1804 10th Pl NE · Austin, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute one bedroom home in desired neighborhood. Nice city lot, near walking/bike paths. Call for showing today.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.8% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#77 in MN, #1,829 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
- Austin Public School District (town): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #267 of 301 in MN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 53 units permitted in Mower County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $80k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.21%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $21,133
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $83,542
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55912
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,230 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $433
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $478 | -5% $456 | +0% $433 | +5% $411 | +10% $388 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $336 | -5% $385 | +0% $433 | +5% $482 | +10% $530 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $473 | -0.5pp $454 | base $433 | +0.5pp $412 | +1.0pp $391 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 1st Dr NW Austin, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $2,082 | $2.12 | 45d | 96 | 1.37mi |
| 800 8th Ave SE Austin, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,600 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 202 11th Ave NW Unit 602 Austin, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 711 1st Dr NW Apt A Austin, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,100 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1105 3rd St NW Austin, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $925 | $1.28 | 45d | 2 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Cute one bedroom home in desired neighborhood. Nice city lot, near walking/bike paths. Call for showing today.
-
2026-04-27price $80,000 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Cute one bedroom home in desired neighborhood. Nice city lot, near walking/bike paths. Call for showing today.
-
2026-04-20$92,500 Active 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Cute one bedroom home in desired neighborhood. Nice city lot, near walking/bike paths. Call for showing today.
-
2004-08-09soldstatus $32,000 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
One & half story home, one bedroom, new carpet & updated bath, large lot.
-
2004-06-22soldstatus $38,000
-
2004-02-27soldstatus $32,000
-
2004-02-26soldstatus $32,000
-
2004-02-26soldstatus $32,000
-
2004-02-10historical
-
2003-04-07$34,500
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
One & half story home, one bedroom, new carpet & updated bath, large lot.
-
2003-04-07$34,500 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
One & half story home, one bedroom, new carpet & updated bath, large lot.
-
2003-04-07$34,500
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
One & half story home, one bedroom, new carpet & updated bath, large lot.
-
2002-01-17historical
-
2001-07-30$38,500
-
2001-07-17$38,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,024 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,024 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,755
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,024
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,180
- − Management
- −$1,180
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,162
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$999
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Austin Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2703450
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,818
- Composite
- 24.75/100
- National rank
- #7604
- State rank
- #267 of 301 in MN
Livability — Austin
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #1829
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Austin, MN
- County
- Mower County · 29,632 people
- City population
- 29,632
- Metro
- Austin, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,632
- Household income
- $70,177
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 759.0
Population outlook (Mower County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,967 people
- By 2030
- 40,204 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 40,509 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 40,841 · +2.2%
- By 2075
- 42,029 · +5.2%
- By 2100
- 42,272 · +5.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 8% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 16% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mower
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.5) · D 43.9% · R 54.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: -10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.5 2020: R+5.8 2016: R+7.8 2012: D+22.7 2008: D+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 271.4199
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.62%
- Metro
- Austin, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+107.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $80,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Listed $92,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-09 Sold (MLS) $32,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-27 Sold (MLS) $32,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-26 Sold (MLS) $32,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-07 Listed $34,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-07 Listed $34,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-07 Listed $34,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-01-17 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-07-30 Listed $38,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-07-17 Listed $38,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,024 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…