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83 Fernwood Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

83 Fernwood Dr · Fayetteville, GA 30214
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily · 103 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition $74/sqft · 76% below area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand New 2024 Clayton Mobile Home - 3BR / 2BA (16x72) located in a beautifully wooded community just minutes from shopping and dining in Fayetteville. This spacious home features sheetrock walls, crown molding, tile backsplash, and a large kitchen with island offering abundant counter space and storage. The split-bedroom floor plan includes generously sized rooms and a walk-in closet in the primary suite. The primary bath features a relaxing garden tub and separate shower. Enjoy peaceful surroundings tucked into the forest while still being only 5 minutes from Fayetteville Pavilion and other local conveniences. Community amenities include paved parking pads with sidewalks to the front door, pavilion and bus stop area, basketball court, tot lot/playground, community activities, and on-site management. The community maintains standards similar to an HOA. All occupants must complete a pre-screening process and meet community guidelines regarding credit, criminal background, occupancy, and pets. All credit will be considered; higher security deposit may apply depending on credit profile.

Key facts

  • Paved parking pads
  • Tot lot
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

LARGE KITCHEN WITH ISLANDWALK-IN CLOSETGARDEN TUBPAVED PARKING PADSBASKETBALL COURTTOT LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $85,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$350,360) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 4.4% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools B+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $77,350 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
22.99%
Cash-on-cash
59.62%
DSCR
3.65
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$350,360
List price
$85,000
Delta
-75.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.8%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$64,520
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
65.0%
Equity multiple
7.96×
Total profit
$165,708
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30214

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,240 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$1,183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 102 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 101 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 100 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    price $85,000 1110-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1110 chars)

    Brand New 2024 Clayton Mobile Home - 3BR / 2BA (16x72) located in a beautifully wooded community just minutes from shopping and dining in Fayetteville. This spacious home features sheetrock walls, crown molding, tile backsplash, and a large kitchen with island offering abundant counter space and storage. The split-bedroom floor plan includes generously sized rooms and a walk-in closet in the primary suite. The primary bath features a relaxing garden tub and separate shower. Enjoy peaceful surroundings tucked into the forest while still being only 5 minutes from Fayetteville Pavilion and other local conveniences. Community amenities include paved parking pads with sidewalks to the front door, pavilion and bus stop area, basketball court, tot lot/playground, community activities, and on-site management. The community maintains standards similar to an HOA. All occupants must complete a pre-screening process and meet community guidelines regarding credit, criminal background, occupancy, and pets. All credit will be considered; higher security deposit may apply depending on credit profile.

  15. 2026-03-05
    listed $95,000 New 1110-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1110 chars)

    Brand New 2024 Clayton Mobile Home - 3BR / 2BA (16x72) located in a beautifully wooded community just minutes from shopping and dining in Fayetteville. This spacious home features sheetrock walls, crown molding, tile backsplash, and a large kitchen with island offering abundant counter space and storage. The split-bedroom floor plan includes generously sized rooms and a walk-in closet in the primary suite. The primary bath features a relaxing garden tub and separate shower. Enjoy peaceful surroundings tucked into the forest while still being only 5 minutes from Fayetteville Pavilion and other local conveniences. Community amenities include paved parking pads with sidewalks to the front door, pavilion and bus stop area, basketball court, tot lot/playground, community activities, and on-site management. The community maintains standards similar to an HOA. All occupants must complete a pre-screening process and meet community guidelines regarding credit, criminal background, occupancy, and pets. All credit will be considered; higher security deposit may apply depending on credit profile.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,885
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,151
− Management
−$2,151
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$13,649
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,276
After-tax cash flow
$10,914/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2024 Clayton Mobile Home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It features a modern kitchen, good-sized bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. The property is located in a beautiful wooded community with community amenities. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from some minor updates to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Both Install outdoor lighting — Improved lighting can make the property more inviting and safer
  • Both Add a small front porch — A porch can increase the home's appeal and functionality
  • Both Upgrade landscaping — A well-maintained yard can significantly boost curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Both Install outdoor lighting — Improved lighting can make the property more inviting and safer
  • Both Add a small front porch — A porch can increase the home's appeal and functionality
  • Both Upgrade landscaping — A well-maintained yard can significantly boost curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County
NCES district ID
1302130
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$80,746
Composite
50.67/100
National rank
#1824
State rank
#7 of 174 in GA

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
71/100
State rank
#86
US rank
#7167

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Fayette County · 112,821 people
City population
72,287
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
31,811
Household income
$89,912
Rent vs Own
18.7% rent · 81.3% own
Severe rent burden
634.0

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,914 people
By 2030
125,439 · +3.7%
By 2040
132,378 · +9.5%
By 2050
137,123 · +13.4%
By 2075
156,091 · +29.1%
By 2100
163,102 · +34.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.1%
2008→2024 swing
+27.5pp toward D · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+30.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.65%
Current HPI
243.9416
Rent YoY
▲ 4.29%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $85,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $95,000 GAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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