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Mitchell Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 33.87
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +3.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$423,990

Mitchell Plan · South Fulton, GA 30349
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,956 sqft · SingleFamily · 245 Days on market
↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Island
  • Large gathering room

Tags

FORMAL DINING ROOMDOWNSTAIRS FLEX SPACEOPEN KITCHENISLANDLARGE GATHERING ROOMLOFT AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $423,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $498,063.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $424k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $294k (30.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (39.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (39.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Amana Academy School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 731 students, 30% FRL, charter); Sandtown Middle School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 1,057 students, 57% FRL); Westlake High School (math 27% / reading 5%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 2,461 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 655 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,573/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 4258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $257,303 (39.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.52%
Cap rate
2.90%
Cash-on-cash
-12.13%
DSCR
0.46
GRM
16.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$498,063
List price
$423,990
Delta
-14.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6070 Marigold Way 0.09mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,956 (0%) 4mo $472,786 $160 86
6101 Marigold Way 0.09mi 4/2.5 3,027 (+2%) 8mo $584,309 $193 85
6118 Marigold Way 0.16mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,956 (0%) 1mo $455,605 $154 85
6100 Marigold Way 0.08mi 4/3.0 3,020 (+2%) 8mo $495,978 $164 83
6124 Marigold Way 0.13mi 5/3.0 (+1) 3,100 (+5%) 0mo $494,121 $159 78
6097 Marigold Way 0.07mi 5/3.0 (+1) 3,092 (+5%) 6mo $539,590 $175 78
6092 Marigold Way 0.04mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,683 (-9%) 1mo $421,153 $157 75
6134 Marigold Way 0.12mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,683 (-9%) 2mo $447,497 $167 70
6108 Marigold Way 0.13mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,766 (-6%) 8mo $459,122 $166 70
6069 Marigold Way 0.08mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,683 (-9%) 9mo $551,058 $205 66
609 Red Oak Pl 0.53mi 4/3.5 3,331 (+13%) 1mo $499,999 $150 50
6445 Newborn Dr SW 0.64mi 4/2.5 2,622 (-11%) 5mo $165,500 $63 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$176,336
Equity at exit
$448,695
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
5.16×
Total profit
$580,251
Equity at exit
$967,628

Cash invested: $139,458 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30349

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
655
Price-to-rent
13.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,573 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,612
Tax est. 1.5%
$623 /mo · $7,471/yr
Insurance
$208
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$540
Net cashflow
$-1,409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,357
Max offer price $294,134
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,065 -5% $-1,237 +0% $-1,409 +5% $-1,581 +10% $-1,754
Rent -10% $-1,613 -5% $-1,511 +0% $-1,409 +5% $-1,308 +10% $-1,206
Rate -1.0pp $-1,158 -0.5pp $-1,283 base $-1,409 +0.5pp $-1,538 +1.0pp $-1,670

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$124,516
Closing costs
$14,942
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4780 Butner Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 3.0 1950 $2,250 $1.15 20d 1 0.84mi
6469 Snowden Dr Atlanta, GA 5.0 3.0 2487 $2,579 $1.04 4d 1 0.97mi
385 Yasmine Cv Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2120 $2,495 $1.18 45d 1 1.05mi
5539 Rosehall Pl Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 2706 $3,000 $1.11 7d 1 1.14mi
250 Alamosa Path SW Atlanta, GA 5.0 3.0 1958 $2,650 $1.35 3d 1 1.26mi
5411 Bighorn Pass SW Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 3000 $2,650 $0.88 21d 1 1.31mi
625 Blueangel Dr Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2514 $2,670 $1.06 45d 1 1.36mi
6802 Fireside Ln Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 2664 $2,525 $0.95 26d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $423,990 Active 245 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $423,990 Active 242 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $423,990 Active 241 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $423,990 Active 240 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $423,990 Active 239 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $423,990 Active 237 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $423,990 Active 233 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $423,990 Active 232 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $423,990 Active 231 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $423,990 Active 228 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $423,990 Active 227 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $423,990 Active 225 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $423,990 Active 224 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    price $420,990 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  15. 2026-05-05
    price $418,990 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  16. 2026-04-25
    price $415,990 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  17. 2026-04-12
    price $412,990 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  18. 2026-01-14
    price $463,990 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  19. 2025-12-24
    price $461,990 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  20. 2025-11-07
    status Active 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  21. 2025-09-28
    historical 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  22. 2025-09-26
    price $459,990 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

  23. 2025-09-10
    listed $457,990 Active 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Walk into the Mitchell and notice the spaciousness - from the inviting formal dining room to the downstairs flex space (perfect as a guest suite or a play area). The open kitchen with island dovetails with the airy café and large gathering room. And upstairs, the loft area, alongside three bedrooms and a sizable Owner's Suite with walk-in closet, delights with extra space.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,876
− Mortgage interest
−$27,899
− Property taxes
−$7,471
− Insurance
−$2,490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,470
− Management
−$2,470
− Depreciation
−$14,489
Taxable loss
−$26,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,339
After-tax cash flow
$-10,572/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,872
Household income
$67,023
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
4258.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.01%
Current HPI
407.99
Rent YoY
▲ 0.95%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $420,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $418,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $415,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $412,990 Zillow
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $463,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $461,990 Zillow
  • 2025-11-07 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-09-28 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $459,990 Zillow
  • 2025-09-10 Listed $457,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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