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17022 Jimenez Rd 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 41.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$209,900

17022 Jimenez Rd · Rangerville, TX 77449
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,544 sqft · SingleFamily · 40 Days on market
Built 1995 Fair condition 0.27 ac lot $136/sqft · waterfront premium Est $150k · 40% over · waterfront

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your own slice of the country. Nestled in a serene, quiet setting with no rear neighbors, this home offers a rare sense of space and privacy the moment you step outside. Inside, you'll find oversized bedrooms that stand out from the competition, giving anyone their own great sized room. This home simply awaits a buyer with the vision to refresh and modernize. Whether you're looking to build equity or create your forever home exactly the way you want it, this is a rare opportunity at an amazing value. Come see the potential for yourself!

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Built 1995
  • Listed 40 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: No carport; No garage or covered parking
  • Utilities: City sewer
  • Home design: Not new construction
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Composition shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Gutters and spouting; Mature trees; Resaca on the property; Paved road access; Storage structure on site

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater; Electric stove/range with coil burners
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate countertops; Ceiling fans; Washer included; Partial window coverings; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer/dryer connections

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (0.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#1,592 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • San Benito CISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #782 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rangerville El (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 217 students, 94% FRL); San Benito Riverside Middle (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,407 of 1,662 statewide, top 86%, 529 students, 90% FRL); San Benito H S (math 32% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,460 of 1,632 statewide, top 91%, 2,012 students, 80% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,603 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.24%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,387
List price
$209,900
Delta
39.57%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32745 W Parmer Dr 1.37mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,488 (-4%) 2mo $168,000 $113 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.27% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-11,261
Equity at exit
$47,952
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,934
Equity at exit
$48,075

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77449

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
763
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,099 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,148/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,836
Max offer price $209,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $353 -5% $280 +0% $207 +5% $135 +10% $62
Rent -10% $42 -5% $125 +0% $207 +5% $290 +10% $373
Rate -1.0pp $313 -0.5pp $261 base $207 +0.5pp $153 +1.0pp $98

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $209,900 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,900 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,900 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,900 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,900 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $209,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $209,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,900 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,900 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $209,900 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $209,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $209,900 Active 553-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,186
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$3,148
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,015
− Management
−$2,015
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$906
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$217
After-tax cash flow
$2,707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires moderate renovations to modernize the kitchen and bathrooms, and improve the landscaping. It has potential for significant value increase.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate bathroom cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Major landscaping — overgrown vegetation needs trimming and landscaping

Value-add opportunities

  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathrooms would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both landscaping — trimming and landscaping would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
landscaping · overgrown vegetation needs trimming and landscaping Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $21,000–80,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathrooms would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both landscaping — trimming and landscaping would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Benito CISD
NCES district ID
4838790
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$29,403
Composite
16.31/100
National rank
#9212
State rank
#782 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rangerville

Score
41/100
State rank
#1592
US rank
#27164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
130,028
Household income
$87,808
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
3088.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% Two or more races 22% Black 20% White 19% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.27%
Current HPI
254.6622
Rent YoY
▼ -2.86%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $209,900 MCALLENMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…