CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4121 Norton Pryor Rd
C+ Composite 64.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,000

4121 Norton Pryor Rd · Mount Pocono, PA 18346
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,124 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1920 0.45 ac lot $177/sqft · at area comps Est $255k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

First time offered on the market! Check out this adorable 2 BR/ 1 Bath cottage style home that will just charm your heart! Perfect vacation home, investment or full time living all year round. Enjoy your Enclosed front porch on those chilly or rainy days. Some added extras include mud room with little workshop area , unfinished basement area and a Detached 1 car garage giving you plenty of extra space. There is an extra lot included in sale giving you . 69 acres of land to work with. Very conveniently located near major highways, all Pocono attractions and just 2 minutes from Kalahari Resort, yet so very privately tucked away. LOCATION IS EVERYTHING! SELLING AS-IS .

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Standout sunroom
  • Near pocono raceway

Tags

STANDOUT SUNROOMSPACIOUS YARDADDITIONAL PARCEL INCLUDEDNEAR MOUNT AIRY CASINONEAR CAMELBACK MOUNTAINNEAR POCONO RACEWAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking with 8 spaces
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; 200+ amp electric service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: House structure; Brick/mortar foundation; Built area above grade: 1,376
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Oil heating; Cooling with ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $129k; list at $199k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $196,015 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.76%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$255,285
List price
$199,000
Delta
-22.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3239 Red Run Rd 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+2%) 19mo $245,000 $214 58
5171 Hummingbird Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+2%) 13mo $282,500 $245 58
5223 Fifth Ave 0.45mi 2/1.5 1,144 (+2%) 20mo $208,000 $182 58
3280 Red Run Rd 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,007 (-10%) 5mo $220,000 $218 52
160 Summit Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-11%) 19mo $262,500 $263 50
1249 Lexington Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+8%) 1mo $289,000 $238 50
250 Stillwater Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+7%) 2mo $250,500 $209 46
5228 Hummingbird Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,025 (-9%) 17mo $249,000 $243 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$23,152
Equity at exit
$73,549
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$82,580
Equity at exit
$102,238

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18346

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,089 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$303 /mo · $3,635/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,809
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $199,000 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1115-char remark
  5. 2026-05-06
    price $210,000 1115-char remark
  6. 2026-04-24
    listed $215,000 Active 1115-char remark
  7. 2021-11-29
    soldstatus $129,000
  8. 2021-11-24
    soldstatus $129,000 678-char remark
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    First time offered on the market! Check out this adorable 2 BR/ 1 Bath cottage style home that will just charm your heart! Perfect vacation home, investment or full time living all year round. Enjoy your Enclosed front porch on those chilly or rainy days. Some added extras include mud room with little workshop area , unfinished basement area and a Detached 1 car garage giving you plenty of extra space. There is an extra lot included in sale giving you . 69 acres of land to work with. Very conveniently located near major highways, all Pocono attractions and just 2 minutes from Kalahari Resort, yet so very privately tucked away. LOCATION IS EVERYTHING! SELLING AS-IS .

  9. 2021-07-31
    listed $139,999 678-char remark
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    First time offered on the market! Check out this adorable 2 BR/ 1 Bath cottage style home that will just charm your heart! Perfect vacation home, investment or full time living all year round. Enjoy your Enclosed front porch on those chilly or rainy days. Some added extras include mud room with little workshop area , unfinished basement area and a Detached 1 car garage giving you plenty of extra space. There is an extra lot included in sale giving you . 69 acres of land to work with. Very conveniently located near major highways, all Pocono attractions and just 2 minutes from Kalahari Resort, yet so very privately tucked away. LOCATION IS EVERYTHING! SELLING AS-IS .

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,635 · $303/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,635 · $303/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,072
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$3,635
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,006
− Management
−$2,006
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$505
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$121
After-tax cash flow
$2,776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,316

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Russian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.54%
Current HPI
189.8011
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $199,000 PMAR
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted PMAR
  • 2026-05-11 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $210,000 PMAR
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $215,000 PMAR
  • 2021-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-24 Sold (MLS) $129,000 PMAR
  • 2021-07-31 Listed $139,999 PMAR

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,635 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…