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1901 S Station St #121 #121
D- Composite 39.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$409,500

1901 S Station St #121 #121 · Port Aransas, TX 78373
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Townhouse public records · 183 Days on market
Built 2006 $292/sqft · 19% below area Est $507k · 19% under $188/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Prime Location! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo boasts 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is just three blocks from the beach. Situated on the upper floor, it features vaulted ceilings and enhanced privacy. The primary bedroom comes with a generous walk-in closet and an en-suite bath, complete with double sinks and a jetted tub. Both guest bedrooms are roomy and share access to a full bath. The main living area showcases an open floor plan that is bright and perfect for entertaining. Additional highlights include a large walk-in pantry and a designated laundry area. The intimate complex consists of only 12 units, each with two assigned parking spaces. An outdoor storage closet is allocated to the unit for beach chairs and toys. Enjoy the convenience of a zero-entry swimming pool just steps away, secured for community access. A walk-through gate provides easy access to 11th St. The unit is being sold turn - key, furnishings and most items convey. Units in the Blue Heron Complex are rarely available, don’t miss out on the opportunity to own in this small community in the perfect location.

Key facts

  • $188 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 2006

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $410k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-568 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $309k (24.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $300k (26.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $300k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 1.1% in Port Aransas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#525 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, schools A-; Watch: commute C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Port Aransas ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #68 of 826 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 1012 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($360k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $63k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $299,861 (26.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
4.63%
Cash-on-cash
-5.95%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$507,376
List price
$409,500
Delta
-19.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1813 S 11th St #103 0.16mi 3/3.0 1,292 (-8%) 3mo $375,000 $290 73
2120 S 11th St #701 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,292 (-8%) 5mo $435,000 $337 73
2000 On The Bch Unit 231,232,233 0.35mi 3/3.0 1,408 (+1%) 13mo $699,000 $496 68
2120 Eleventh #201 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,293 (-8%) 15mo $475,000 $367 66
732 Sandcastle Dr #8 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,291 (-8%) 9mo $599,000 $464 66
2120 S 11th St #304 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,293 (-8%) 15mo $489,000 $378 65
2212 State Highway 361 #119 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-12%) 1mo $389,000 $316 65
1421 S 11th St #214 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,365 (-2%) 11mo $425,000 $311 64
2606 S 11th St #13 0.43mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,379 (-2%) 9mo $499,000 $362 59
2727 S 11th St #31 0.57mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,433 (+2%) 2mo $690,000 $482 58
677 Morgan Cir #403 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,339 (-4%) 15mo $520,000 $388 46
2727 S 11th St #26 0.57mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,218 (-13%) 2mo $699,000 $574 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.5%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-102,428
Equity at exit
$61,058
10-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
-0.18×
Total profit
$-135,332
Equity at exit
$35,406

Cash invested: $114,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78373

Active inventory
1012
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,999 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,147
Tax from tax record
$431 /mo · $5,171/yr
Insurance
$171
HOA
$188
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$630
Net cashflow
$-568

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,718
Max offer price $309,143
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-336 -5% $-452 +0% $-568 +5% $-684 +10% $-800
Rent -10% $-805 -5% $-687 +0% $-568 +5% $-450 +10% $-331
Rate -1.0pp $-362 -0.5pp $-464 base $-568 +0.5pp $-674 +1.0pp $-782

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$102,375
Closing costs
$12,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
328 Sea Isle Dr Unit A Port Aransas, TX 2.0 1.0 1040 $2,200 $2.12 14d 1 0.32mi
2606 S 11th St #2 Port Aransas, TX 4.0 3.5 1480 $3,500 $2.36 14d 1 0.47mi
321 Seventh St Unit A Port Aransas, TX 2.0 1.0 1344 $2,775 $2.06 14d 1 1.02mi
519 West Avenue C Unit B Port Aransas, TX 3.0 3.0 1427 $3,500 $2.45 45d 1 1.09mi
200 W Cotter Ave Port Aransas, TX 2.0 2.0 1230 $4,000 $3.25 44d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$188 · $2,256/yr
Likely covers
poolparking

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $409,500 Active 183 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $409,500 Active 182 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $409,500 Price Change 181 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $409,500 Price Change 180 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $409,500 Price Change 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $409,500 Price Change 177 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $409,500 Price Change 175 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $409,500 Price Change 174 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $409,500 Price Change 173 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $409,500 Price Change 172 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $434,900 Active 168 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $434,900 Active 167 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $434,900 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $434,900 Active 165 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $434,900 Active 164 DOM
  16. 2026-04-22
    price $434,900 1114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1114 chars)

    Prime Location! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo boasts 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is just three blocks from the beach. Situated on the upper floor, it features vaulted ceilings and enhanced privacy. The primary bedroom comes with a generous walk-in closet and an en-suite bath, complete with double sinks and a jetted tub. Both guest bedrooms are roomy and share access to a full bath. The main living area showcases an open floor plan that is bright and perfect for entertaining. Additional highlights include a large walk-in pantry and a designated laundry area. The intimate complex consists of only 12 units, each with two assigned parking spaces. An outdoor storage closet is allocated to the unit for beach chairs and toys. Enjoy the convenience of a zero-entry swimming pool just steps away, secured for community access. A walk-through gate provides easy access to 11th St. The unit is being sold turn - key, furnishings and most items convey. Units in the Blue Heron Complex are rarely available, don’t miss out on the opportunity to own in this small community in the perfect location.

  17. 2026-04-22
    price $434,900
    Show marketing remark (1114 chars)

    Prime Location! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo boasts 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is just three blocks from the beach. Situated on the upper floor, it features vaulted ceilings and enhanced privacy. The primary bedroom comes with a generous walk-in closet and an en-suite bath, complete with double sinks and a jetted tub. Both guest bedrooms are roomy and share access to a full bath. The main living area showcases an open floor plan that is bright and perfect for entertaining. Additional highlights include a large walk-in pantry and a designated laundry area. The intimate complex consists of only 12 units, each with two assigned parking spaces. An outdoor storage closet is allocated to the unit for beach chairs and toys. Enjoy the convenience of a zero-entry swimming pool just steps away, secured for community access. A walk-through gate provides easy access to 11th St. The unit is being sold turn - key, furnishings and most items convey. Units in the Blue Heron Complex are rarely available, don’t miss out on the opportunity to own in this small community in the perfect location.

  18. 2026-03-13
    price $439,900
  19. 2026-03-12
    price $439,900 1114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1114 chars)

    Prime Location! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo boasts 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is just three blocks from the beach. Situated on the upper floor, it features vaulted ceilings and enhanced privacy. The primary bedroom comes with a generous walk-in closet and an en-suite bath, complete with double sinks and a jetted tub. Both guest bedrooms are roomy and share access to a full bath. The main living area showcases an open floor plan that is bright and perfect for entertaining. Additional highlights include a large walk-in pantry and a designated laundry area. The intimate complex consists of only 12 units, each with two assigned parking spaces. An outdoor storage closet is allocated to the unit for beach chairs and toys. Enjoy the convenience of a zero-entry swimming pool just steps away, secured for community access. A walk-through gate provides easy access to 11th St. The unit is being sold turn - key, furnishings and most items convey. Units in the Blue Heron Complex are rarely available, don’t miss out on the opportunity to own in this small community in the perfect location.

  20. 2025-12-17
    listed $472,500 New
  21. 2025-11-21
    listed $472,500 Active 1114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1114 chars)

    Prime Location! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo boasts 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is just three blocks from the beach. Situated on the upper floor, it features vaulted ceilings and enhanced privacy. The primary bedroom comes with a generous walk-in closet and an en-suite bath, complete with double sinks and a jetted tub. Both guest bedrooms are roomy and share access to a full bath. The main living area showcases an open floor plan that is bright and perfect for entertaining. Additional highlights include a large walk-in pantry and a designated laundry area. The intimate complex consists of only 12 units, each with two assigned parking spaces. An outdoor storage closet is allocated to the unit for beach chairs and toys. Enjoy the convenience of a zero-entry swimming pool just steps away, secured for community access. A walk-through gate provides easy access to 11th St. The unit is being sold turn - key, furnishings and most items convey. Units in the Blue Heron Complex are rarely available, don’t miss out on the opportunity to own in this small community in the perfect location.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,171 · $431/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,494 · $624/mo
Expected delta
+$2,323/yr (+$194/mo · 44.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,983
− Mortgage interest
−$22,938
− Property taxes
−$5,171
− Insurance
−$2,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,879
− Management
−$2,879
− HOA
−$2,256
− Depreciation
−$11,913
Taxable loss
−$14,100
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,384
After-tax cash flow
$-3,433/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Aransas ISD
NCES district ID
4835370
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$47,528
Composite
50.82/100
National rank
#1803
State rank
#68 of 826 in TX

Livability — Port Aransas

Score
67/100
State rank
#525
US rank
#10286

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living D- Crime F Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Aransas, TX
Population (ZIP)
3,314

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -205.54%
Current HPI
268.699
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $434,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $434,900 LERA
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $439,900 LERA
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $439,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $472,500 LERA
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $472,500 CBMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,171 · -18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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