Duplex
865 4th Ave · Troy, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great rental or owner occupied 2 family in Lansingburgh, 2nd floor is a nice 2 bedroom apart ready to rent, 1st floor needs tlc before renting. alley behind house, good sized yard off street parking possibilities. close to bus line and shopping.
Key facts
- Rear fenced yard
- Laundry room
- Rear enclosed porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property; Owner pays: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: 100 Amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Living area approximately 1,804; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Rear enclosed porch; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Unit 1: 1 kitchen (1st floor); Unit 2: 1 kitchen (2nd floor)
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms (1st floor); Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (2nd floor)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total; Unit 1: 1 full bathroom (1st floor); Unit 2: 1 full bathroom (2nd floor)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Space heaters; Has heating
- Interior features: Paddle fan; Exterior-entry unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $552/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lansingburgh Central School District (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #566 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $180k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.30%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,932
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 122nd St | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (+1%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $91 | 72 |
| 847 5th Ave | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,052 (+14%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $119 | 68 |
| 855 7th Ave | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 | 1,704 (-6%) | 23mo | $256,264 | $150 | 63 |
| 807 7th Ave | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (+2%) | 22mo | $200,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 878 3rd Ave | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,042 (+13%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $81 | 59 |
| 702 5th Ave | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (+2%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $70 | 58 |
| 2 Short 6th St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,720 (-5%) | 2mo | $324,000 | $188 | 53 |
| 60-62 4th St | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,800 (-0%) | 19mo | $298,700 | $166 | 46 |
| 141 Second St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,984 (+10%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $176 | 44 |
| 660 2nd Ave | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,584 (-12%) | 20mo | $217,500 | $137 | 27 |
| 617-619 1st Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,016 (+12%) | 17mo | $267,500 | $133 | 24 |
| 606 4th Ave | 0.70mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,036 (+13%) | 23mo | $185,000 | $91 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $41,285
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $126,927
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12182
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,069 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$644
- Net cashflow
- $1,105
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,070 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,535 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,535 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,069 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 505-char remark
-
2026-06-07$180,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,610 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,610 · $301/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,828
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$3,610
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,946
- − Management
- −$2,946
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $11,106
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,665
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansingburgh Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,807
- Composite
- 28.19/100
- National rank
- #6810
- State rank
- #566 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- City population
- 53,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,273
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.58%
- Current HPI
- 273.5758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+847.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $180,000 Global MLS
- 2020-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Global MLS
- 2020-09-25 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-09-14 Price Changed $59,000 Global MLS
- 2020-07-28 Listed $70,000 Global MLS
- 2000-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,610 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…