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12843 Garvey Ave #06
B- Composite 67.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

12843 Garvey Ave #06 · Baldwin Park, CA 91706
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Manufactured · 8 Days on market
Built 2021

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated in the gated, all-age, land-leased community of Cooks Trailer Park, this home is approximately 263 sqft. The home features Laguna lower cabinets and upper shelving with piping hardware. Corian countertops throughout, along with Vinyl Plank Flooring, 9' sidewalls, and flat ceilings. The kitchenette includes an under-counter refer and a 2-Burner gas cooktop. Location, location, location! Please get in touch with the property manager for the monthly space rent.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Quartz countertops
  • Laminate flooring

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYWHITE LAGUNA CABINETSQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHLAMINATE FLOORING9-FOOT SIDEWALLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manager approval required for residency; Pets allowed with breed restrictions
  • HOA & community: Land lease: $850 per month (park-managed)

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Cooks Trailer Park
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry at side; Entry level: 1; Mobile home on site (14' x 36' model 67-E517-B); Density: 21-25 units per acre
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Year built per builder
  • Exterior features: No pool; Street lighting; Suburban neighborhood

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range; Dishwasher; Quartz counters
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Quartz counters; High ceilings (9 feet+); Gated community; Two or more access exits
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer and dryer included; Stackable washer/dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $626 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 2.8% in Baldwin Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#357 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Baldwin Park Unified (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #359 of 517 in CA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: De Anza Elementary (math 19% / reading 31%, grade F, #959 of 1,571 statewide, top 62%, 419 students, 89% FRL); Sierra Vista Middle (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #170 of 498 statewide, top 35%, 803 students, 88% FRL); Sierra Vista High (math 25% / reading 58%, grade F, #498 of 1,170 statewide, top 43%, 1,752 students, 84% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $135k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $134,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.86%
Cash-on-cash
19.90%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$18,060
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$67,211
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91706

Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,973 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$414
Net cashflow
$626

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $720 -5% $673 +0% $626 +5% $580 +10% $533
Rent -10% $470 -5% $548 +0% $626 +5% $704 +10% $782
Rate -1.0pp $694 -0.5pp $661 base $626 +0.5pp $591 +1.0pp $556

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 1/2 Santa Mariana Ave Unit 106 La Puente, CA 1.0 1.0 300 $1,675 $5.58 45d 1 1.15mi
243 S Orange Blossom Ave Unit b La Puente, CA 1.0 1.0 300 $1,400 $4.67 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 493-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $134,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,674
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,024
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,894
− Management
−$1,894
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$5,708
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,370
After-tax cash flow
$6,146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baldwin Park Unified
NCES district ID
0603690
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$53,156
Composite
25.2/100
National rank
#7510
State rank
#359 of 517 in CA

Livability — Baldwin Park

Score
66/100
State rank
#357
US rank
#12192

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C- Employment B+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baldwin Park, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
71,082
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
71,082
Household income
$81,122
Rent vs Own
42.0% rent · 58.0% own
Severe rent burden
1946.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 24% Asian 22% Native American 3% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 63%
Foreign-born
44% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
21% English-only · Spanish 60% Chinese 10% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1031.00%
Current HPI
458.8227
Rent YoY
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $134,900 CRMLS
  • 2023-05-18 Sold (MLS) $54,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-05-05 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-11-10 Price Changed $59,999 CRMLS
  • 2022-07-19 Price Changed $64,999 CRMLS
  • 2022-01-28 Price Changed $69,999 CRMLS
  • 2021-09-30 Listed $79,999 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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