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103 N Wilson Ave
C Composite 56.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

103 N Wilson Ave · Independence, MO 64050
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,206 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1930 0.30 ac lot $100/sqft · 27% below area Est $154k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 19 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (3.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,788 (3.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.08%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,146
List price
$120,000
Delta
-22.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
103 N Wilson Ave 0.00mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,132 (-6%) 0mo $120,000 $106 82
606 N Rogers St 0.35mi 2/1.0 1,194 (-1%) 2mo $150,000 $126 80
217 S Hunter St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-7%) 0mo $170,000 $152 76
15103 E Truman Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (-10%) 2mo $179,500 $164 69
620 E Walnut St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,266 (+5%) 10mo $175,000 $138 66
1034 E Lexington Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,306 (+8%) 10mo $175,000 $134 65
912 E Frederick St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,218 (+1%) 1mo $145,000 $119 62
211 S Pearl St 0.48mi 2/1.5 1,080 (-10%) 1mo $147,500 $137 57
822 S Raymond St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,190 (-1%) 6mo $158,000 $133 57
809 S Mills St 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,200 (-0%) 11mo $205,000 $171 54
1702 E T C Lea Rd 0.60mi 2/1.5 1,297 (+8%) 7mo $158,000 $122 52
610 Frandsen Rd 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,049 (-13%) 6mo $109,900 $105 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-11,243
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$3,444
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64050

Home prices YoY
-15.5%
Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,158 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,013
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
315 S Crane St Unit A Independence, MO 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 23d 1 0.23mi
315 S Crane St Unit A Independence, MO 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 43d 1 0.23mi
315 S Crane St Unit c Independence, MO 1.0 1.0 750 $625 $0.83 21d 1 0.23mi
902 E Frederick St Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 21d 1 0.55mi
1314 E Frederick St Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 43d 1 0.56mi
630 N Hocker Ave Independence, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,325 $1.53 23d 1 0.57mi
1021 N Kiger Rd Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 17d 1 0.68mi
912 E Stone St Independence, MO 1.0 1.0 800 $849 $1.06 16d 1 0.82mi
414 Hillside Dr Independence, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 627 $1,199 $1.91 43d 3 0.83mi
1118 S Pope Ave Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 988 $1,195 $1.21 16d 1 0.89mi
16012 E T C Lea Rd Unit C Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $795 $0.99 23d 1 0.92mi
1100 N Noland Rd Apt D Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 7d 1 0.98mi
523 W Maple Ave Unit 2 A Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 964 $995 $1.03 43d 1 1.15mi
523 W Maple Ave Unit 1A Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 815 $945 $1.16 7d 1 1.15mi
321 W South Ave Unit 8 Independence, MO 2.0 1.5 980 $1,895 $1.93 1d 1 1.24mi
321 W South Ave Unit 9 Independence, MO 2.0 1.5 980 $1,295 $1.32 43d 1 1.24mi
321 W South Ave Unit 11 Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 21d 1 1.24mi
1612 N Dodgion Ave Independence, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,345 $1.34 43d 1 1.34mi
8061/2 E Devon St Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 824 $1,195 $1.45 7d 1 1.38mi
1207 N McCoy St Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 972 $1,295 $1.33 7d 1 1.41mi
1714 N Pearl St Independence, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,195 $1.51 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Active 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.

  2. 2026-04-25
    historical 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.

  3. 2026-04-24
    listed $120,000 Active 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.

  4. 2026-03-24
    historical $120,000 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Investment opportunity!! This home has been a rental home for several years and is being sold as-is.

  5. 2015-10-29
    soldstatus
  6. 2015-06-15
    listed $31,500
  7. 1987-12-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,455 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,455 · $121/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,895
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,455
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,112
− Management
−$1,112
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$143
After-tax cash flow
$1,514/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Independence 30
NCES district ID
2915480
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,843
Composite
27.04/100
National rank
#7054
State rank
#252 of 324 in MO

Livability — Independence

Score
82/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#1296

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Independence, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
117,675
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
21,079
Household income
$48,834
Rent vs Own
52.7% rent · 47.3% own
Severe rent burden
972.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.24%
Current HPI
305.796
Rent YoY
▲ 3.79%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+281.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $120,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $120,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-29 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-15 Listed $31,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-12-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,455 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…