1426 S Austin St · Sherman, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FIXER UPPER! This property needs some extensive repairs, but it has lots of potential. It is located in a popular neighborhood in Sherman, Texas. It has two bedrooms, two baths and an attached covered carport. It is being sold As Is. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.
Key facts
- Extensive repairs
- 5,998 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.7% in Sherman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,027 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D-.
- Sherman ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #546 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 473 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 429 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 429 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.07%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,547
- List price
- $124,999
- Delta
- -30.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1505 S Austin St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,214 (+8%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $66 | 71 |
| 1710 S Walnut St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,007 (-10%) | 10mo | $199,900 | $199 | 54 |
| 301 W Rainey St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,231 (+10%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $183 | 54 |
| 110 W Moore St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,028 (-8%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $161 | 51 |
| 1313 S Walnut St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,252 (+12%) | 10mo | $217,500 | $174 | 48 |
| 625 S Rusk St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (-12%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $127 | 43 |
| 2026 S Walnut St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (-5%) | 21mo | $189,999 | $179 | 38 |
| 606 S Gordon St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,258 (+12%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $131 | 37 |
| 713 S Austin St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 980 (-13%) | 7mo | $99,900 | $102 | 34 |
| 201 Volunteer Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+13%) | 16mo | $262,290 | $207 | 28 |
| 2119 S Branch St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-7%) | 23mo | $74,900 | $72 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-11,165
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,431
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75090
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 473
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,394 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,245/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1415 S Austin St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1027 | $1,180 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1434 S Rusk St Unit A Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1434 S Rusk St Unit B Sherman, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 419 W Dulin St Unit 419 Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,850 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 417 W Dulin St Unit 417 Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,850 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1219 S Austin St Unit 1219 Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1223 S Austin St Unit 1223 Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 232 W Lake Ave Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1244 | $1,425 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 232 W Lake Ave Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1244 | $1,395 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 243 W Forest Ave Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1244 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 218 W Lake St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1244 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1710 S Travis St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 208 E Lake Ave Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1238 | $1,445 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1402 S Montgomery St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,399 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 224 E Lake St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,125 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 224 E Lake St Unit 224 Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,125 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 830 S Lyon St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,095 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2017 S Branch St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1341 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 600 E Rosedale St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $995 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 923 S First St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,125 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1006 S Throckmorton St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,026 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 304 E King St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,250 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 822 S Throckmorton St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1124 S Hazelwood St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2700 S Travis St Sherman, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $950 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 817 W Lamar St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 908 W Houston St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,299 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 906 W Houston St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,175 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 214 N Ricketts St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2700 Ginger Ct Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,550 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2733 Ginger Ct Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1002 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 114 S Holly Ave Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $1,195 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 106 N McKown Ave Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,050 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 207 N Highland Ave Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2151 W Moore St Sherman, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 410 S Vaden St Unit A Sherman, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1338 McCall St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,525 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2841 Peony Dr Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1429 E Odneal St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 524-526 N Woods St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,445 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $124,999 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,999 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,999 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,999 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,999 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,999 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,999 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,999 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,999 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,999 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,999 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,999 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,999 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,999 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,999 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $124,999 Active 409 DOM
-
2025-05-19status Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
FIXER UPPER! This property needs some extensive repairs, but it has lots of potential. It is located in a popular neighborhood in Sherman, Texas. It has two bedrooms, two baths and an attached covered carport. It is being sold As Is. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.
-
2025-04-23status Pending 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
FIXER UPPER! This property needs some extensive repairs, but it has lots of potential. It is located in a popular neighborhood in Sherman, Texas. It has two bedrooms, two baths and an attached covered carport. It is being sold As Is. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.
-
2025-03-21$124,999 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
FIXER UPPER! This property needs some extensive repairs, but it has lots of potential. It is located in a popular neighborhood in Sherman, Texas. It has two bedrooms, two baths and an attached covered carport. It is being sold As Is. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,245 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,287 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$42/yr (+$4/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,245
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $539
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$129
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840080
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,587
- Composite
- 28.79/100
- National rank
- #6665
- State rank
- #546 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sherman
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1027
- US rank
- #18243
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sherman, TX
- County
- Grayson County · 108,053 people
- City population
- 54,936
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,594
- Household income
- $55,543
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 840.0
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 24% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.00%
- Current HPI
- 276.5739
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.70%
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-19 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-04-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-03-21 Listed $124,999 HARMLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,245 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…