🏷️ Likely Rental
83 Fernwood Dr · Fayetteville, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand New 2024 Clayton Mobile Home - 3BR / 2BA (16x72) located in a beautifully wooded community just minutes from shopping and dining in Fayetteville. This spacious home features sheetrock walls, crown molding, tile backsplash, and a large kitchen with island offering abundant counter space and storage. The split-bedroom floor plan includes generously sized rooms and a walk-in closet in the primary suite. The primary bath features a relaxing garden tub and separate shower. Enjoy peaceful surroundings tucked into the forest while still being only 5 minutes from Fayetteville Pavilion and other local conveniences. Community amenities include paved parking pads with sidewalks to the front door, pavilion and bus stop area, basketball court, tot lot/playground, community activities, and on-site management. The community maintains standards similar to an HOA. All occupants must complete a pre-screening process and meet community guidelines regarding credit, criminal background, occupancy, and pets. All credit will be considered; higher security deposit may apply depending on credit profile.
Key facts
- Paved parking pads
- Tot lot
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 4.4% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools B+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.62%
- DSCR
- 3.65
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $350,360
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -75.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $64,520
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 65.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $165,708
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30214
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,240 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $1,183
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-05-13price $85,000 1110-char remark
Show marketing remark (1110 chars)
Brand New 2024 Clayton Mobile Home - 3BR / 2BA (16x72) located in a beautifully wooded community just minutes from shopping and dining in Fayetteville. This spacious home features sheetrock walls, crown molding, tile backsplash, and a large kitchen with island offering abundant counter space and storage. The split-bedroom floor plan includes generously sized rooms and a walk-in closet in the primary suite. The primary bath features a relaxing garden tub and separate shower. Enjoy peaceful surroundings tucked into the forest while still being only 5 minutes from Fayetteville Pavilion and other local conveniences. Community amenities include paved parking pads with sidewalks to the front door, pavilion and bus stop area, basketball court, tot lot/playground, community activities, and on-site management. The community maintains standards similar to an HOA. All occupants must complete a pre-screening process and meet community guidelines regarding credit, criminal background, occupancy, and pets. All credit will be considered; higher security deposit may apply depending on credit profile.
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2026-03-05$95,000 New 1110-char remark
Show marketing remark (1110 chars)
Brand New 2024 Clayton Mobile Home - 3BR / 2BA (16x72) located in a beautifully wooded community just minutes from shopping and dining in Fayetteville. This spacious home features sheetrock walls, crown molding, tile backsplash, and a large kitchen with island offering abundant counter space and storage. The split-bedroom floor plan includes generously sized rooms and a walk-in closet in the primary suite. The primary bath features a relaxing garden tub and separate shower. Enjoy peaceful surroundings tucked into the forest while still being only 5 minutes from Fayetteville Pavilion and other local conveniences. Community amenities include paved parking pads with sidewalks to the front door, pavilion and bus stop area, basketball court, tot lot/playground, community activities, and on-site management. The community maintains standards similar to an HOA. All occupants must complete a pre-screening process and meet community guidelines regarding credit, criminal background, occupancy, and pets. All credit will be considered; higher security deposit may apply depending on credit profile.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,151
- − Management
- −$2,151
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $13,649
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,276
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2024 Clayton Mobile Home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It features a modern kitchen, good-sized bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. The property is located in a beautiful wooded community with community amenities. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from some minor updates to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
- Both Install outdoor lighting — Improved lighting can make the property more inviting and safer
- Both Add a small front porch — A porch can increase the home's appeal and functionality
- Both Upgrade landscaping — A well-maintained yard can significantly boost curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Install outdoor lighting — Improved lighting can make the property more inviting and safer ↑
- Both Add a small front porch — A porch can increase the home's appeal and functionality ↑
- Both Upgrade landscaping — A well-maintained yard can significantly boost curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 1302130
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,746
- Composite
- 50.67/100
- National rank
- #1824
- State rank
- #7 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #7167
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Fayette County · 112,821 people
- City population
- 72,287
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,811
- Household income
- $89,912
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 634.0
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,914 people
- By 2030
- 125,439 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 132,378 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 137,123 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 156,091 · +29.1%
- By 2100
- 163,102 · +34.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +27.5pp toward D · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+30.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.65%
- Current HPI
- 243.9416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.29%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $85,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $95,000 GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…