103 N Wilson Ave · Independence, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 19 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (3.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.08%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,146
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -22.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 N Wilson Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,132 (-6%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $106 | 82 |
| 606 N Rogers St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,194 (-1%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $126 | 80 |
| 217 S Hunter St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-7%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $152 | 76 |
| 15103 E Truman Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-10%) | 2mo | $179,500 | $164 | 69 |
| 620 E Walnut St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+5%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $138 | 66 |
| 1034 E Lexington Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,306 (+8%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $134 | 65 |
| 912 E Frederick St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,218 (+1%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 211 S Pearl St | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,080 (-10%) | 1mo | $147,500 | $137 | 57 |
| 822 S Raymond St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,190 (-1%) | 6mo | $158,000 | $133 | 57 |
| 809 S Mills St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (-0%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $171 | 54 |
| 1702 E T C Lea Rd | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 1,297 (+8%) | 7mo | $158,000 | $122 | 52 |
| 610 Frandsen Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,049 (-13%) | 6mo | $109,900 | $105 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-11,243
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,444
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64050
- Home prices YoY
- -15.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,158 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 S Crane St Unit A Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 315 S Crane St Unit A Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 315 S Crane St Unit c Independence, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $625 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 902 E Frederick St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1314 E Frederick St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 630 N Hocker Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,325 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1021 N Kiger Rd Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 912 E Stone St Independence, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $849 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 414 Hillside Dr Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 627 | $1,199 | $1.91 | 43d | 3 | 0.83mi |
| 1118 S Pope Ave Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,195 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 16012 E T C Lea Rd Unit C Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1100 N Noland Rd Apt D Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,025 | $1.28 | 7d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 523 W Maple Ave Unit 2 A Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $995 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 523 W Maple Ave Unit 1A Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $945 | $1.16 | 7d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 321 W South Ave Unit 8 Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,895 | $1.93 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 321 W South Ave Unit 9 Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 321 W South Ave Unit 11 Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1612 N Dodgion Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,345 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8061/2 E Devon St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $1,195 | $1.45 | 7d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1207 N McCoy St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1714 N Pearl St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,195 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13status Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.
-
2026-04-25historical 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.
-
2026-04-24$120,000 Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.
-
2026-03-24historical $120,000 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.
-
2015-10-29soldstatus
-
2015-06-15$31,500
-
1987-12-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,455 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,455 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,895
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,455
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,112
- − Management
- −$1,112
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$596
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$143
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,514/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Independence 30
- NCES district ID
- 2915480
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,843
- Composite
- 27.04/100
- National rank
- #7054
- State rank
- #252 of 324 in MO
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 117,675
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,079
- Household income
- $48,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 972.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.24%
- Current HPI
- 305.796
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+281.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $120,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $120,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-29 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-15 Listed $31,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-12-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,455 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…