215 Lauderbach St · Lyons, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1970
- Listed 23 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#207 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Lyons (town): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #136 of 169 in KS (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Rice County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rice County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.63%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $28,311
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.39×
- Total profit
- $73,681
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67554
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,280 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $597
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$60,000 Active
-
2023-09-14historical
-
2023-08-18$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,365
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,229
- − Management
- −$1,229
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $6,600
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,584
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,578/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lyons
- NCES district ID
- 2009030
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,109
- Composite
- 21.36/100
- National rank
- #8363
- State rank
- #136 of 169 in KS
Livability — Lyons
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #207
- US rank
- #9304
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lyons, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,122
Population outlook (Rice County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,798 people
- By 2030
- 9,694 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 9,507 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 9,457 · -3.5%
- By 2075
- 9,487 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 9,144 · -6.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Rice
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.7) · D 20.8% · R 77.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.2pp · 2024: -56.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+40.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.91%
- Current HPI
- 165.4881
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-33.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $60,000 FSBO.com
- 2023-09-14 Delisted — MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-08-18 Listed $90,000 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…