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3992 Caserio St
C Composite 58.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

3992 Caserio St · Muniz, TX 78542
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 163 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 6,861 sqft lot $109/sqft · 34% below area Est $159k · 34% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New Construction home located in Edinburg, offering a great opportunity to own in a growing area. Great investment located near schools, highways, groceries & entertainment! 3992 Compo St, Edinburg, Tx 78542 is the correct address.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Near groceries
  • New construction

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR HIGHWAYSNEAR GROCERIESNEAR ENTERTAINMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.2% in Muniz — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 48/100 on livability (#1,534 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1003 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.24%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,025
List price
$105,000
Delta
-33.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4000 S Tower Rd 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 940 (-2%) 21mo $210,000 $223 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-10,517
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-9,143
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78542

Home prices YoY
-13.4%
Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
1003
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,112 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5206 Murillo St Unit 2 Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 43d 1 1.26mi
5206 Murillo St Unit 1 Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 14d 1 1.26mi
3915 S Alamo Rd Edinburg, TX 2.0 1.0 600 $650 $1.08 43d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 163 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 158 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 157 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 148 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 147 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 146 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 145 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 144 DOM
  17. 2026-03-19
    price $105,000 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    New Construction home located in Edinburg, offering a great opportunity to own in a growing area. Great investment located near schools, highways, groceries & entertainment! 3992 Compo St, Edinburg, Tx 78542 is the correct address.

  18. 2026-01-06
    listed $110,000 Active 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    New Construction home located in Edinburg, offering a great opportunity to own in a growing area. Great investment located near schools, highways, groceries & entertainment! 3992 Compo St, Edinburg, Tx 78542 is the correct address.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,345
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,068
− Management
−$1,068
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$174
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$42
After-tax cash flow
$1,793/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 Moderate rehab

This new construction home is in good condition with moderate rehab needed. It offers a great investment opportunity in a growing area.

Repairs flagged

  • Major drywall — Drywall is not yet installed in the interior.
  • Major flooring — Flooring is OSB subflooring, not yet finished.
  • Major interior finishing — Interior framing is complete, but drywall and finishing are not yet done.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior and exterior — Painting enhances curb appeal and interior finish.
  • Both Install flooring — Flooring completes the interior and adds comfort.
  • Both Install drywall and finishing — Drywall and finishing complete the interior and add value.
  • Both Landscaping — Landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
drywall · Drywall is not yet installed in the interior. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Flooring is OSB subflooring, not yet finished. Major $15,000–50,000
interior finishing · Interior framing is complete, but drywall and finishing are not yet done. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior and exterior — Painting enhances curb appeal and interior finish.
  • Both Install flooring — Flooring completes the interior and adds comfort.
  • Both Install drywall and finishing — Drywall and finishing complete the interior and add value.
  • Both Landscaping — Landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Donna ISD
NCES district ID
4817390
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -30.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$27,330
Composite
11.16/100
National rank
#9728
State rank
#821 of 826 in TX

Livability — Muniz

Score
48/100
State rank
#1534
US rank
#26137

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Muniz, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
89,401
Household income
$55,243
Rent vs Own
24.3% rent · 75.7% own
Severe rent burden
1240.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 59% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 91%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada
Languages at home
15% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.17%
Current HPI
220.921
Rent YoY
▼ -1.07%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $105,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $110,000 MCALLENMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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