303 N Broadway St · Newman, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$32,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
For Sale property in Newman, Il. 303 N. Broadway. Brick 2 story house with 7 lots. 3 facing street with house residing on one. 165ftX150ft on street. There 4 lots on rear. This section is 220ft X 150ft facing street on back side House will probably be a tear down. Asking $32,000 OBO.
Key facts
- Built 1875
- Listed 12 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#416 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Shiloh CUSD 1 (rural): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #816 of 919 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 105.51%
- DSCR
- 5.69
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $196,235
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 W Yates | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,899 (-4%) | 9mo | $189,000 | $65 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.02×
- Total profit
- $45,008
- Equity at exit
- $4,771
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.59×
- Total profit
- $103,877
- Equity at exit
- $2,767
Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61942
- Home prices YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,277 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$168
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $788
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,000
- Closing costs
- $960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $32,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $32,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $32,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $32,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $32,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 284-char remark
-
2026-06-07$32,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,792
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$160
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,226
- − Management
- −$1,226
- − Depreciation
- −$931
- Taxable income
- $9,510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,282
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,171/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shiloh CUSD 1
- NCES district ID
- 1700122
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,781
- Composite
- 13.65/100
- National rank
- #14481
- State rank
- #816 of 919 in IL
Livability — Newman
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #8558
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newman, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,031
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,209 people
- By 2030
- 18,940 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 18,397 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 17,829 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 16,395 · -14.6%
- By 2100
- 14,329 · -25.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.1% · R 72.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.9pp toward R · 2008: -21.3pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+36.8 2008: R+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.36%
- Current HPI
- 212.8473
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $32,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-39.5%/yrLatest (2024): $2 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…