6356 Safford Ter · North Port, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Freddie Mac foreclosure. 3 bedroom, 2 bath waterfront pool home with wide water views & Gulf access through the Myakka River.
Key facts
- Dock
- Pool home
- Oversized lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Turnkey furnished; On waterfront with multiple water access types; Canal (saltwater), Gulf/Ocean and Intracoastal Waterway access and views; Approximately 300 feet of total waterfront with about 75 feet on canal, gulf/ocean and ICW each; Waterfront extras include fixed bridges, davits and concrete seawall; Gunite in-ground pool with screen enclosure and outside bath access (23x12)
- HOA & community: No association; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home; Northwest facing
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built using traditional materials
- Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Patios and porches covered; Exterior lighting; Private mailbox; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Exterior storage; Chain link fencing; Shed on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Tile flooring throughout
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $300k (4.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (15.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $267k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lamarque Elementary School (math 61% / reading 58%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 1,073 students, 68% FRL); North Port High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade D+, #171 of 667 statewide, top 26%, 2,562 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 852 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,674/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 522% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $96k; list at $315k implies a 228% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.26%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-63,594
- Equity at exit
- $46,953
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-90,044
- Equity at exit
- $27,227
Cash invested: $88,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34287
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 852
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,674 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,651
- Tax from tax record
- −$349 /mo · $4,188/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$562
- Net cashflow
- $-85
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,725
- Closing costs
- $9,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Ramblewood St Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1795 | $2,200 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 170 Saluda Ter Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $3,100 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 297 Cheshire St Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2134 | $3,695 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $314,900 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $314,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $314,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $314,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $314,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $314,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $314,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,188 · $349/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,188 · $349/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,089
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,639
- − Property taxes
- −$4,188
- − Insurance
- −$2,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,567
- − Management
- −$2,567
- − Depreciation
- −$9,161
- Taxable loss
- −$6,405
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,537
- After-tax cash flow
- $511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Port
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Port, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- City population
- 75,324
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,929
- Household income
- $63,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 522.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.89%
- Current HPI
- 280.8484
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.26%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+384.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $314,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-01 Sold (MLS) $96,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-23 Listed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $104,900 Public Records
- 1988-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,188 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…