 66 |
| 10436 Silhavy Dr | 0.55mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,244 (+2%) | 0mo | $804,000 | $358 | 61 |
| 10711 Frances Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,036 (-7%) | 4mo | $450,000 | $221 | 57 |
| 10627 Yunker Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,925 (-12%) | 3mo | $605,000 | $314 | 56 |
| 13402 Cordova Dr | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 1,946 (-11%) | 6mo | $645,000 | $331 | 55 |
| 13826 Antigua Dr | 0.22mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,867 (-15%) | 3mo | $515,000 | $276 | 54 |
| 14546 Anchorage Cir | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,493 (+14%) | 3mo | $785,000 | $315 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -42.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.31×
- Total profit
- $-251,999
- Equity at exit
- $102,812
- IRR
- -71.4%
- Equity multiple
- -1.07×
- Total profit
- $-399,913
- Equity at exit
- $59,618
Cash invested: $193,070 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33776
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,243 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,616
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$862 /mo · $10,343/yr
- Insurance
- −$287
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$681
- Net cashflow
- $-2,203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $172,384
- Closing costs
- $20,686
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10075 West Bay St Seminole, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2043 | $8,900 | $4.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 13964 106th Ave Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2281 | $3,500 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9652 Commodore Dr Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,800 | $1.67 | 11d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14414 91st Ave Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2083 | $8,000 | $3.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9794 Indian Key Trl Unit 90 Seminole, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2174 | $3,650 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9614 Tara Cay Ct Seminole, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2100 | $2,850 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11290 142nd St Largo, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2268 | $4,550 | $2.01 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14623 Sunset Dr Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $2,545 | $1.57 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 13300 Walsingham Rd Largo, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $2,575 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14323 83rd Pl N Unit 1471180P Seminole, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2895 | $13,452 | $4.65 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 12909 83rd Ave Seminole, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1478 | $2,700 | $1.83 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 19646 Gulf Blvd #3 Indian Shores, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,975 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19505 Gulf Blvd #304 Indian Shores, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2388 | $15,000 | $6.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 12731 82nd Ave Seminole, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $3,395 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 11997 97th Ave Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $2,700 | $1.65 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 11997 97th Ave Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $2,700 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8873 Tami St Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1898 | $2,595 | $1.37 | 8d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7672 140th St Unit NA Seminole, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2840 | $4,700 | $1.65 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 296-char remark
-
2026-06-13$5,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,919
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,625
- − Property taxes
- −$10,343
- − Insurance
- −$3,448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,114
- − Management
- −$3,114
- − Depreciation
- −$20,059
- Taxable loss
- −$39,783
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$9,548
- After-tax cash flow
- $-16,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Seminole
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #174
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 42,315
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,711
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -455.42%
- Current HPI
- 337.3149
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-97.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-06-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-07 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-06 Listed $259,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-08 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2019-09-12 Listed $315,555 HCAR
- 2002-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $173,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,730 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…