7209 Eugene St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$198,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 7209 Eugene St – a beautifully maintained and move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2 full bath + 1 half bath home on an oversized lot with a huge fenced backyard perfect for play, pets, and entertaining! This energy-efficient property features leased solar panels that keep electric bills extremely low, a roof that’s only about 4 years old, tile flooring throughout and wood floors in bedroom, spacious bedrooms, and a spacious living area. The extended driveway provides plenty of parking, the street is quiet with no HOA, and you’re just minutes from I-45 and the Hardy Toll Road for an easy commute. Pride of ownership shows in every detail – this turn-key home is ready for its new owner today!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Leased solar panels
- Extended driveway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $198k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $198k).
- Recommended offer: $174k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,311/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1815% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.35%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,002
- List price
- $198,000
- Delta
- -16.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3202 Melbourne St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (+4%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $98 | 60 |
| 8006 Huntington Springs Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,753 (-0%) | 7mo | $364,990 | $208 | 58 |
| 8010 Huntington Springs Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,753 (-0%) | 7mo | $365,000 | $208 | 58 |
| 8014 Huntington Springs Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,753 (-0%) | 7mo | $364,990 | $208 | 58 |
| 2301 King St | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 1,912 (+9%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $110 | 57 |
| 1928 E Crosstimbers St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,590 (-10%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $132 | 56 |
| 7217 Brazil St | 0.15mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,924 (+9%) | 14mo | $309,990 | $161 | 53 |
| 2513 Melbourne St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+9%) | 3mo | $229,900 | $120 | 52 |
| 6804 Schuller Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,968 (+12%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $119 | 44 |
| 2622 Huntington Creek St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,553 (-12%) | 6mo | $346,000 | $223 | 40 |
| 2619 Huntington Creek St | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,553 (-12%) | 6mo | $342,990 | $221 | 40 |
| 2618 Huntington Creek St | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,553 (-12%) | 7mo | $352,479 | $227 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,926
- Equity at exit
- $29,522
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $53,941
- Equity at exit
- $17,119
Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77093
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,311 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,038
- Tax from tax record
- −$319 /mo · $3,827/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $498 | -5% $442 | +0% $386 | +5% $330 | +10% $274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $203 | -5% $295 | +0% $386 | +5% $477 | +10% $569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $486 | -0.5pp $436 | base $386 | +0.5pp $335 | +1.0pp $282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,500
- Closing costs
- $5,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2623 Huntington Creek Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1553 | $2,299 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3810 Lynnfield St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,599 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 835E Dorchester St Unit 1273076P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $3,079 | $2.02 | 0d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3812 Lynnfield St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,545 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8320 Curry Rd Unit 1391267P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $5,033 | $3.25 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8320 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1558 | $8,950 | $5.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8318 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $2,299 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8322 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1599 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8326 Curry Rd Unit 1227052P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $3,317 | $2.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8326 Curry Rd Unit 1228882P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,878 | $1.78 | 8d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3208 Bostic St Unit 1254540P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $3,673 | $2.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3222 Bostic St Unit 1571615P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1593 | $5,423 | $3.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1416 Fairbanks St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1888 | $1,899 | $1.01 | 8d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4030 Reid St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5124 Gold St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,895 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $198,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $198,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $198,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $198,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $198,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $220,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-01-12price $220,000 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Welcome to 7209 Eugene St – a beautifully maintained and move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2 full bath + 1 half bath home on an oversized lot with a huge fenced backyard perfect for play, pets, and entertaining! This energy-efficient property features leased solar panels that keep electric bills extremely low, a roof that’s only about 4 years old, tile flooring throughout and wood floors in bedroom, spacious bedrooms, and a spacious living area. The extended driveway provides plenty of parking, the street is quiet with no HOA, and you’re just minutes from I-45 and the Hardy Toll Road for an easy commute. Pride of ownership shows in every detail – this turn-key home is ready for its new owner today!
-
2025-12-09$230,000 Active 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Welcome to 7209 Eugene St – a beautifully maintained and move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2 full bath + 1 half bath home on an oversized lot with a huge fenced backyard perfect for play, pets, and entertaining! This energy-efficient property features leased solar panels that keep electric bills extremely low, a roof that’s only about 4 years old, tile flooring throughout and wood floors in bedroom, spacious bedrooms, and a spacious living area. The extended driveway provides plenty of parking, the street is quiet with no HOA, and you’re just minutes from I-45 and the Hardy Toll Road for an easy commute. Pride of ownership shows in every detail – this turn-key home is ready for its new owner today!
-
2002-10-09soldstatus
-
1989-04-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,827 · $319/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,827 · $319/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,091
- − Property taxes
- −$3,827
- − Insurance
- −$990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,219
- − Management
- −$2,219
- − Depreciation
- −$5,760
- Taxable income
- $1,628
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$391
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,241/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,407
- Household income
- $46,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1815.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 24% Black 11% White 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 70%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.53%
- Current HPI
- 277.4914
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.31%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $220,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-09 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
- 2002-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-04-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,827 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…