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Lot 51 Polster Pl
D- Composite 38.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.6/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,990

Lot 51 Polster Pl · Bettendorf, IA 52722
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,227 sqft · Townhouse · 181 Days on market
Built 2025 3,049 sqft lot $244/sqft · 19% below area Est $369k · 19% under $135/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Proposed new construction. Brand new Townhomes and Villas in a great new location in Hopewell Farms! The Arlington boasts efficiency with plenty of options to make this home your own. Large and open first floor with luxury vinyl plank flooring with a luxury kitchen with an optional fireplace in the great room. The three bedrooms are upstairs providing additional privacy, with a private owner's suite that has a large walk-in closet and double bowl sinks in the bathroom. 2nd floor laundry, luxury finishes, energy efficient features and smart home technology are included already so you can get what you want in this amazing home! Pictures of previously built homes, some with upgrades.

Key facts

  • New construction
  • Open first floor
  • Optional fireplace

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONOPEN FIRST FLOORLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGOPTIONAL FIREPLACEPRIVATE OWNER'S SUITELARGE WALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-756 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (36.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (38.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (38.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#73 in IA, #1,579 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pleasant Valley Community School District (suburban): math 87% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #5 of 289 in IA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $183,797 (38.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
3.27%
Cash-on-cash
-10.80%
DSCR
0.52
GRM
13.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$369,056
List price
$299,990
Delta
-18.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5940 Butterfield Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,227 (0%) 1mo $285,000 $232 98
5934 Butterfield Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,227 (0%) 3mo $281,067 $229 95
5900 Butterfield Ct 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,227 (0%) 3mo $311,548 $254 95
5919 Butterfield Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+14%) 4mo $397,984 $283 69
5695 Red Fox Dr 0.16mi 3/3.0 1,339 (+9%) 9mo $427,900 $320 66
5925 Butterfield Dr 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (+14%) 3mo $281,076 $200 65
5885 Butterfield Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (+14%) 5mo $391,860 $279 62
5691 Red Fox Rd 0.17mi 3/3.0 1,339 (+9%) 13mo $429,900 $321 62
5256 Red Fox Rd 0.55mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,320 (+8%) 7mo $360,000 $273 49
5577 Red Fox Rd 0.29mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,400 (+14%) 8mo $390,000 $279 47
5128 Red Fox Rd 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (+14%) 14mo $356,000 $254 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-36.0%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-96,883
Equity at exit
$44,729
10-year hold
IRR
-49.9%
Equity multiple
-0.75×
Total profit
$-146,836
Equity at exit
$25,938

Cash invested: $83,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52722

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
426
Price-to-rent
13.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,838 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax est. 1.5%
$375 /mo · $4,500/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$135
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$-756

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,795
Max offer price $190,571
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-549 -5% $-653 +0% $-756 +5% $-860 +10% $-963
Rent -10% $-901 -5% $-829 +0% $-756 +5% $-684 +10% $-611
Rate -1.0pp $-605 -0.5pp $-680 base $-756 +0.5pp $-834 +1.0pp $-913

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,998
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7118 International Dr Bettendorf, IA 3.0 1.0–2.0 955 $1,987 $2.08 14d 52 0.98mi
3939 53rd Ave Bettendorf, IA 3.0 1.0–2.0 951 $2,035 $2.14 14d 29 1.30mi
5472 Devils Glen Rd #204 Bettendorf, IA 2.0 2.0 1065 $1,695 $1.59 21d 1 1.31mi
5472 Devils Glen Rd Unit 319 Bettendorf, IA 2.0 2.0 1065 $1,695 $1.59 14d 1 1.31mi
5472 Devils Glen Rd Bettendorf, IA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1293 $2,085 $1.61 44d 2 1.31mi
5472 Devils Glen Rd Bettendorf, IA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1141 $2,085 $1.83 14d 2 1.31mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$135 · $1,620/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,990 Active 181 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,990 Active 180 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,990 Active 179 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,990 Active 178 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,990 Active 176 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,990 Active 175 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,990 Active 173 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,990 Active 172 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,990 Active 171 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,990 Active 170 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $299,990 Active 167 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,990 Active 166 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,990 Active 165 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,990 Active 164 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,990 Active 163 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,990 Active 162 DOM
  17. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-06
    historical
  19. 2026-01-05
    historical
  20. 2025-07-28
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,056
− Mortgage interest
−$16,804
− Property taxes
−$4,500
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,764
− Management
−$1,764
− HOA
−$1,620
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$14,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,510
After-tax cash flow
$-5,564/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasant Valley Community School District
NCES district ID
1923110
Math proficiency
87% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
85% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$80,716
Composite
75.59/100
National rank
#130
State rank
#5 of 289 in IA

Livability — Bettendorf

Score
81/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#1579

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bettendorf, IA
County
Scott County · 144,583 people
City population
41,264
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
41,264
Household income
$101,546
Rent vs Own
24.2% rent · 75.8% own
Severe rent burden
935.0

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
188,878 people
By 2030
196,648 · +4.1%
By 2040
210,860 · +11.6%
By 2050
224,359 · +18.8%
By 2075
258,884 · +37.1%
By 2100
286,447 · +51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Asian 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.45%
Current HPI
194.8355
Rent YoY
▲ 2.88%
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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