607 Monclova Aly · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house requires virtually every update you can think of, but would make a good home for someone with vision. Upstairs bedroom makes the house a 3/1. Bedroom was added long ago. Very private, as very little traffic flows down the alley.
Key facts
- Very private
- Upstairs bedroom
- Built 1918
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1918; Single-family property
- Construction: 1918 construction
- Exterior features: Located in the Prospect Hill Area neighborhood
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($915 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.97%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,034
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1046 Lombrano St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 618 (-1%) | 3mo | $149,500 | $242 | 70 |
| 919 Monclova Aly | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 650 (+4%) | 8mo | $94,900 | $146 | 68 |
| 511 N Spring St | 0.37mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 658 (+5%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $137 | 62 |
| 2039 Lyons | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+7%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $97 | 57 |
| 1414 Rivas | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-4%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $142 | 54 |
| 3806 W Martin | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+7%) | 1mo | $93,000 | $138 | 54 |
| 1809 Arbor | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 576 (-8%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $172 | 53 |
| 2230 Poplar | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 587 (-6%) | 8mo | $49,900 | $85 | 53 |
| 1519 N Sabinas | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 564 (-10%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $213 | 51 |
| 1418 Rivas | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+11%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $201 | 49 |
| 134 Peche | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 709 (+13%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $56 | 35 |
| 1524 Delgado | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+15%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $104 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $58,909
- Equity at exit
- $81,079
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.16×
- Total profit
- $180,538
- Equity at exit
- $174,850
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78207
- Home prices YoY
- 15.2%
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $915 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,561/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 N Chupaderas St Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 410 | $790 | $1.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1033 Rivas St #301 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $895 | $1.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1033 Rivas St #301 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $925 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 816 Rivas St Unit C San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $750 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 816 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $750 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 816 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $750 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 816 Rivas St Unit A San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $799 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 107 Beso Ln Unit 107-BL San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $850 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1820 Ruiz St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $750 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 107 Jesus Aly Unit 4 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $800 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 107 Jesus Aly Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $700 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 703 N San Marcos San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $716 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1218 NW 23rd St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 10.5 | 548 | $950 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1100 N Frio St Apt 403 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,100 | $2.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 216 University Ave Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 692 | $1,295 | $1.87 | 12d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 910 N Frio St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,043 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2503 Arbor Pl San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 116 Cornell Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $899 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1750 W Craig Pl San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 420 | $990 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2721 Colima St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2403 N Elmendorf St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,175 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1102 El Paso St San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 888 | $1,116 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 213 Cadwallader St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $650 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3017 Colima St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $800 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1805 N Flores St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 823 W Euclid Ave Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $900 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1026 W French Pl #3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $825 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1020 W French Pl San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,050 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,561 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,647 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$86/yr (+$7/mo · 5.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,561
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$878
- − Management
- −$878
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$447
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$107
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,107/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,474
- Household income
- $32,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2789.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 41% White 6% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 79%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 60%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.92%
- Current HPI
- 264.7559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.73%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+63.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $90,000 FSBO.com
- 2021-01-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-12 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2020-12-08 Price Changed $49,000 LERA
- 2020-11-20 Listed $55,000 LERA
- 2020-09-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,561 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…