4131 Resurrection Dr · Anchorage, AK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Refreshed 3 beds 2.5 baths Townhome - NO HOA! This home offers the perfect combination of comfort and convenience. Newly renovated bathrooms, new stairs/upstairs carpet along with fresh interior paint and updated kitchen flooring. All bedrooms upstairs. Primary suite features a private en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. Fully fenced backyard. Seller to purchase new Stove and refrigerator.
Key facts
- 3,510 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1982
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-178 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (9.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (24.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Scenic Park Elementary (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #83 of 156 statewide, top 59%, 382 students, 39% FRL); Nicholas J. Begich Middle School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #32 of 36 statewide, top 89%, 882 students, 78% FRL); Bartlett High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #42 of 61 statewide, top 82%, 1,373 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 38% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Anchorage School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.32%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $399,384
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4131 Resurrection Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,548 (0%) | 1mo | $329,000 | $213 | 94 |
| 3933 Sycamore Loop | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,552 (+0%) | 8mo | $369,500 | $238 | 74 |
| 3832 Sycamore Loop | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,422 (-8%) | 5mo | $399,900 | $281 | 66 |
| 3925 Roundtop Cir | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,374 (-11%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $247 | 64 |
| 3658 Scenic View Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,469 (-5%) | 11mo | $399,000 | $272 | 60 |
| 8881 Pioneer Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,356 (-12%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $229 | 60 |
| 4245 Scenic View Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,627 (+5%) | 10mo | $419,000 | $258 | 58 |
| 3310 Shamrock St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,592 (+3%) | 7mo | $430,000 | $270 | 57 |
| 8500 Ridgeway Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,482 (-4%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $219 | 53 |
| 8631 Brookway Cir | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,466 (-5%) | 6mo | $425,000 | $290 | 48 |
| 3041 Brookridge Cir | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,452 (-6%) | 11mo | $309,000 | $213 | 45 |
| 4370 Ambler Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,364 (-12%) | 7mo | $394,500 | $289 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-65,776
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-76,422
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99504
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,496 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax from tax record
- −$288 /mo · $3,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $-178
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $8 | -5% $-85 | +0% $-178 | +5% $-271 | +10% $-364 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-375 | -5% $-277 | +0% $-178 | +5% $-80 | +10% $19 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-13 | -0.5pp $-95 | base $-178 | +0.5pp $-263 | +1.0pp $-350 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3622 Sycamore Loop Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1866 | $2,895 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3400 Meadowbrook Cir Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4011 Lunar Dr Unit A Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,750 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5971 Ridgelake Cir Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-24$329,000 Active
-
2021-09-23soldstatus
-
2018-10-12soldstatus
-
2018-06-08$239,900
-
2014-08-29soldstatus
-
2014-07-08$235,000
-
2007-12-21soldstatus
-
2007-11-09$210,000
-
2005-08-02soldstatus
-
2005-03-07$172,000
-
2002-03-19soldstatus
-
2000-06-06$129,597
-
1997-10-10soldstatus
-
1997-08-01$114,500
-
1996-08-26$113,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,455 · $288/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,685 · $307/mo
- Expected delta
- +$230/yr (+$19/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$3,455
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,396
- − Management
- −$2,396
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$7,937
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,905
- After-tax cash flow
- $-234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchorage School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200180
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,447
- Composite
- 37.0/100
- National rank
- #4523
- State rank
- #6 of 21 in AK
Livability — Anchorage
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anchorage, AK
- County
- Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
- City population
- 218,117
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,093
- Household income
- $86,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,993 people
- By 2030
- 321,771 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 335,493 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 352,799 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 414,771 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 474,485 · +50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.80)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 13% Native American 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Pacific Islander 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Ukrainian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 9% Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
- 2016→2024 swing
- +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -184.29%
- Current HPI
- 259.8803
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.57%
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+188.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — AKMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $329,000 AKMLS
- 2021-09-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-10-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-06-08 Listed $239,900 AKMLS
- 2014-08-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-07-08 Listed $235,000 AKMLS
- 2007-12-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-11-09 Listed $210,000 AKMLS
- 2005-08-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-03-07 Listed $172,000 AKMLS
- 2002-03-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-06-06 Listed $129,597 AKMLS
- 1997-10-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-08-01 Listed $114,500 AKMLS
- 1996-08-26 Listed $113,900 AKMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,455 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…