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215 Lauderbach St
B- Composite 68.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

215 Lauderbach St · Lyons, KS 67554
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,143 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1970 ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Built 1970
  • Listed 23 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#207 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Lyons (town): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #136 of 169 in KS (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Rice County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rice County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.23%
Cash-on-cash
42.63%
DSCR
2.90
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.4%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$28,311
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
45.8%
Equity multiple
5.39×
Total profit
$73,681
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67554

Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,280 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$597

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $60,000 Active
  17. 2023-09-14
    historical
  18. 2023-08-18
    listed $90,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,365
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,229
− Management
−$1,229
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$6,600
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,584
After-tax cash flow
$5,578/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lyons
NCES district ID
2009030
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,109
Composite
21.36/100
National rank
#8363
State rank
#136 of 169 in KS

Livability — Lyons

Score
68/100
State rank
#207
US rank
#9304

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lyons, KS
Population (ZIP)
4,122

Population outlook (Rice County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,798 people
By 2030
9,694 · -1.1%
By 2040
9,507 · -3.0%
By 2050
9,457 · -3.5%
By 2075
9,487 · -3.2%
By 2100
9,144 · -6.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Rice

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.7) · D 20.8% · R 77.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.2pp · 2024: -56.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+40.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.91%
Current HPI
165.4881
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $60,000 FSBO.com
  • 2023-09-14 Delisted MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-08-18 Listed $90,000 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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